Stefan

Greetings, salutations to all new followers and fellow lurkers. Welcome to our new sanctuary on X/Twitter/whatever you want to name them. We will be posting charts, ideas, portfolio management on a daily basis. Before that, I will everyone a background of myself. I have initially been trading and investing since 2015, as I was starting my degree in Finance and Information Systems. I used to be an Economics major, right after when President Trump took over the very first time he was in office, I realised that applying economics and finance together is similar to a spouse having a hissy fit on a very bad day. It is not a pleasant experience for you married folks would you agree? Having the right mindset, such as staying far away from any news commentators that could be a distraction. We love entertainment, even Jim Cramer despite for all the wrong reasons, we respect his opinion and his tenacity, however, we want to be on a next level and to get there, we need to overcome the mental block and formulating our homework and opinions before getting there. This channel is meant to show, how we achieve returns, using appropriate risk management and sometimes a little unorthodox strategies could still land us multi baggers without even risking an entire portfolio because remember, we only need 2 or 3 companies in our lifetime for us to achieve the freedom that we desire, the freedom to create miracles not only for yourself but for others and your family. Stick around for the ride because, trust me, it will be all worth the trip!

This is looking good for Alibaba $BABA. StochRSI monthly has entered oversold conditions. All that is left is to have a green monthly candle and it will be time for lift off. Usually when it happens, stock price may move lower before taking off.

The same is said for the monthly chart. Although, there is some small hint of good news. There is a giant cup and handle forming on the monthly. Both weekly and monthly charts have to climb above or it will be all for nought. Take with a pinch of salt.

I'm going to be brutally honest. I have seen a lot of people discussing $OPEN. What folks do not realise is that, it is a descending wedge, RSI & StochRSI are on the decline and is below the EMA weekly. That is not good...

$ASST Wonder what is cooking at Strive? Known to jump pump and dump out of nowhere but it is beginning to be on the cusp of a resurgence. Rising RSI and rounding bottom... if it can retest the 50EMA weekly, it may change the game...

$COH.AX This is one example where a stock had plummeted rapidly in a short period of time and has not made a new low since with RSI and StochRSI about to curl upwards. This is me putting out Exhibit A of a rebound. Not saying it would but I wonder...

Here’s the Nasdaq at the peak of the dot com bubble. “You won’t be able to time the top.” Sure but there will be signs. People who act like the stock market cratered 80% overnight are just trying to get engagement and fear monger. Not only did the stock market not crash 80% overnight, but it was a drawn out process that took over two years to bottom. There were plenty of signs that something drastic changed. A few: - Key weekly moving average breaks in the Nasdaq - Big red candles on the major indices - Cycle leaders topping/weakening This chart shows a clear character change before the big crash that took place in late 2000 into 2001+. Even if you didn’t sell at the top and sold 15% lower you still missed a 70% drawdown. There will be signs when the top is in but you don’t need to exit at the exact top.

#WTI Oil breaking lower from the symmetrical triangle as posted on Friday. If the downward momentum maintains, will we head towards the $77 level?

Markets are at an all time high, once again. I know it can be tempting to short but in my experience, it can be frustrating. Best thing to do is to just ride the wave until the music stops. I lost money being a “hero”, trust me.

You know, I feel generous today! One more chart. Strategy Inc $MSTR have been languished below since the drop of BTC prices and with 2026 being a crypto winter year, it is not surprising to see it drop this far. I have since liquidated by short positions at 135 but nevertheless, I have no reasons to short again despite it falling back below the 8EMA weekly line. The charts, however, tell a different side of the story that we could see a possibility that we may well hit past 320 over the next 24 months. I will, however, be careful sizing in as such winter usually do not end until September. However, we are also seeing fund managers, retail investors alike saying that "We know how the game works!", which signal that they may front run earlier. Whatever the case is, the charts is still pointing lower but if your goal is to collect them and unleash at its optimism, by all means. Those are the picks for the week. Have a great long weekend considering markets are closed on Monday for Memorial Day. Enjoy!

