Karthik C
3.9K posts

Karthik C
@thisiskarthikc
Thoughts/RTs on Markets, Economics, Politics & Dharma. Amateur investor. Witty. Here to learn, share n journal my thoughts.
Pondicherry & Chennai Katılım Mayıs 2015
644 Takip Edilen138 Takipçiler
Karthik C retweetledi

Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose"
#TVK #electionresults2026
Français

ADMK can still merge with DMK to form government.. Just saying 🤷 #electionresults2026
English

ADMK is winning decent number of seats. Looks like DMK's vote bank has moved to Vijay. In general, minorities always vote for DMK. I feel this time they might have voted for Vijay. Need to see the postpoll analysis.
Lot of postpoll analysis would reveal what changed in Tamil Nadu. Many never expected this massive change.
English

ADMK will now be praying for DMK to do better 😂😂 #electionresults2026
English

Top 5 constituencies I'll be following tomorrow:
Karaikudi
Madurai Central
Perambur/Trichy East
Vasudevanallur
Sholinganallur
#TNElections
English
Karthik C retweetledi

@BaluGorade You forgot the NINJAs (No Income No Job or Assets) who collapsed the entire financial system back in '08..
They are the GOATs 😂
English

Few terms I came across recently:
DINK - Dual Income, No Kids
DISK - Dual Income, Single Kid
SISK - Single Income, Single Kid
SINK - Single Income, No Kids
SITK - Single Income, Two Kids
SIPK - Single Income, Parents + Kids
HIFI - High Income, Financially Independent
DINKY - Dual Income, No Kids Yet
HENRY - High Earner, Not Rich Yet
DINKWAP - Dual Income, No Kids, With a Pet
What else?
English

இசை ஞானி இளையராஜா அவர்கள் அவரது YouTube பக்கத்தில் அவரது ‘சின்ன தம்பி உன்னை நம்பி’ என்கிற பாடலை பதிவிட்டார்.
“சின்ன தம்பி உன்னை நம்பி இந்த நாடு காத்திருக்கு” என தொடங்கும் அந்த பாடலின் thumbnail-ல் விஜய் படத்தை வைத்திருந்தார்.
விஜய்யை ஞானி அவர்கள் ஆதரிக்கிறார் என்பது வெளிப்படையான செய்தி. இது அவர் நிலைப்பாடு; அவர் விருப்பம்; அவர் உரிமை.
உடனே இந்த திராவிடக் கும்பல் என்ன சொல்கிறது பாருங்கள். இளையராஜா இவர்களிடம் உதவி பெற்றவராம். கடைசியில் இளையராஜாவையும் திராவிட payroll-ல் இணைத்துவிட்டார்கள்.
Harmonium செய்யப்படுவது மரத்தால் தானே, அந்த மரம் தமிழ் நாட்டில் விளைந்தது தானே, அப்போது முதல்வராக இருந்தது கருணாநிதி தானே, அப்போ கண்டிப்பா இசை ஞானிக்கு இசை ஞானத்தை அருளியவர் கருணாநிதிதான், இது பெரியார் போட்ட பிச்சை என அண்டா-style ஆராய்ச்சி கட்டுரை விரைவில் வெளியாகும்.
இந்த கதிர் என்பவர்தான் “ஸ்டாலின் ஏன் இந்திய பிரதமராக வேண்டும்?” என புத்தகம் எழுதியவர் என்பது கூடுதல் இனிப்பான செய்தி!


தமிழ்

I don't know why people are so disconnected from reality. Saw a post saying Rs 40 crores must for retirement in India.
Do you know how big is Rs.40 crores?
In India, only 0.04% of households have it
In the richest country of the world, USA, only 4% of households have it
If you take the entire world consisting of both rich and poor countries, just 0.13% of households have it.
Even Rs 4 crores is difficult for 99% of the population.
Saying Rs.40 crores is required for retirement only demotivate people because they can never reach there. These kind of posts at best serve as irritants.
English

@sumanthraman Good luck!
I think the exit polls will attribute more votes/seats than actuals to TVK because from what I see/hear those who voted for DMK/ADMK are not so open for fear of being judged but TVK voters take a bit of pride in saying so..
English

