Tommy
476 posts
Tommy
@tommyusu
DAY TRADER . FOREX . CRYPTO. MUFC FAN
Katılım Şubat 2022
234 Takip Edilen183 Takipçiler
Tommy retweetledi
More reason to buy $AMERICA
Most tokens have zero narrative. Like, surely you cant imagine this being something. No catalyst to speculate on etc. just total fairy dust bs. Stop buying fresh launches. Plain and simple, look for coins that are at least a few wees old with an active community.
“America Is Back” is your safe haven, you can sleep on your bags here.
AVA8YuCsD2YgUSpdv3Hb2cjpdf8XAhGwyXmchxwopump
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@0xPhilanthrop Glad to see someone turning a tough week into a major win using AI execution. t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…
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I got fired yesterday.
Rent hit the same week.
Bank account was almost empty.
So I asked Claude one question:
“Find the smartest traders on Polymarket and build me their edge.”
By morning:
$25 → $4,237
Copytrade t.me/PolyGunSniperB…
Claude analyzed thousands of wallets from the past 90 days.
Not just profits.
Timing.
Position sizing.
Market selection.
Reaction speed.
Most wallets were gambling.
A handful weren’t.
It found the traders consistently front-running narratives before the market caught up.
Then it built an autonomous trading agent around their behavior.
The agent watches live news,
tracks sentiment shifts,
detects mispriced odds,
and executes trades automatically.
Every position sized with Kelly.
I deployed it before bed.
Woke up to 94 completed trades and a balance I couldn’t stop staring at.
No charts.
No manual entries.
No panic.
Just machine-speed execution.
That’s the real advantage now.
Not more information.
Faster interpretation.
Philanthrop@0xPhilanthrop
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@dunik_7 The favorite-longshot bias is real. If you skip the math, you are just funding the liquidity. t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…
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99% of Polymarket copy-traders are down 40% within 3 weeks.
not because they followed the wrong whale. because they skipped the math.
a 1¢ contract should win 1% of the time. it wins 0.43%.
43¢ back per dollar worse than a Vegas slot at 93¢.
the favorite-longshot bias. measured since the 1940s.
the 4 filters that separate copy-trading from gambling:
/ Sharpe, not P&L
/ calibrated EV, not market-implied price
/ quarter-Kelly, not the whale's raw size
/ edge after slippage, or don't execute
here's what the copy-trade shills bury:
he single biggest documented win in prediction-market history ~$85M on the 2024 US election wasn't a quant bot.
it was one trader (the press called him "Théo") with one contrarian thesis: public polls carried social-desirability bias.
no copy button. no Sharpe screen. one edge nobody else priced in.
the math keeps you from blowing up. it does not hand you an edge.
"copy this 99% win-rate wallet" has it exactly backwards.
by the way, this is the trader who uses these 4 rules @bonereaper?via=999" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@bonereaper?vi…
you can copy-trade using this service t.me/poly_parlay_bo…
Movez@0xMovez
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@banan_crypto @Polymarket Real edge comes from analyzing the strategy, not just blindly matching orders. t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…
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You risk losing everything if you are a copy trader
On @Polymarket, you can view every trader
And it seems obvious to find and copy a trader with the best Win Rate and the biggest PnL
BUT the blind copy-trading that many ppl do will blow up your deposit
I mean copying a trader without understanding the principles behind his trading
There're traders who make $10K a day trading 5-min markets
And most of them are high-speed bots
Such a bot [@0x1979ae6b7e6534de9c4539d0c205e582ca637c9d-1769439463256?r=bananacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0x1979ae6b7e6…]
If you decide to copy this, your copy-trading bot is unlikely to be fast enough
In the blink of an eye, you’ll get loads of losing trades and your deposit will be gone
I also know many ppl have tried to copy sports traders
It's also risky because most sports traders with a huge PnL are gamblers who are lucky at the moment
A sports trader who lost his luck [@secondwindcapital?r=bananacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@secondwindcap…]