Headlines are screaming that The Campbells $CPB are running out of time and why they are at 30-year lows. We cannot deny data and facts but from the headlines and charts, we could say a relieve rally could be in on the cards. Stock has not moved much since I posted on 15th April but the odds are increasing for a bounce soon. Fingers crossed!

Solaredge Technologies $SEDG has pulled the same fate as Sea Limited although it has yet to pull back meaningfully. Still, with the AI-theme still on a high streak, it is believe that renewable energy play could be next as demand for data centres increase. Nevertheless, the stock could still double from here provided it breaks out of the 8/50 EMA downtrend. There seems to be a resistance at the 100 dollar level which is close to the 50EMA downtrend resistance. It could hit, then reject below which is one area to consider. Else, if it pulls back to the 40-50 region, that could give a window opportunity to add into the hype.

Let us discuss something better in a light hearted way. Sea Limited $SE having five bagged since 2024 have fallen back into its bad habit. The good news? Stock has pulled not just a gargantuan rounding bottom and a handle but on the monthly chart, it is showing signs of oversold conditions on the StochRSI. Target price is more than 300+, which, from a risk reward perspective, it is very favourable for those wanting to enter. Plus, financial-wise, they could not be in a better position as they are now reporting to be in the black after years of bleeding cash

I won't be insulting Mark Zuckerberg if I were to say based on technical setup, Meta Platforms $META will be in trouble. An inverse pan and handle formed. Plus, considering the price has still failed to move back above both moving averages, I reckon the day will reckon for the company. Whether company laying off 8,000 employees will turn into bad karma remains to be seen. Emotions-aside, until it reverses up with a proper catalyst than just cost saving measures, I am not expecting this stock to perform anytime soon. From a long short fund perspective, this could be use as a hedge as we ride the semiconductor and renewables space

Energy and precious metals have been giving mixed readings. WTI Oil (WTI) have stayed rangebound albeit narrowing into a symmetrical triangle. What could that mean? I see two outcomes. It will either rally straight to 150 which could mean, the outcome from the Iran and Straits of Hormuz ends up horribly wrong or we return below 70 which means, everything goes back to normal. Natural gas (NG) have formed a rounding bottom and seasonality in the second half tends to be favourable for gas. Gold (GC) and Silver (SI) have been moving downwards. In the past, an inverse rounding bottom formed although gold held up and did not move lower until three years later. Forward returns seems to be weak

$QQQ $SPY $DIA $IWM Markets hit new all time highs once again. If the charts were to be any indication, we are likely to continue higher although we had TPs achieved on broader indices such as the Nasdaq-100 Futures which last week closed short below 30,000. If we look at the StochasticRSI, once it sticks at 100, markets tend to follow-up with a much higher high. The bottom line? Going against them is not a good idea at this point. Even then, we have major companies such as Microsoft, Berkshire and Palantir not making new highs and any opportunity for funds to rotate over, may move their funds over to these companies. All indices are presently in uptrend with no signs of exhaustion yet....

$EIDO If we look at both weekly and monthly charts, at this level, there should be some dead cat's bounce along the way. This is not me saying it is a generational buy but a solid risk reward from here. NFA.

Here's the deal. The MSCI Indonesia ETF $EIDO has been on a persistent downtrend. Fundamentals are not looking good due to potential downgrade to frontier status by MSCI and Fitch Ratings recently announced its sovereign credit rating from Stable to Negative.

As an AI user and investor using the both methods to find proper setups, I believe there is still a place for human-written content. Are we able to promote soulless content whereby everything has to be auto generated by AI?

