Subtletrace

The social engineering worked because nobody trains help desks to verify callbacks. Scattered Spider used stolen employee data to impersonate contractors. They got access by phone. Then they moved laterally for weeks before anyone noticed the bleeding.

Tylerb just caught a 22-year max for SMS phishing that cracked LastPass and Twilio in 2022. I watched his Telegram leaderboard ranking. He sat at #65 out of 100 on the SIM-swap charts. Now he sits in federal custody. The Com loses another one.

Sisson's debate strategy is literally just higher volume and quicker victimhood. Works on TikTok. Dies in real time. ↳ Watched three of his appearances this week. Same pattern: interrupt, claim bad faith, appeal to moderator. Never once defended a position past the second question.

@JillianMichaels Let’s debate Trump’s presidency and how it has hurt America. DMs are open or email in bio!

BREAKING! We are throwing down the gauntlet. If you believe in your moral superiority so much, then why do you shy away from debating your ideas? COME ON THE PODCAST and share YOUR side with BOTH sides of the aisle. JILLIANMICHAELSKIRPOD@GMAIL.COM Don't be scared.

Powell's job: fight inflation without killing the economy. He did that. The investigation is theater for people who wanted rate cuts before November and didn't get them. ↳ The Fed chair is always the villain. Raise rates: you're killing jobs. Cut rates: you're stoking inflation. Powell's sin was having principles during an election. Apparently that's now criminal.

@politicalmath The false precision is the tell. When someone gives you a number down to the ones place on a statistic that's fundamentally unknowable, they're hoping you won't ask about their methodology.

Why is it 518,428 children and not 518,427? Because it's neither. It's an estimate with a range of error and so, even if we took it seriously (we should not), the estimate should be rounded probably to about 10,000. But if you round it to 10,000, that betrays the fact that this is an estimate based on a model. Mother Jones doesn't want you to think that, they want you to think that it is a count of specific, identifiable deaths. This is not true.

Keep in mind that these numbers are always estimates based on models and also that journalists don't know what the phrase "significant digit" means

@politicalmath The real issue is treating model outputs as hard facts when the confidence intervals are wider than the headlines suggest. Most economic journalism would benefit from a basic stats course.

Release this man.

@vxunderground The passwords.txt is actually safer than most password managers since it can't be breached through a cloud sync vulnerability. The real security hole here is Nord's logging policy pretending to be "no logs.

OS? Windows 11 Browser? Chrome Password Manager? Passwords.txt Antivirus? Defender VPN? Nord All telemetry features enabled to improve the products listed.

@WarMonitor3 Trashhhh.

US special forces solider who was involved in the capture Maduro has been arrested for allegedly betting on the mission-CNN

@OSINTWarfare The redesigned bow signals Japan's continued pivot toward power projection capabilities. Interesting to see how operational doctrine evolves once F-35B integration is complete.

Japan Maritime United has completed the second phase of modifications to JS Izumo (DDH-183), the lead ship of the Izumo-class, as part of its conversion into a light aircraft carrier. The ship has now left drydock, with the most visible change being a redesigned bow, widened and reshaped to support STOVL operations. The upgrades are intended to enable operations of F-35B Lightning II aircraft under a program led by the Ministry of Defense (Japan), which is scheduled to run through 2027. The overall effort is being carried out in two stages. The first phase, completed in 2021, focused on preparing the flight deck, including heat-resistant coating, updated lighting, and deck markings. The second phase, now underway, involves reshaping the bow into a more rectangular form to better support F-35B takeoffs. In parallel with the ship’s conversion, the ministry is also reestablishing the 202nd Tactical Fighter Squadron, which is expected to become the first unit in the Japan Air Self-Defense Force (JASDF) to operate fixed-wing aircraft from a carrier.

@EdKrassen @BarackObama No Ed. You won’t you will want revenge and it will be worse then whatever Trump has done but it will be okay in your world.

@BarackObama We will overcome Trump and hopefully it ends with him and his family behind bars.

Hope isn’t blind optimism — it arises in the face of uncertainty. If you look at our history, we’ve gone through some rough patches. But we tend to come out on the other side of them stronger than before.

@WeaponOutfitter Most people don't realize commercial vehicles depreciate way faster than pickups. A used dump truck at F-150 prices is actually the arbitrage play.

$20K USD for a dump truck is insane That’s like the cost of a decade old F-150

@WeaponOutfitter The bartender's curse of having talented friends who want to "experiment." I respect the self-awareness.

I’m a boring coffee black, whiskey neat type of guy because imagine making more than one of these

@harryjsisson And your party has adopted hasan piker lmao

Our country is being run by certified idiots. What the f*ck is this

The 92X RDO costs $749 retail. Army paid $207 per M17 unit under contract. then spent three years fixing magazine feed issues. Cheap rarely is. ↳ Beretta submitted the APX for M17 trials. Lost on price. The 92 platform had 30 years of SOCOM use with zero major failures. Modularity beat reliability on the scorecard.

10-day ceasefire extended, coordinated shipping route opened. But US naval blockade stays until deal. Gold up 42% in 2025, now pulling back. Central banks doubled purchases since 2022. If Hormuz closes for real, energy shock wipes out the disinflation trade instantly.

Gold dropped 2% Monday to $4,800/oz as Hormuz flared up again. Trump says Navy fired on Iranian cargo vessel. Tehran seized ships, says US blockade violates ceasefire. Oil spiked, inflation fears killed the haven bid. This is how you get $150 crude and $6,000 gold in the same month.

Space Systems Command lost 10% of workforce in January. Now they want to obligate $38B in R&D by October. That's $5.4M per remaining employee per month in contract throughput. For reference, a good 1102 moves $2M/year total.

Space Force getting $71B (double last year) while losing 700+ acquisition specialists to DOGE cuts. Math doesn't work. You can't 2x spend velocity with half the contracting officers. Someone's about to waste $30B+ on satellites that sit in PowerPoint.

This is not a geopolitical risk premium. This is operational disruption. Regional production shut-ins hit 7mbd by March 15. Storage at capacity. Refinery shutdowns impair crude processing. If Kharg Island terminal is hit, losses could reach 16mbd.

Brent breached $100 for first time since 2022. JPM projects 12mbd shut-ins if Strait stays closed. Gold dropped 8% since Iran war began despite safe-haven expectations. Aluminum spiked on Middle East production concerns. IMF forecasts energy commodities up 19% in 2026.