What's more even if you do find a real expert, copying them blindly via a bot is still dangerous
He may hate copy traders and make you lose
There was such a case with the trader "NeverYES"
His acc [@neveryes?r=bananacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@neveryes?r=ba…]
So, instead of blindly copy trading, analyse strategies of prof traders
Like @PMTraderAdam [@pmtraderadam?=bananacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@pmtraderadam?…]
Look at what they do but you don’t. What tools they use. What they trade
Then you will grow as a Trader. Not just a copy
banana0x@banan_crypto
It’s a different level of success in trading when others copy you While analysing sports trader @chiwawinha, I found @Polymarket acc copies him > Orig acc with $104K PnL [@chiwawinha?r=bananacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@chiwawinha?r=…
] > "chiwawinhacopy" acc [@chiwawinhacopy/r=bananacrypto" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@chiwawinhacop…] It copies almost every trade from the orig acc I know copy traders can cause problems for real traders But when you’re a sports trader, it’s a good sign that ppl consider you an expert English
@Dan1ro0 High-frequency market making is the ultimate way to extract daily yield. t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…
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HOW DOES THIS QUANT BOT PRINT $10,489 IN PROFIT PER DAY
+$209,777 PnL in 20 days on Polymarket
Only on short Bitcoin “Up / Down” markets
On Apr 30, this wallet switched to a high-frequency market-making style using Bayesian + Stoikov pricing rule
P(H|D) = P(D|H) · P(H) / P(D)
Most profitable trades:
$4,958 → $12,432 (+$7,473 +150.73%)
$4,278 → $11,165 (+$6,887 +160.99%)
$5,771 → $12,130 (+$6,359 +110.19%)
This Quant Bot’s wallet:@0xb55fa1296e6ec55d0ce53d93b9237389f11764d4-1777575277609?via=dan-kwpx" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@0xb55fa1296e6…
Trader funded this account with $216,600 and is now up roughly +96.9% ROI
The Bayesian layer is what allows the bot to refresh fair probability before the market fully catches up
f = (bp - q) / b ;
Kelly is the sizing rule. It decides how aggressively the bot should press once the setup is there
r = s - qγσ²(T - t) ;
Stoikov is the quote and inventory controller, helping the strategy keep exposure balanced while positions are being built
So this is not some random wallet blindly clicking both outcomes, this is
{ YES + NO is below 100¢ }
VALIX@RetroValix
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@martynov014 @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade @PolymarketSport Capitalizing on massive Premier League upsets is the ultimate profit loop. t.me/KreoPolyBot?st…
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this trading bot earned $387,000 by Manchester City's failure
legendary @Polymarket wallet swisstony earned another big profit in one day
he made a lot of predictions at game Bournemouth vs Manchester City and became richer
check profile @swisstony?r=deposited" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@swisstony?r=d…
you can copytrade him and take profits every day
also i can congratulate Arsenal fans, you deserved it
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Tommy retweetledi
Tommy retweetledi
Tommy retweetledi
If youre a memecoin project looking for a way to grow your userbase and have fun creating content, then you need @kekfunTG
You can promote your group, share your memes and create images to share on social media including X, Instagram and Tiktok formats.
Something nice for the community, created by your favorite fish on @ethereum
$MACKE made @kekfunTG
KekFun@kekfunTG
Say hello to KEKFUN – the easiest, fastest way to create and share custom, sticker-based memes right inside telegram! Intuitive interface and uses your meme groups stickers, you'll be cranking out bangers in seconds.
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Tommy retweetledi
@Vibatron $MACKE Low cap ETH gem with real potential as volume continues to grow.
CA: 0xD69a0A9682F679f50e34dE40105A93BEbB2fF43d
TG: t.me/mackerelcoin Don’t miss this opportunity, the fish is ready to swim higher 🐟🔥
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Tommy retweetledi
@eth_exy $MACKE is gaining strong momentum on Ethereum. This low supply fish is positioned perfectly for the next big move while many are still watching.
