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@triflingdawg
AT LEAST I’M ENJOYING THE RIDE
United States Katılım Temmuz 2021
2.3K Takip Edilen1.1K Takipçiler

Why is she dressed like she made it to the final table at the world series of poker
Erika Kirk@MrsErikaKirk
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TODAY’s WHALES:
PISTONS -2.5
OKC (NO BETS) 🚫
HAWKS +2.5
NUGGETS ML
LETS GET ANOTHER SWEEP 🧹
Trent Attyah@BookitWithTrent
NBA PLAYOFF PIKKIT PLAN: Here’s what i’m nuking this weekend⬇️
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Indiana: to send a little love your way, we’re going to re-air a couple of shows from the last time we came through on nugs.net. 🛋️ 8pm ET
nugs.net/billystrings

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NEW — A three-day child sex sting operation in Johnson County ends in the arrest of 19 men.
Sheriff Duane Burgess tells us his agency, along with several other police departments, conducted the operation from Tuesday to Thursday this week.
Investigators targeted people who use the internet to exploit children.
The youngest person arrested was 19; the oldest was 68. Nine of the 19 arrested men are younger than 30.
A majority of the people arrested are from Indianapolis, Greenwood, Franklin, Bloomington and Plainfield. One of the men arrested is from Columbus, Indiana.
One of the people picked up is from as far away as Tampa, Florida.
17 of the men were arrested for child exploitation.
None of the men have been officially charged. The Johnson County Prosecutor's Office will make the final charging decision.
(NOTE: 13News does not name criminal suspects until criminal charges are filed by a prosecutor.)
In a statement, Sheriff Burgess said:
"This is a powerful example of what can be accomplished through strong partnerships. Our agencies are united in our mission to protect children and ensure Johnson County remains a safe place to live, work and raise a family."

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@OhioTate “As always, it just kinda works out”
x.com/panicsetlists/…
Panic Setlists@PanicSetlists
Set postponed due to rain
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Against all odds, we have arrived back at the hotel safe and sound.
Mintzy’s phone is under 20% and he needs to charge it for the ride to and from the concert.
Mintz has announced an 8:15 pm departure from the hotel to go see Set 2 of Widespread Panic.

Ohio’s Tate@OhioTate
Per the broken glass doors and boarded up windows, I’m not sure we’re walking through the best area of Birmingham.
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@alane1099 Overall winning season, but…I bet my bets also, so sorry. Hopefully today is back to form
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Zona / Michigan
The Real National Championship, all due respect to the other teams. These squads, along with Duke, have been in a different tier from the rest of the country for most of the year. They've been 2 of the posterchildren of the new "jumbo" era of college basketball. If I have to settle for it being in the F4 instead of the Championship, so be it. Elite coaches. NBA talent aplenty. Both teams are Top 5 nationally on both sides of the ball. Absolute juggernauts in every sense of the word
Much has been rightfully made of the Michigan 3P shooting as they’re up to 44.6% during the tournament. While some portion of that is inherently unsustainable over enough sample, the question more becomes does it crop up in this specific instance. The REAL reason this offense has hit another gear is b/c the guards have been hitting perimeter shots. I mean, even Roddy freakin’ Gayle is shooting over 50% from 3 in his L5. That’s when you know you’re cooking with jet fuel. Cadeau has shot the “worst” of them over the last 5 games & he’s still at 36% from the arc during that stretch. With all the attention that the frontcourt requires, if you have to ALSO worry about their role player perimeter shooting, that’s running uphill in a mudslide
These offenses operate somewhat similarly at a few foundational levels. They’re elite transition attacks that leverage overwhelming size and frontcourt positional athleticism to assault the rim at some of the highest rates in the country. Where they diverge; however, is at the arc, where Michigan has a 42% 3PRate on the year compared to Arizona’s 26.4% which is the 3rd lowest rate of 365 D1 teams. Inevitably, this will be the easiest talking point for every Tom, Dick, and Harry with a $20 KenPom subscription thinking they know ball. Handicapping the 3P line is obviously as important as it is in any game, but we’ll touch on more of that later
When you start to look at things defensively, the first thing that pops up is that Michigan tends to possess several necessary components to slow this Arizona offense. Wolverines are 98th percentile in Fastbreak Points Allowed per 100 on the year and just held a Bama team who plays at breakneck speed to a total of 7 fastbreak points in their matchup when the Tide were in a trailing game script all 2H. Only 2 of those 7 Bama FB points came in the first half when the game was still up for grabs. It would also be malpractice to compare the frontcourts of Bama & Zonas’ frontcourts, even as apples-to-oranges. That would be like comparing the rubber eraser of a #2 pencil to F1 performance tires. Tennessee’s frontcourt is physically formidable but also unfathomably incompetent scoring at the rim. It is nearly impossible to poke holes in a defense that has a 7’3 rim eliminator, another guy who will play 8-10+ years in the NBA b/c of his defense, and a small forward who is T225 in BLK% with a 99thpercentile Personal Foul Efficiency (Stocks/Fouls) mark.