Why Most Retail Investors Are Doomed to Underperform (or Lose) The stock market rewards a small minority of disciplined participants while punishing the emotional majority. Here’s why most retail investors consistently fall short—and what actually works based on my years of working experience and observation: 1. Chasing Quick Wins with High-Risk Bets Many retail investors treat small-cap or speculative stocks like lottery tickets. They go all-in or too heavily, expecting explosive short-term gains, while ignoring how brutal volatility becomes during downtrends. This often happens with data miners and other speculative plays. A 50-80% drawdown feels very different in real life than it does on a chart. 2. Impatience Destroys Compounding Even when they pick the right companies, most, if not all, lack the patience to let winners run, let alone compound their gains. They expect fast gains in weeks or months, but the greatest wealth in equities is almost always created over years—and sometimes an entire decade. More haste, less speed. Selling too early turns good ideas into mediocre results. 3. Falling for Permabear Noise Retail investors are constantly bombarded with doom-and-gloom content on X and other social media. After years of permabear narratives, many become conditioned to perpetual fear. When the market finally offers a big discount, they sit on the sidelines paralyzed — missing the very moves that create life-changing returns. In a bull market, genuine “buy-the-dip” opportunities are rare; they appear only once in a while and often vanish in the blink of an eye. 4. Confusing Leverage with Investing Instruments like CONL, TSLL, or other leveraged ETFs look like wealth-creation machines on the way up. In reality, they are high-octane trading tools, not core investment vehicles. Volatility decay, time decay, and amplified losses during pullbacks or downtrends turn them into wealth destroyers for anyone treating them as long-term holds. 5. Panic-Selling During Normal Pullbacks When a strong name like NVDA, PLTR, or OSCR corrects 20-40%, the typical question I get asked is “Have you sold or trimmed yet?” Long-term investors view these periods differently. They don’t trade in and out yearly—they add on weakness. History shows that those who quietly dollar-cost-average (DCA) during retail fear, while others panic, end up with dramatically superior outcomes. 6. The Right Sector Before Everybody Knows — That’s Vision Timing and sector selection matter enormously. In January 2024, when I first shared NVDA, PLTR, TSM, AVGO, SMH, and SOXL, few wanted to hear about semiconductors or AI infrastructure. Skeptics called it crazy when my portfolio became 92%+ concentrated in AI-related themes. Fast-forward to mid-2026: many of those names have delivered 3x–4x returns, with some achieving 10x+. The real edge came from being early in the right sector — before the crowd noticed — and staying convicted while buying discounts amid widespread skepticism. The Real Formula (It’s Simple, But Emotionally Brutal) Successful investing ultimately comes down to a few repeatable principles: 1. Vision – Identify secular winners early (e.g., AI infrastructure). 2. Right sectors – Concentrate where real growth and capital flows are headed. 3. Disciplined DCA – Buy more when whales offer discounts amid widespread fear. 4. Dry powder – Maintain stable income and dividends to fund purchases without forced selling. Always keep at least 20% of the cash instead of going all in on any assets and stocks, no matter how bullish they look. 5. Patience – Sit in great businesses for years, not weeks or months. 6. Follow the right genuine people – Learn from genuine investors who have proven track records and those who have actually built wealth, not loud permabears. Everything else—technical indicators, permabear/perma-bull opinions, catchy headlines—is secondary. The market is not complicated, but human emotions are. Master your psychology, and the odds shift dramatically in your favor. The quiet, boring approach of owning the right assets, adding during fear, and holding long-term has created far more millionaires than any trading strategy ever will! Most retail investors fail not because they lack intelligence, but because they cannot tolerate the emotional discomfort required to succeed and follow the wrong people on X.

Let's do a throwback, Zoom Communications $ZM. Most are aware of the hantavirus though, I doubt it will reach the stage where everyone goes on lockdown for the second time. That said, Zoom has been making a humongous rounding bottom, with the target price being 172. Company also has a $51 million when $4.5 billion valuation of Anthropic shares. At a valuation of approximately $900 billion, this puts its share valuation close to $10 billion. At $29 billion market cap for Zoom, this could be used as a "cheap" proxy for Anthropic shares, least until it goes listing