sarang

$ASTS Q1 2026 — Grade: 4 / 10 | Direction: Negative on the print, thesis intact What the print actually showed Headline misses were severe: Revenue $14.7M vs $36.6M consensus → ~60% miss GAAP EPS −$0.66 vs −$0.20 expected → 3x wider loss than feared YoY revenue +1,952% but off a $0.72M base (math doesn't mean what it looks like) The loss math has an asterisk: $88.65M induced conversion expense on convertible notes $55.35M stock-based comp charge Together that's $144M of non-operating drag on a $191M net loss. Adjusted, the operating loss is closer to $47M — still bad, but not as scary as the headline EPS. The real worry — cash burn cadence: Operating expenses $164.1M (+157% YoY) Cash used in ops + investing: $427M this quarter (~$1.7B annualized) Engineering alone was $84M, G&A $44M — the build is real and expensive $3.5B cash cushion = ~2 years runway at this pace before needing capital

TWI Top Trades ⚡️ @spacemnke $TSLA 400C (+675%) @spacemnke $SPX 7200P (+624%) @tradersarangc $APP 500C (+362%) @tradersarangc $CAR 150P (+273%)

@spacemnke Happy to join you every day for overtrading 🤣

Over trading 😂

@spacemnke @twinsight_x 1000000000000000000XP 🤣

@twinsight_x @tradersarangc Nice seeing you becoming an Offside believer. Great execution @tradersarangc This could become a multi-day trade. XP for me?

May 7 Trade Recap 🔥 @tradersarangc $APP 500C 3.30 -> 15.25 (+362%) ☢️ $QCOM 200C 4.65 -> 18.38 (+295%) 🚀 $APP 530C 5.35 -> 6.35 (+19%) @spacemnke $SPX 7325P 3.85 -> 13.50 (+251%) 🚀 $TSLA 400C 3.45 -> 11.20 (+225%) 🚀 $SPX 7335C 2.85 -> 6.00 (+111%) 🔥 $TSLA 420C 2.35 -> 3.60 (+53%) $BA 235C 2.75 -> 3.85 (+40%) $SPX 7340P 2.00 -> 2.70 (+35%) $QCOM 220C 1.89 -> 2.41 (+28%) $TSLA 415C 2.23 -> 2.50 (+12%) $AAPL 290C 2.05 -> 2.26 (+10%) $INTC 115C 2.00 -> 2.14 (+7%) $TSLA 415C stopped $AAPL 290C stopped @TradewithTC $TSLA 415C 4.00 -> 5.00 (+25%) $NVDA 220C 2.50 -> 2.70 (+8%) $ORCL 200C stopped $SPX 7330P stopped

Earning Summary $AFRM $NET $COIN $IREN $CRWV

$CVNA Free fall? Carvana shareholders approve five-for-one stock split and new incentive plan

$SMCI Nice strcture on daily ... Daily close above 35 can pick up momentum

🔷 ARM Holdings Q4 FY26 — Grade: 7/10 ✅ 📊 Revenue $1.49B ✅ (est $1.47B) 💰 EPS $0.60 ✅ (est $0.58) 📈 Royalties $2.61B record FY 🚀 Data center royalties 2x YoY ⚠️ Q1 FY27 EPS guide $0.36–0.40 (soft) ⚠️ Stock +84% YTD, above avg PT ~$180 Verdict: Solid beat, AI royalty thesis intact — but modest beat for a stock priced at 80x+ forward. 🎯 Fair value ~$185 🐻 Bear $130–160 ⚖️ Base $175–210 🐂 Bull $240–280 Not financial advice 📉📈

$APP AppLovin Q1 2026 — Quick Summary Grade: 9/10. Strongly positive. Clean beat-and-raise: Revenue $1.84B (est $1.77B), +59% YoY Adj. EBITDA $1.56B at 85% margin EPS $3.56 (est ~$3.45) Q2 guide raised above Street ($1.92–1.95B revenue) $1B in buybacks; FCF $1.29B Negatives: SEC ad-attribution probe still active; e-commerce / Axon Ads inflection didn't blow the doors off — solid execution, not a thesis-changer. Fair value: ~$610 base case (≈35× 2026E EPS ~$17.50). Bear $480–520 Base $580–650 Bull $700–760

$MS watch aboe 192-194 area can make a move to 200+

🔥May 5 Trade Recap 🔥 **Day Trade ** $PLTR 135P $1.92 -> $3.17 (+65%) $GOOGL 392.5C $3.20 -> $5.08 (+59%) $ISRG 460C $5.55 -> $6.25 (+13%) **Swing Trades ** $QCOM 200C 4.65 -> 7.03 (+51%) $USAR $2.51 -> $3.00 (+20%) #options #trading #tradewithinsight

$PLTR day 2 contination below 135 on watch tomorrow

$META below 600 top watch 592 and potentially 575 target below

$ASML Downtrend break ... will watch above 1480

$APLD all time high break on watch

$SPOT watching break below 419

$SHOP Nice setup to watch below 110

$SHOP Grade: 6.5 / 10 — Mixed (headline beat, but guidance soured the print) The reported numbers look great in isolation, but there's an important gap between the adjusted/non-GAAP numbers in your post and what the market actually saw this morning. What you posted (the good story) Adj. EPS $0.36 vs $0.33 est (+9.1%), +44% YoY Revenue $3.17B vs $3.08B est (+2.8%), +34.3% YoY 15% FCF margin, GMV >$100B in the quarter Q2 revenue guide $3.40–3.46B vs $3.40B est What the tape is reacting to Shopify posted a Q1 GAAP net loss of $0.45 per share vs FactSet estimate of $0.24 EPS — driven by ~$581M of unrealized investment losses on its equity portfolio marketscreener SHOP fell ~7% premarket as Q1 net income missed expectations despite the 34% revenue beat coincentral Bloomberg framed it as "Shopify Drops as Forecast Suggests Slowing Revenue Growth Pace" — the Q2 "high-twenties" guide is a clear deceleration from Q1's +34%, and the midpoint only barely clears consensus Bloomberg Going in, consensus expected ~31% Q1 revenue growth and ~32% GMV growth — set against that bar, GMV (+35%) beat but the forward guide didn't re-accelerate

$PLTR Grade: 9.5/10 — about as clean a print as a hypergrowth company can deliver. Overall: Strongly Positive. This is a beat-and-raise on every line that matters, and the magnitude of the raise is the headline. Why it's elite (not just good): The numbers cleared every bar: Revenue beat by 6.1%, EPS beat by ~18% Revenue growth accelerated to 85% YoY (their highest ever) — for a company at $6B+ run rate, that is genuinely rare U.S. commercial +133% YoY, U.S. government +84% — both segments firing Rule of 40 at 145% — that's NVIDIA / Micron / SK Hynix tier, essentially unheard of for software at this scale GAAP operating margin 46%, adj operating margin 60%, FCF margin 57% — they are growing 85% and expanding margins $8.0B cash, no debt issues RDV (remaining deal value) on U.S. commercial +112% YoY — the backlog tells you the next several quarters are already loaded The guide raise is the key: FY2026 raised from $7.18–7.20B → $7.65–7.66B (~$465M raise, 5.4% above consensus) Q2 guide $1.80B vs $1.679B consensus — a 7%+ guide-up for next quarter alone U.S. commercial FY guide raised to >$3.22B (120%+ growth) Adj FCF guide $4.2–4.4B implies massive cash generation Karp explicitly raised to 71% full-year growth, +10pts vs prior guide There is essentially nothing to nitpick in the operating results. The only thing the bears can hold onto is valuation.