HOWEVER. And a big however. A however that could dictate a lot more than the numbers can quantify in this game. You don’t beat Michigan by going over them at the rim. There is no shooting ‘over’ Aday Mara consistently with success. The only option is to go THROUGH them. And if you had to choose one frontcourt in the country to out-physical Michigan on the interior….it’s probably a frontcourt consisting of lab-made specimens like Krivas, Peat, and especially Awaka. Like I said, I can’t quantify what this is worth to a line. And this may be completely anecdotal. But what I do know is that if you value an angle like this, there are likely correlated effects elsewhere that the Cats benefit from. Playing through Michigan’s frontcourt inherently implies those guys face some foul troubles. You start seeing And-1’s that juice your entire team. It’s always easier to get in a stance and guard your ass off after you hit a shot or see a teammate make a big play. Stuff like that. I am warming to this possibility more and more as we get closer to tip-off, especially when you combine that with the fact that Michigan has been the most susceptible on the defensive glass amongst the handful of "jumbo lineup" teams and Zona has a path with 2nd chance points being a healthy portion of their offense
The inverse of that entire point is "what if we see an Arizona team more apt to shoot 3’s than their season-long numbers indicate". After all, Michigan does leverage some packline principles defensively, even if that is the exact opposite-sized team you tend to scheme that type of defense for. For the first couple days of this week, I had a tin foil hat conspiracy that maybe Michigan’s rim denial would force the Cats into a higher-than-expected 3P quantity sheerly from the difficulty in not only getting to the rim but also scoring once you do get there. I find myself backing off this due to much of what I touched on in the physicality department. Whether or not Arizona truly owns that advantage remains to be seen, but I tend to think that they at least push the envelope on that front, and if they have to resort to shooting 3s should things go awry, then maybe they change course midway through. Think I fall on the side that Arizona will fly right into the teeth of the Michigan defense, for good or for worse. Whether they succeed in doing so likely determines a large part of this game.
But as I have grown higher on Zona the past 24ish hours, there is also a key ingredient that they are missing offensively that nearly every opponent who found success against Michigan had. A stretch big (i.e. Wisco’s Austin Rapp who damn near did it to them twice this year). And not only does Zona not have a stretch big, but their entire frontcourt is also 100% dorkable defensively. I think Zona can still play through that frontcourt, but I also think the lack of big man shot gravity REALLY lets that defense sag and send help in the key.
I’ve touched on how Arizona has outs at the rim due to their physicality. I’ve also hinted at the fact that I think Zona stays rim-hungry here, to the best of their ability at least. These frontcourts may be the two best defensively in the country, and at worst, they’re 2 of the best 5.
But flip it on its head again. What if we are bullish on Zona’s Near Proximity opportunities, but we’re worried about their efficiency around the cup? Completely fair point, and does speak to the added difficulty in scoring against Michigan’s frontline when you don’t have a stretch big to open things up, but the Cats backcourt, especially as it pertains to getting downhill and challenging the rim? We know Bradley wants to force the issue. Also has a substantial POA size advantage. Burries is more than capable every possession he’s on the floor. Cadeau, aside from odd 1H foul issues cropping up at points throughout the year, is also not overly adept at preventing opponents from turning the corner. McKenney is a bigger bodied guard but still a frosh with some defensive question marks. What I am trying to say is that Zona can reaffirm their season-long, rim assault identity while having additional outs at the tin via their backcourt creating those opportunities
Back to the defensive side. Arizona is more of the traditional drop coverage that is happy funneling opponents into Krivas whereas Michigan is much more an all-out rim denial scheme where they are willing to switch 1 through 5 to force isolation because they trust their athleticism to scramble well on the back end. I understand why the Wolverines hard hedge and take away the rim given the mobility of Morez/Yaxel. I also wish they played more like Zona on that side of the ball, because you will inevitably be susceptible in higher volume 3P contests with the way they send help to drivers. You do all this work recruiting the biggest frontcourt ever, all in an effort to raise your ceiling, to be less ‘upset proof’ (which they’re correct in assuming), and then you deploy a scheme that lets completely inferior teams like Bama hang around for half the game? Yes, at multiple times throughout the year, opponents have shot well in the first half against Michigan, only to be absolutely roadkilled in the final 20 (didn’t think we’d get a Northwestern subtweet in the write-up but here we are). Probably isn’t as much a concern here given Zona’s shot diet as it could be in a potential championship matchup against two teams who not only hunt 3’s but also can be pretty efficient doing so.
