Aksel Kibar, CMT

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@MatiasScalbi I've traded futures for 50 years. I have never met anybody who has bet the full Kelly. Betting the Kelly is a myth sold to greedy traders destined to fail. There is ZERO way to trade the full Kelly and have a 6% volatility. You know it and I know it

#TECHCHARTSMEMBERS An #interim #update is sent out with 5 additions to the #watchlist blog.techcharts.net/2026/05/20/int…

Stocks that hold well during market volatility... stock that form tight consolidations right below their strong resistances... will be the first to breakout to new highs when momentum returns. On my radar as it prepares for a breakout #TECHCHARTSMEMBERS Access >> tinyurl.com/4nc9xssy

#TECHCHARTSMEMBERS This cup & handle continuation is setting up nicely. While indices remain volatile, stocks that complete chart patterns in tight ranges will be the first to breakout to new highs when momentum returns. Access >> tinyurl.com/3w3c97jf

A breakdown like this becomes very challenging for those of you who are trading the pattern breakdown/breakout with very tight stops. These end up categorized as Type 3 breakout/breakdown when they reach their price objective. The pattern still keeps its integrity with its guidence on price objective but aggressive trade management could result in a failed trade. Again: bearish pattern completion below the year-long average.

This is a recent #breakout #alert on #BIST100 We have captured the previous symmetrical triangle breakout. Let's see if we will have a similar pattern completion and run. I've covered the daily scale price chart in the #breakout #alerts #TECHCHARTSMEMBERS Access >> tinyurl.com/bde4bnc2

Short setups that complete below the year-long average. Long setups that complete above the year-long average. This is my trend filter. It assures you that you are trading in the direction of the overall trend. From recent #breakdown #alerts

$COST A Type 1 breakout likely to extend beyond price objective.

There are less Type 1 & Type 2 breakouts and More Type 3 (chop & hard re-test) and Type 4 (straightaway failures) over the past 2 weeks. Very selective market. In such conditions, cutting back on sizing, being more selective on the patterns and strictly respecting stop-loss levels is the way to go.

#TECHCHARTSMEMBERS To access the charts posted with tinyurl you need to be logged in to Tech Charts website. When you click on the tinyurl link on the X post, it will take you to the exact location of the report that the stock is featured.

$ACWI filled the second gap. 148.8-151.4 support area.

@arsagocak Az pozisyon ile dikkatte almali. Piyasanin nasil degisecegini bilemeyiz. Ayrica para biryere yonelmek zorunda.

@TechCharts Merhaba Aksel tamda ona ve benzer bir grafiğe daha bakıyordum. Endeksin böyle riskli zamanlarıda kırılmaları dikkate almalımı yoksa beklemek mantıklı mı ?

After hesitant price action around the pattern boundary, today can become the breakout day with a strong close. #TECHCHARTSMEMBERS Access >> tinyurl.com/yrj4ajcy

While constituents of the $URA #ETF weakened over the past week, the chart pattern on $URA is still valid and can be analyzed as an #ascendingtriangle.

Edwards & Magee define symmetrical triangle as a "neutral" chart pattern. In other words it can breakout in either direction and both breakouts can be utilized as a valid signal. I've incorporated an overriding trend filter which is the 200-day average for equities. Any breakdown signal that takes above the year-long average, I do not participate. I see this as a position against the overall trend. $NXE

Some stocks are slowly and surely building bases. I will discuss more in a detailed #INTERIM #UPDATE >> blog.techcharts.net

@EzraTrading I use 365 days average for crypto. It is a coincidence that price touched the 200-day. Earlier rejection was from the 365 days. We can't optimize this. One way or another long-term average can be used as a trend filter, not a level for trading decision making.

@TechCharts Hello Aksel, when analyzing BTC does the 200-MA still hold any significance to you? I noticed the rejection of the upper boundary of that channel is coupled with the 200. Thank you.

$BTCUSD

@claudiodetoma1 Oil is still moving higher I think

@TechCharts Hi, XOM has violated this H&S pattern. It will continue its uptrend following the geopolitical and rising inflation narrative. What do you think?

#SPX potential for a pullback towards 7,040 horizontal support.

Short setup from latest #alerts. #rectangle completing as a top reversal.