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@tryBinary

Predict anything. Beat everyone. The world's first prediction game 🎯 Sports · Crypto · Politics · Culture // Free to play, everywhere. Waitlist ↓

World Katılım Ekim 2022
31 Takip Edilen1.5K Takipçiler
Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@KobeissiLetter This 'deadline' has been priced in for weeks. Markets don’t care anymore. Everyone’s already on to the next fear headline.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
It feels a lot like "Liberation Day" in April 2025: Heading into President Trump's 8 PM ET deadline for Iran tonight, there are a ton of similarities to April 2025. The market is seeing historically high levels of fear, uncertainty is at record highs, and the "fate" of the global economy appears to be in Trump's hands. The difference is that Iran has not folded and they continue to indicate that they will not fold. When tariffs were imposed, many countries folded. When Trump threatened to invade Greenland, Europe came to the table. And, when Trump imposed 130% tariffs on China, a trade deal was reached. But, what happens when a deal is not reached? Tonight, we will likely find out. If Trump moves his "deadline" for the 5th time, Iran gains leverage. If Trump strikes "all Iranian power plants and bridges" as he has threatened, it will mark the biggest escalation yet. We will be covering the situation and providing our analysis in real-time.
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@LeadingReport Funny how energy dominance always means 'taking'. Wonder if this ends any differently than the last few times.
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Leading Report
Leading Report@LeadingReport·
BREAKING: President Trump is considering seizing Iran’s oil to boost US energy dominance, per Bloomberg.
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@Polymarket 21%? This has been priced in for weeks. Traders are already moving on.
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Polymarket@Polymarket·
BREAKING: Crude oil surges above $117 a barrel.
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@KobeissiLetter The last time direct US-Iran communications severed was 1979. Within 18 months: hostage crisis, regional proxy wars, decades of frozen relations. Markets are treating this as theater. History treats it as a threshold. x.com/TryBinary/stat…
Binary@tryBinary

Diplomacy just died. Iran cuts all direct communications with the US after Trump's "destroy your whole civilization" threat. Signal of defiance sent. Markets pricing in what happens next. ❤️ = CALL | 💬 = DROP

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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
BREAKING: Iran has officially cut off all direct diplomacy communications with the United States following President Trump's threat to destroy Iran's "whole civilization." US officials said Iran intended to send a signal of "disapproval and defiance" by severing communications.
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
Diplomacy just died. Iran cuts all direct communications with the US after Trump's "destroy your whole civilization" threat. Signal of defiance sent. Markets pricing in what happens next. ❤️ = CALL | 💬 = DROP
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@whale_alert Over $200M moved and hardly anyone is questioning the destination. Pattern speaks clearly: the market is bracing for a liquidity shuffle. CALL or DROP?
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@ArchieIntel @MillaJovovich most people won’t care that a Hollywood actress just outperformed AI researchers. the market’s still betting on code that actually trades, not stars.
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The Business of Ai 🤖
The Business of Ai 🤖@ArchieIntel·
JUST IN: Legendary Hollywood actress Milla Jovovich has co-developed the highest-scoring AI memory system ever benchmarked! I bet you didn't know that @MillaJovovich has a GitHub either. It's called MemPalace - an agentic memory tool that scored 100% on LongMemEval –– higher on than any other published results 🫡 @bensig
The Business of Ai 🤖 tweet media
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
The market is pricing certainty when history shows strait closures stay rhetorical. Iran threatened the Strait of Hormuz in 2019 and 2022-both times nothing happened. The 0.2% gap isn't skepticism, it's just math. When a threat becomes too obvious, traders stop believing it works. x.com/TryBinary/stat…
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BRICS News
BRICS News@BRICSinfo·
JUST IN: 🇮🇷 Iran says allies will close Bab al-Mandab Strait if conflict escalates, Reuters reports. 12% of world trade passes through it.
BRICS News tweet mediaBRICS News tweet media
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
Iran just threatened to choke off Bab al-Mandab. That's 12% of global trade. Market pricing this at 99.8% probability it escalates. Oil traders already positioning. This isn't rhetoric anymore. ❤️ = CALL | 💬 = DROP
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@unusual_whales Traders have been pricing this since last quarter. Binary flows barely blinked at the spike. CALL or DROP?
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unusual_whales
unusual_whales@unusual_whales·
"AI agents could easily send college grad unemployment over 30%," ServiceNow CEO has said.
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@Polymarket 0 actionable signals in that feed. Our books show traders already positioning more aggressively than what that stream hints at, and the divergence is widening fast.
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
BREAKING: ChatGPT?
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@cryptorover I remember when geopolitical tensions spiked and oil futures went vertical overnight. Traders on our platform are now watching the CALL/DROP ratio spike on defense and energy markets.
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Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover@cryptorover·
SCARY: 🇺🇸 Concerns mounting that Trump may choose to deploy nuclear weapon against Iran - Guardian
Crypto Rover tweet mediaCrypto Rover tweet media
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@Polymarket Market’s barely moved yet, but our traders are already betting on a breakthrough.
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
BREAKING: Senior U.S. official describes current talks with Iran as “positive,” says breakthrough could come today.
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Binary@tryBinary·
@KobeissiLetter The market barely flinched, but Binary traders are pricing chaos tonight.
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
PRESIDENT TRUMP: “A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again. I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will.”
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
The market is pricing this as a coin flip on diplomacy. History says it's not. Every Iran deadline in the last 20 years that came with public confidence statements got extended or ignored-zero for zero on the "tonight" promises. 28% feels like the crowd is buying the certainty in Vance's tone, not the track record. x.com/TryBinary/stat…
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: JD Vance says the U.S. feels confident they can get a response from Iran by tonight’s 8 PM deadline.
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
Vance: U.S. confident in Iran response by 8 PM tonight. Market pricing 28.5% probability this happens. Either diplomacy works or we're about to see a sharp move. ❤️ = CALL | 💬 = DROP
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@whale_alert 280M USDT leaving exchange is positioning, not parking, market volatility follows
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@Polymarket cool photo, but markets still misprice space milestones every time
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: Artemis II crew captures the first ever photo from the far side of the moon.
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@Polymarket Everyone's pretending this is news. Traders priced this in weeks ago. CALL or DROP?
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Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
JUST IN: UK government blocks Kanye West from entering the country, citing “his presence would not be conducive to the public good.”
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Binary
Binary@tryBinary·
@spectatorindex The market is pricing certainty when history shows Iran negotiations collapse and restart 4-5 times per cycle. Trump's 2018 withdrawal took 18 months to produce actual escalation. 100% odds mean zero room for the diplomatic whiplash that always comes. x.com/TryBinary/stat…
Binary@tryBinary

US-Iran negotiations officially off the table. Trump's threats did what diplomacy couldn't. Market pricing this at 99.8% certainty. Geopolitical risk just got real. ❤️ = CALL | 💬 = DROP

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The Spectator Index
The Spectator Index@spectatorindex·
BREAKING: Iranian media says talks and indirect negotiations with the US have been halted following Trump's threats
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