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@Barchart Well you might ask where this go look at 10yr JGB... for now another 80 bp from there , look back at history on Australian rate when the peg break...
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Hermes Trismegistus IMC,CFA.🔺️
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Hermes Trismegistus IMC,CFA.🔺️
@suchme11
Buy side institutional/ Investment Management Certificate(IMC) Charter financial Analyst(CFA) BA ART/ BA Mine engineering/PPL 🜁🜂✡️ 🜃🜄 #NFA #DYOR 🜂x🜂p≥ħ/2
Katılım Nisan 2018
1K Takip Edilen1.6K Takipçiler
@gdb I am building an immortality machine and would love to tell you about it.
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what are you building with codex?
Paul Solt@PaulSolt
What app are you making this weekend with GPT 5.5 and Codex?
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We're introducing Codex Security.
An application security agent that helps you secure your codebase by finding vulnerabilities, validating them, and proposing fixes you can review and patch.
Now, teams can focus on the vulnerabilities that matter and ship code faster.
openai.com/index/codex-se…
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Demand for Japanese government bonds is extremely weak:
The bid-to-cover ratio for 10-year bonds, a measure of the demand strength, fell to 3.02 at Tuesday’s auction, below last month’s 3.30 and the 12-month average of 3.24.
This reflects rising reluctance among investors before a snap national election on Sunday, February 8th.
A victory for Japan’s ruling bloc would allow Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi to push further fiscal stimulus plans, which could significantly raise the government’s debt burden.
As a result, the 10Y bond yield is up to 2.26%, near the highest level since 1999.
Meanwhile, on Thursday, another key auction of 30-year bonds is scheduled, which will be closely watched by investors.
The Japanese bond is under serious pressure.
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@Barchart Japan's 10-year bond yield reached 2.34%, its highest this century...🎯
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@Barchart Well you might ask where this go look at 10yr JGB... for now another 80 bp from there , look back at history on Australian rate when the peg break...
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BREAKING: 🇯🇵 Japan's 10-year government bond has risen to highest in 17 years
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JAPAN’S 2-YEAR YIELD HITS 1% FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 2008, AND THE YEN CARRY TRADE JUST CRUMBLED OVERNIGHT.
Stocks and Bitcoin mass liquidations return.
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If $SPX closes Up today, it would have rallied every single day during Thanksgiving week.
Each of the past 8 cases saw $SPX fall next Monday.
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BREAKING: Japan's 10Y Government Bond Yield surges to 1.84%, its highest level since April 2008.
This chart is concerning to say the least.
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Bond erosion.
Japan leading the way.
The globe will follow.
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Pretty hard for DM bonds to withstand a Japanese black hole event horizon
Nobody cares so whatever
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JAPAN JUST BROKE THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL SYSTEM AND YOU HAVE 30 DAYS
November 18th, 2025. Japan’s 20-year bond yield hit 2.75%. Highest in recorded history. This single number just ended the 30-year era that made your retirement possible.
The math is simple and fatal.
Japan has 263% debt to GDP. $10.2 trillion total. They survived because rates were zero. At 2.75%, debt service explodes from $162 billion to $280 billion over ten years. That’s 38% of total government revenue consumed by interest alone.
No nation in history has sustained this without default or hyperinflation.
But here’s what kills your portfolio first.
Japan holds $3.2 trillion in foreign assets. $1.13 trillion in US Treasuries alone. They bought everything foreign because Japanese bonds paid nothing. Now Japanese bonds pay 2.75%.
After hedging costs, holding US Treasuries loses money for Japanese investors. Repatriation is not optional. It’s mathematical necessity. $500 billion exits global markets in 18 months.
The yen carry trade holds $1.2 trillion in borrowed yen funding global assets. Stocks. Crypto. Emerging markets. Everything. As Japanese rates rise and the yen strengthens, every position goes underwater. Forced liquidation has already begun.
Three certainties nobody can deny.
The rate gap between US and Japanese bonds collapsed from 3.5% to 2.4% in six months. When it hits 2%, Japanese money floods home. US borrowing costs spike 30 to 50 basis points regardless of Fed policy.
December 18th the Bank of Japan meets. 50% probability they hike again. If they do, the yen surges. Every carry trade loses another 6% instantly. Margin calls cascade globally.
Japan cannot print money to escape. Inflation already exceeds target. More printing collapses the yen and imports inflation. They’re trapped between currency crisis and debt crisis.
The anchor holding global rates down for 30 years just broke. Every portfolio built since 1995 assumed Japanese yields stayed near zero forever. That assumption died today.
Position for chaos or become collateral damage. There is no middle ground.
Full Deep Dive Article - open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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BREAKING: Japan's 20Y Government Bond Yield surges to 2.75%, the highest level in history, as the government prepares a $110 billion stimulus package.
This chart is truly insane.
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter
BREAKING: Japan is considering spending $110 billion on a new stimulus package as the Japanese Yen falls to a near-35 year low. Own assets or be left behind.
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Hermes Trismegistus IMC,CFA.🔺️ retweetledi
You can’t top a bull market while OpenAI’s still yet to go public.
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