CA: 0xD69a0A9682F679f50e34dE40105A93BEbB2fF43d
TG: t.me/mackerelcoin Get positioned early and ride the wave 🌊 🔥
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Big win for president Trump, many people have counted Trump out of midterms if you believe the polls. But we know better than to trust that, if any man can do it… Trump can.
A media storm is brewing, are you positioned for the political meta that is about to takeover.
“ $AMERICA IS BACK ” the new slogan to rally behind.
AVA8YuCsD2YgUSpdv3Hb2cjpdf8XAhGwyXmchxwopump x.com/DavidJHarrisJr…
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Ive noticed around 10 wallets that just keep buying daily. To some it might not be much, but this is what real conviction looks like and this is a tell tale sign that $AMERICA has believers who will just keep eating up the supply.
This is one of the best ways to build a good bag in America Is Back, everyday add a few hundred or thousand. Before you know it you have a 1% or 2% bag.
Rotate your profits from daily shitters, to conviction long term plays.
AVA8YuCsD2YgUSpdv3Hb2cjpdf8XAhGwyXmchxwopump
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Tommy retweetledi
$AMERICA #AMERICAISBACK 🇺🇸
I asked grok how much he thinks will Be spent on AMERICA IS BACK messaging
“Hundreds of millions (potentially low-to-mid hundreds) are likely to be spent on efforts tied to"America is Back" messaging through 2026” Total political ad spending projected at $10+ billion for midterms (record high)”
฿ITCOIN🪬TRAPPΞR@BITCOINTRAPPER
$AMERICA > $MAGA 🇺🇸 These posts below go into detail on why I think $AMERICA could follow $MAGA “MAGA” was centered on a pre-election struggle. #AmericaIsBack 🇺🇸represents victory, successful policy delivery, and national resurgence under the current administration. $AMERICA directly ties into this official White House slogan, which has been prominently featured by President Trump and the administration throughout 2026 Key Upcoming Catalysts 🇺🇸July 4, 2026 250th Anniversary Major national celebrations under the Freedom 250 initiative, led by a presidential task force chaired by President Trump and Vice President Vance. Highlights include large-scale events in Washington D.C a national jubilee of prayer on the National Mall (May 17), Memorial Day at Arlington, Great American State Fair (June 25–July 10), Patriot Games, parades, fireworks, and more. These will deliver months of sustained patriotic momentum. 🇺🇸2026 Midterm Elections: Framed as a referendum on the administration’s agenda, with strong Republican momentum and significant funding support from Elon Musk for candidates and super PACs. 🇺🇸Ongoing Policy & Cultural Wins: Regular White House recaps (e.g., “365 days of wins”) and addresses linking achievements in the economy, border security, and foreign policy to the “America Is Back” theme will be creating recurring media cycles all year. 🇺🇸Strong Institutional Adoption The slogan has become the defining message of national resurgence, with broad official backing 🇺🇸White House, Potus, VP and government platforms have updated X banners, headers, and digital branding to feature “America Is Back.” The official White House YouTube channel has done the same, including a dedicated video. 🇺🇸House Speaker Mike Johnson endorsed it as “the right slogan” during a February 2026 bill-signing. President Trump debuted the official “America Is Back!” red hat on the Resolute Desk. Why this positions $AMERICA and #AMERICAISBACK to mimic (and potentially surpass) $MAGA’s run: $MAGA exploded during the pre-election hype by perfectly capturing the underdog fight and cultural movement. $AMERICA now rides the victory phase with the same patriotic energy but backed by official government branding, sustained national events, and continuous policy wins throughout 2026. Instead of a single campaign spike, it benefits from recurring catalysts > the 250th anniversary celebrations, midterm momentum with Musk’s funding, and daily White House messaging — creating longer, more durable narrative fuel, deeper institutional legitimacy, and broader mainstream cultural penetration that a pure pre-election token couldn’t maintain. These milestones embed the slogan into national celebrations, electoral cycles, and official government identity — giving it sustained narrative power and relevance far beyond a legacy pre-election token like MAGA. AVA8YuCsD2YgUSpdv3Hb2cjpdf8XAhGwyXmchxwopump
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