Couple other things to mention about the 3P line part of the matchup. When Michigan played a similar (albeit much more passive passing lane) drop coverage vs Bama, the Wolverines ran a 40.9% 3PRate—basically at their season-long average. When they played a team who sells out in the gaps like Tennessee, that jumped to over 48%. Arizona will fall much more towards the Alabama side, which means Michigan, one of the lowest midrange teams in the country, either jams it at the cup or shoots more 3Pointers because they’re just not going to settle for midrange opportunities in any quantity. Where Arizona has been more willing to entertain the midrange offensively, Michigan tends to lean towards the arc when forced with the choice of contested shots off the bounce, shooting over a drop big, or downhill shrink-3’ing their way to an eventual 3P opportunity.
Will Michigan shoot 44% from the 3P line? Very likely not. Zona is much more likely to take their chances defending underneath 1-on-1 in order to stay home on shooters. They have also been a borderline elite 3PD% all season long and was 1st in the B12 during conference play. SQ does have them as a 'fortunate' 3P Defense on the season by a couple percentage points, but they're also one of these teams with incredible positional length that may be tough to truly quantify how difficult their closeout contest is within the analytics.
When you look at how Dusty May could look to deploy their defense, I think ideally you are pretty content with anyone outside of Burries/Dell'Orso taking as many 3's as they would like in this matchup. ADO's minutes have backtracked the past couple games, but we also saw him carry that offense for two straight games while the team dealt with illness through the dog days of B12 play including the win at Houston. Not a bad 'break glass in case of emergency' option.
I think Michigan is also likely to send a fair bit of digs and doubles at the post, especially if we think that Michigan isn't THAT afraid of Arizona's 3P efficiency. If the Wolverines were totally content letting Bama launch 47 (!!!) 3's in a game that they were prohibitive favorites so long as they didn't land on the wrong side of the 3P variance...I have to believe that lack of respect means they can bring help from a couple spots on the floor
First place I looked prop-wise for this game was Burries 3's and Bradley assists, partly due to Arizona's rotation & usage being much more predictable game-to-game. If we think Michigan sends help on drivers, and they are difficult to score against at the rim, both of those props are in pretty decent spots although you aren't getting any sort of discount on either
Yax has been a set-it-and-forget-it points guy basically all of postseason play. He can throw up 8-10 points in a couple minute stretch with the way that offense can snowball. The only caution I would have here is that Kharchenkov may be the most underrated defender, especially at the wing, in the country. Plenty of upside in a well-paced game but there is more downside than he's been exposed to the past couple matchups.
If we feel that Zona has a path via 2nd chance points on the glass, then you have to feel good about Krivas' T30 OREB% nationally, much less Awaka's preposterous 20%+ OREB% as a 6'8 forward in probably the most physical conference in the country
If wanting Michigan guard props, I'd probably lean towards the side of Burnett having an easier matchup off-the-ball than what Cadeau will see with Jaden Bradley in front of him. That's just never a fun night. McKenney in a similar boat to Nimari. With the Arizona drop coverage, McKenney has shown much better ability to score off the bounce inside the arc while Nimari is much more catch-and-shoot or backcut-reliant
I started out the week sticking to my guns on Arizona being the most consistent best team in the country. I then flipped more to the Michigan side with the way that backcourt is shooting it and the math ball advantage they can push in a game that Zona may struggle to dominate the shot volume as they have in many spots all year. I'm kind of coming back to the Arizona physicality underneath possibly tossing a wrench into how we think this plays out. Solid chance I change my mind another couple times before tip. That's the beauty of this amazing matchup.
G2H I probably slightly favor the Arizona side with the full understanding that Michigan at its best is the only team in the country that could control/lead pillar-to-post vs the Cats. But I'm also not far away from buying into the non-stretch-big aspect really making Zona's scoring path difficult with the way the Wolverines can play defense seemingly 5-on-4 at times.
Best game of the year deserved best write-up of the year. Only lock in this game is that my pants will be nowhere near my body within an hour of tipoff
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@John_Fanta @crimsonquarry Please confirm this is not an evil April Fools joke.
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You will see Darian take on a different approach in the portal. He's going to load up on Big Ten caliber size and get more athletic on the perimeter as well. No shortage of dollars in Bloomington, DeVries can coach. Recalibration offseason - think they will be dancing next year!
Tortured Hoosier@TorturedHoosier
@John_Fanta Hi John long time listener, first time caller I don’t have a question I would just like you to tell me everything will work out with Darian DeVries please
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@Hsisbs82766729 @BarstoolBigCat They have a better shot then Mich St and Purdue I would argue lol
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