ski72
868 posts
@VderGraaf @joao_wedson Trump’s talk is kinda immune now, even the US Iran war stuff isn’t really making Bitcoin dump hard anymore.
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@thor7inn @joao_wedson This time we have a major wildcard: President Trump. His unpredictability can spark geopolitical shocks and economic turmoil that may spread in all markets.
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Across every Bitcoin bear market, the bottom has historically formed under conditions of extremely low intraday volatility.
Is this time different?
Why is it so hard to accept that possibility?
Or are people simply eager for the cycle to end?
I’d be glad to come back in a few weeks and say I was wrong, that the bear market is over, and that many analysts missed it.
But for now, the view hasn’t changed. If you examine past cycles, several rallies approached or even neared prior highs, yet that didn’t prevent the broader downtrend from continuing.
Frankly, I’d prefer to be wrong. Bear markets are tedious, but they are also the phase where real accumulation and structural buildup occur.
We likely need to see Bitcoin reclaim levels above $88K before reassessing that stance.
Until then, it’s about observation, discipline, and avoiding premature conclusions.
Joao Wedson@joao_wedson
When I was bullish in late 2022, some people mocked me, saying BTC was dead and that fractals did not exist. Now, in 2026, sharing a post saying we should be cautious is already enough for some people to call me stupid or a “crying bear.” That is actually funny. I do not care about insults or mockery. What makes me comfortable is knowing that, together with my team, we are building something valuable based on data. But it also worries me that only a small fraction of people achieve consistent success in financial markets over the medium and long term. That is why I keep saying: Data > Narratives. And above all, patience. Until BTC recovers at least 50% of the drop from $126k, I will remain 100% cautious. And there is nothing wrong if you disagree. This is a social network. We are only sharing ideas, charts, and opinions.
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@The_JDK99 @Sykodelic_ @Roman_Trading 2022 was different,back then we crashed hard because of FTX, Terra Luna. So if you’re expecting another sweep, it would probably take the same kind of conditions we had back in 2022.
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@DrProfitCrypto Bro, 2022 was different back then we crashed hard because of FTX, Terra Luna. So if you’re expecting another sweep, it would probably take the same kind of conditions we had back in 2022.
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#Bitcoin is entering in its final stage of the bull trap before continue going down with force to new lows! The next downside move starts from this region and I plan to keep my long from 71k region open till 83-85k and start building shorts after taken profits on the long!
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@christianvctrs beda cerita lah sama tahun 2022 dlu ada crash ftx, terra luna sama 3ac, sekarang kalau mau turun lagi harus ada masalah di internal lagi, fud perang iran amerika dah gak mempan lagi
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@jasonpizzino 022 was different back then we crashed hard because of FTX, Terra Luna, and 3AC.
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"The Bitcoin 4-Year Cycle is broken!"
What exactly has happened to confirm it broken?
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@jasonpizzino Bro, 2022 was different back then we crashed hard because of FTX, Terra Luna, and 3AC.
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The last Bitcoin bear market low in 2022, I was in the extreme minority. It was an extremely unpopular opinion to say the low was likely in.
Today, it look like everyone is a hero now BTC is at $80,000 as they believe they've called the bottom.
Maybe I'm wrong, we all can be 'wrong', but I'm happy to wait until there is more one-sidedness in market opinion. Otherwise, there is no real "edge".
Either way, trading for profits doesn't require you to be right/wrong. it requires you to get in and get out. The bank account doesn't care where the money comes from.
Plus, we've seen it all before; they'll hold too long and ride it back down as they always do instead of taking profits because they are married to their beliefs.
Don't get married to your beliefs about the market. Be fluid.
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Bitcoin is squeezing as much as possible out of bears and the bulls on its first real test of the 200D MA this bear market.
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@CacheTrading Alright bro, the 4year cycle is dead,from here we’re going up forever.
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$BTC Algo Trading anyone?
Ever wonder what algorithmic trading looks like on the charts?
Near perfect staircase pattern with consistent buys into a key level resistance until a short-squeeze occurs. Then they sell once liquidity is taken.
Math + Money = Market Maker Magic
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@joao_wedson So are they trying to sell at the current price while there’s liquidity?
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Bitcoin OGs move their old coins during moments of opportunity, usually when the price is rising.
They stop moving them during bear markets.
They are not worried about exact tops or bottoms. They are focused on when to liquidate their positions.
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ski72 retweetledi
@DieguitoCharts Let the market makers exhaust themselves in this range while you wait for the high-conviction 80K breakout to 84K or the 76K breakdown to the 67K retest.
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@WiggoChris2351 @ChentoTrades It's just a small deposit, can't afford to move the price
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Not great but unbothered.
Plan remains the same, yes we might go slightly higher, still dca’s at:
✅80k
✅81k
✅82k
And even higher if needed. Also don’t make the mistake assuming this is my whole port, this is just the 500k-5m challenge and don’t worry I will manage risk.
May is notorious for being RED, we seen irrational behaviour from every market last month, with global tensions rising, biggest energy crisis ever pending and hawkish FED stance.
Yes, markets can stay irrational longer than we can normally stay liquid but fundamentally, no reason for me to close as of yet. $btc
Chento@ChentoTrades
Today’s probability 74.2% down $btc
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@goldas_trader Bang di htf masih ada possible sentuh 67k lagi gak ya?
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Lu lebih suka trade HTF atau LTF ?
Nyocokin aja
GoldasT@goldas_trader
$BTC Nice move and sniper entry lol Selalu ingat profit!!
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