Cuong Duong

Our wide user base poses a challenge in identifying our highly engaged users, and those at risk of churning, to turn into actionable insights. Learn how @tcuongd and Naomi Stuart built a bespoke statistical model to overcome this challenge canvatechblog.com/understanding-…

Very good "State of Prophet" update from @tcuongd who's done a ton of work on shore up the package along with help from many others (myself not included, I give these folks 100% of the credit). Must read for Prophet users. @cuongduong_35162/facebook-prophet-in-2023-and-beyond-c5086151c138" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">medium.com/@cuongduong_35…

Hyped word of the season: metaverse

@vinceygold will be giving a talk too! Make sure to come and hear her speak coalesce.getdbt.com/talks/trials-a…

@mattcastino Got my audible credit yesterday, ordering Vaxxers now!

@tcuongd Soon you'll be tweeting about the Vaxxers book 🙂

I seem to only come back to tweet about books 😄 but goodreads.com/book/show/3633… is a great mystery novel. The audiobook is 15 hours long but the story just flows and the narration sets the mood well. Look forward to more Stuart Turton.

Why aren't you making videos (or blog posts, games, etc.) about math? youtu.be/ojjzXyQCzso

@lukasvermeer @Vistaprint Slightly tangential: how important do you think stats/data knowledge is for an exp. platform PM? It seems that understanding an org, how people make decisions, and how to nudge them in the right direction is the main thing, but stats knowledge should be better than average?

We are #hiring a Product Owner for #Experimentation Technology @Vistaprint. Come join me (figuratively speaking, since this is a remote-first company, and it's really not just me but lost of other awesome colleagues) on this great adventure. 🚀📈 jobs.vistaprint.com/Vistaprint/job…

@seanjtaylor I think there are two defaults that should be explicit - changepoint range, and additive v multiplicative. I actually like the rest of the automation; it's quick way to explore the features of the time series. Agree on the importance of evaluation though.

If I could build it again, I’d start with automating the evaluation of forecasts. It’s silly to build models if you’re not willing to commit to an evaluation procedure. I’d also probably remove most of the automation of the modeling. People should explicitly make these choices.

This post rips Prophet (a forecasting package I helped create) to shreds and I agree with most of it🥲 I always suspected the positive feedback was mostly from folks who’d had good results—conveniently the author has condensed many bad ones into one place. microprediction.com/blog/prophet

@drob @ethantenison Haha, I did see "But by that principle, R is built in C" coming. I think you're right, and those course goals for DS make sense - they capture the skills most employers are looking for. I'll admit though, working with a codebase in industry, I wish I had better s.w.e basics!

@tcuongd @ethantenison (I've often heard the argument "people shouldn't use the tidyverse without first learning the foundations it's built on." But by that principle, R is built in C! And C is built on assembly! But nobody's saying "You can't teach R until you've started with assembly" 😂)

This is why I think the most important skill for data scientists is curiosity. Being intensely curious is the reason why you keep finding or making new data, iterating on and refining questions. If you're not interested enough in understanding, you just won't keep escalating.

"This is hard." How telling kids that yes, this is going to be tough, can actually help them persevere. washingtonpost.com/outlook/math-h…

Is there an encyclopaedia of articles on experimentation platforms in online software? Have found articles by Spotify, Uber, LinkedIn, Airbnb, Bing, Netflix, Booking, but wondering if I'm missing others.

@drob @ethantenison I like your approach @drob, esp. for an intro to DS curriculum. One thought is that tidyverse's lazy evaluation is not the norm in base R, and most other languages. Is it bad to leave that kind of 'basic' programming knowledge to later?

@ethantenison I’m strongly in favor! I lay out the reasons here: varianceexplained.org/r/teach-tidyve…

There is growing research that suggests that reading books — especially fiction — can make you more empathetic: t.ted.com/yOqZfwI

Really enjoyed @nireyal 's Indistractable (audiobook, great narration by Nir himself) - very logical, practical guide to taking responsibility for our time. The areas I need to work on the most are time-boxing and more deliberate usage of Slack.

Books to help you handle fear and find courage, cope with isolation and more, via @AdamMGrant: read.medium.com/VeIjazF