Let me start this post with a clear Disclaimer:
Predicting election outcomes is even more imprecise than predicting the weather.
I have been lucky in predicting the last several Tamil Nadu Assembly Elections right and am due to get it wrong.
Over the last 2 months I have spoken with thousands of people trying to gauge the mood of the electorate and have visited several of the constituencies too.
In my analysis I have relied on the 2024 LS elections data rather than the 2021 data as I believe this may reflect the ground situation better.
I have given TVK an overall vote share of 20%, (higher in the urban areas and lower in the rural areas) though I am not convinced that is how much vote share they will get overall. I have factored in VIP constituencies, the intra party issues in some seats, the weakness of the alliance partners and a number of other variables.
I have made one assumption: The TVK will take more or less equal vote share from both sides though I have geographically segregated this. A slight deviation to either side may not have much of an impact, but a large deviation will change the projections drastically.
While doing all this my focus was on seeing if the incumbent party the DMK would be able to hold on or not. The reason is, when there is a third player there is a natural slight edge for the incumbent. When in doubt about a seat I gave it to the DMK alliance.
The numbers I arrived at are as follows:
1.DMK Alliance: 100-115
2.AIADMK Alliance: 118-133
3.TVK: 0-3
Could this be totally off the mark? Of course it can. If TVK takes much more of the AIADMK vote then the situation can reverse and the DMK Alliance could secure a majority.
Also if AIADMK can hold its dominance in the Kongu belt and if the PMK pulls its weight in the Vanniyar belt and if the allies of the DMK implode (Cong, DMDK, VCK), it could push AIADMK+ higher.
For the DMK alliance to win Vijay has to take a lion's share of his votes from the AIADMK alliance and a low proportion of votes from the DMK alliance.
My gut feel is that there seems to be a slight edge for the AIADMK alliance.
However, I do not see a total sweep for either alliance unless Vijay takes his votes totally from one side and wrecks the other side.
I do not know as yet what the Exit Polls are going to say tomorrow. Once I get further inputs will update.
PS: The TVK factor has made predicting this election the toughest one in recent times. There is more than a fair chance I could be getting this wrong.
#tamilnadulegislativeassemblyelection2026
#TamilNaduElections2026
#TNElections2026
#tnelection
English
Karthik C retweetledi
Karthik C retweetledi

Saw Sridhar Vembu's open letter to Indians in US. The letter sounded really genuine.
I just want to share a small quote from Charlie Munger:
"Show me the incentive and I’ll show you the outcome.
The iron rule of nature is: you get what you reward for. If you want ants to come, you put sugar on the floor."
In general, people react only to incentives.
If you search web, you'll know how China was able to get back talent from America.
Sridhar has the ears of government. He need to discuss about incentives to attract NRIs
come back to India.
An open letter is unlikely to bring even one person back.
We are human beings. We are not completely rational or logical people. All of us respond to incentives.
English

Puducherry CBSE schools have dropped French this academic year because the new 3-language policy allows only one foreign language, and English fills that slot.
If French is removed from CBSE schools under the 3-language policy, who is responsible for:
1. Students who studied French from class 1 to 5 and now face discontinuity?
2. Private school French teachers facing job loss?
Puducherry is proud of its French roots. Shouldn't we have a policy to Protect French education here?
புதிய மும்மொழிக் கொள்கை ஒரே ஒரு வெளிநாட்டு மொழியை மட்டுமே அனுமதிப்பதால், இந்த கல்வியாண்டில் பல சிபிஎஸ்இ பள்ளிகள் பிரெஞ்சு மொழியை நீக்கியுள்ளன; அந்த இடத்தை ஆங்கிலம் நிரப்புகிறது.
மும்மொழிக் கொள்கையின் கீழ் சிபிஎஸ்இ பள்ளிகளிலிருந்து பிரெஞ்சு நீக்கப்பட்டால், பின்வருவனவற்றுக்கு யார் பொறுப்பு:
1. ஒன்றாம் வகுப்பு முதல் ஐந்தாம் வகுப்பு வரை பிரெஞ்சு பயின்று, தற்போது தொடர்ச்சியின்மையை எதிர்கொள்ளும் மாணவர்கள்?
2. தனியார் பள்ளி பிரெஞ்சு ஆசிரியர்கள் வேலை இழப்பைச் சந்திப்பது?
புதுச்சேரி தனது பிரெஞ்சு வேர்களைப் பற்றிப் பெருமை கொள்கிறது. இங்கு தாய் மொழி மற்றும் பிரெஞ்சு கல்வியைப் பாதுகாக்க என்ன கொள்கையை புதுச்சேரி பின்பற்றுகிறது???
#SaveFrench #Puducherry #FrenchTeachers #EducationPolicy #cbseresults



English

@Tr_Gayathri I was such an idiot. The turds in BJP have made a complete mess of school education for their political agenda.
x.com/i/status/16099…
Karthik C@thisiskarthikc
Good news. All Pondy schools will be migrating to the CBSE syllabus from 2023-24. No more state board.
English

@ARanganathan72 BJP said all d right things in 2014 & 19. But come '24, the loss of majority has completely thrown them off whack. Now, they've shifted to more & more freebies, reservations and minority appeasement. I just pity those who continue to support BJP based on their 2014/19 planks.
English
Karthik C retweetledi

@ARanganathan72 In politics, winning the elections is the only permanent ideology. Poll planks keep shifting to what sells.
It is important for us to quickly recognize the shift and re-align our endorsement. Permanent loyalty makes you no better than a sheep in the herd.
English



