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Tempo

@tempotraderX

Stocks & commodities. Focused on Macro and Price.

Katılım Haziran 2025
42 Takip Edilen77 Takipçiler
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Tempo
Tempo@tempotraderX·
$ASML: A global monopoly at the center of the AI boom. Thesis: - Monopoly on EUV lithography - Moat: complexity, supply chain, barriers - Direct leverage to secular growth - Macro tailwinds & capital shifts Here's why this $300B Dutch giant is the AI play you can’t ignore 🧵👇
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Tempo
Tempo@tempotraderX·
$NBIS will never see sub-200 again
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Tempo@tempotraderX·
$VELO HTF + intraday reclaim of prior resistance Flag breakout confirmed with expanding volume into previous highs $30 in play
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Tempo@tempotraderX·
$NVDA decides whether $SMH continues the melt-up or reverses ~75% IV → ~7% move priced Positioning is stretched: - $SMH historically extended vs 50 EMA - Breadth rolling ($AMD, $QCOM, $INTC) Semis strength was funded by software shorts A miss → dealer unwind → potential $IGV squeeze We’re already seeing early signs of rotation over the past few days
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Tempo@tempotraderX·
$ASTS A big part of my trading is identifying and leveraging relative strength Otherwise, you're just chasing beta — there’s no edge in that Days like today are useful for spotting it $ASTS stands out Intraday - Broke resistance before $SPX - Kept making HHs while $SPX topped HTF structure is clean - Holding EMAs on pullbacks - Bouncing off PoC on expanding volume Sector tailwind helps ($RKLB, SpaceX IPO looming) If momentum holds: → $100 (prior high) is very doable → $130 (ATH) becomes realistic
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Tempo@tempotraderX·
@omro1975 This is too simplistic $PDN flagged inventory was elevated due to shipping delays — pounds were literally “on the water” at quarter-end That’s timing, not demand weakness
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Owen
Owen@omro1975·
Remind me where that lack of #uranium supply is? I think this was ~600,000lbs, while not exactly a huge physical amount, a company sitting on physical inventory is proof that demand hasn’t outstripped supply yet.
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Tempo@tempotraderX·
Bullish $NOW — but near-term extended Stock ran hot after breaking the downtrend and filling the prior gap, helped by sector rotation $IGV seeing flows (funded via $SMH) Path of least resistance = ~$99 Would look to start building there
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Tempo@tempotraderX·
Cash is a position Dont force trades when the market is against you
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Tempo@tempotraderX·
Credit is starting to crack - $MOVE spiking (vol premium rising) - 30Y >5% (multi-year highs) - 2Y breaking down - LQD rolling over Rates tightening liquidity Headwind for solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr Something to watch
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Tempo@tempotraderX·
As highlighted, mechanical buying reversed and we saw our first real red day in a while That OPEX dynamic is now playing out - Call / covered call flows had dealers chasing upside - As that rolls off, the bid fades and can flip to supply At the same time: - $SPX extended (RSI) - Breadth weak (~45%) - Cracks forming in semis - Volume profile thin up here, increasing air pocket risk Base case this week: tolerable correction, similar to the October ’25 pullback ~7000–7100 = logical reset zone
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Tempo@tempotraderX

Tomorrow is OPEX $SPX The sharp rally into it was largely systematic (CTA / vol / trend) — mechanical positioning is extended, so upside needs a new marginal buyer Now we introduce another mechanical catalyst Call buying has forced dealers to chase upside — but as OPEX hits and that rolls off, that support disappears and can turn into selling pressure quickly The last major market pivot also aligned with a large options roll Worth watching if flows shift here

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Tempo
Tempo@tempotraderX·
Tomorrow is OPEX $SPX The sharp rally into it was largely systematic (CTA / vol / trend) — mechanical positioning is extended, so upside needs a new marginal buyer Now we introduce another mechanical catalyst Call buying has forced dealers to chase upside — but as OPEX hits and that rolls off, that support disappears and can turn into selling pressure quickly The last major market pivot also aligned with a large options roll Worth watching if flows shift here
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Tempo@tempotraderX·
Same chart a week later The technical setup continues to improve - Holding above the 50 & 200 SMA - Holding above the PoC - Strength across key names ($BABA, $JD, $NIO) Constructive price action as China’s liquidity impulse accelerates The case for capital rotation into China risk continues to build
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Tempo@tempotraderX

China is getting interesting HSI held the 0.382 fib, reclaimed the short-term EMAs, and is rebuilding trend structure Meanwhile China’s liquidity impulse is accelerating (+19% SAAR), now doing the heaviest lifting globally Capital tends to chase liquidity. Hedge funds are increasingly using crowded U.S. tech positions as a source of funds to build out international exposure If that continues, China risk could start seeing real rotation One to watch

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Tempo@tempotraderX·
$NOW filing to issue multi-tranche debt to refinance the $4B Armis acquisition loan Bridge to term financing Pricing not set yet
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Shay Boloor
Shay Boloor@StockSavvyShay·
The U.S. Energy Department is considering a plan to finance billions of dollars in long-lead nuclear reactor parts. The goal would be to speed up reactor construction by funding critical components before full projects are ready to build. $OKLO, $CCJ, $UUUU, $SMR, $BWXT, $LEU
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