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Tuff_4r
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Tuff_4r
@tuff_4r
God. Family. 🅰️STS. Government Contractor🇺🇸 Freedom. Pintails🦆
God's Country Katılım Şubat 2012
150 Takip Edilen1.5K Takipçiler
$ASTS - Price tends to bottom in early April. 4/5 years it did, it bottomed on:
👉🏽April 19
👉🏽April 14
👉🏽April 2
👉🏽April 4
The average is the 9th.
This aligns with the 1:1 timing window for April 6 being a potential bottom.
Tuff_4r@tuff_4r
$ASTS - There is time symmetry for a bottom window on April 6th. The legs higher have been exactly 1:1 with their resulting pullbacks - in time. Stand guard. Opportunity awaits. Stay tuff. @Omnislash4k2 @smeev4
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@tuff_4r @ASTS_LegallyMAD I usually buy here but, IDK. It may be 63 this time !
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$ASTS - Stock is showing more signs of potential bottoming - should patterns repeat.
When price pulls back 40% and is 25% below the 50d MA, price bottoms.
The resultant gain is 50%.
Tuff_4r@tuff_4r
$ASTS - Price is back to the uptrend line during another 40% decline. Only the tuff survive.
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@ASTS_LegallyMAD Be careful here. You’re going to replace @GeorgeGippLives as the ultimate bottom indicator. Note: not calling it yet but remember EQ > iq
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@tuff_4r Bottom will only come if Trump dies or TACOs completely. While soldiers die and pensions crash, he is making billions with his pals and dancing 🕺. 100% cockwomble
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$ASTS - There is time symmetry for a bottom window on April 6th.
The legs higher have been exactly 1:1 with their resulting pullbacks - in time.
Stand guard. Opportunity awaits. Stay tuff.
@Omnislash4k2 @smeev4
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Each series (4 ea) have produced higher up moves and higher down moves.
1. $17 : $17 👉🏽 1.0x
2. $36 : $23 👉🏽 .618x
3. $62 : $48 👉🏽 .786x
4. $72 : $53? 👉🏽 .618x - .786x
Each pullback retraced .618x or .786x
That gives price a window of 🎯$70 +/- $5
This analysis makes this pullback seem perfectly normal.
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$ASTS - Net volume is still present as shown in Regime #3. While selling is confirmed by the distribution as money isn’t chasing.
Price is now back to $80 level although OBV is maintaining higher regime levels.
$70 might be tested before catalysts bring back accumulation.
Tuff_4r@tuff_4r
$ASTS - Down 35% from ATH yet OBV is at near ATHs unlike the prior instances which suggests this selloff is being absorbed. Importantly, net volume flow hasn’t broken its accumulation regime change.
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$ASTS
It is possible we are in the same regime as July-October 2025. 35~ bars of consolidation peaking at -41%, followed by 27 bars of expansion.
The ADX & BB are at the same levels as the September lows
To reach the same rel. high as October, would need everything to go well
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$ASTS - Lots of confluence and symmetry at a time when short interest is highest.
B🅰️STARD@smeev4
$ASTS It is possible we are in the same regime as July-October 2025. 35~ bars of consolidation peaking at -41%, followed by 27 bars of expansion. The ADX & BB are at the same levels as the September lows To reach the same rel. high as October, would need everything to go well
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Agreed…the company’s over promise under deliver needs to flip to UPOD. Growing pains. Nonetheless better execution on stated goals is wanted.
Side note, this is why most legacy contractors producing major engineered capital equipment have fulfillment teams that take the product to completion; e.g., wouldn’t have missed the furling stacking. It’s the last mile that matters!
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@tuff_4r That's the technical.
Fundamental, Next week is EoQ1 and just weeks ago, $ASTS said at least 4 launches + ISRO by EoQ1, during the ER they scaled it down to BB7 launched by Eo Feb begin March and that's not happening either.
How many misses with no impact on credibility?
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$ASTS - Technically, price closed below the 32 day pullback low (by 1%).
However, similar levels where lows were confirmed after the 32 day pullback are present:
👉🏽32 day ROC is -15
👉🏽ADX is -12
👉🏽Momentum is above signal but below midline
At these levels, the low was confirmed 1-2 weeks post 32 day low and today is day 4. Perhaps price resolves higher by EOW.
Nevertheless, price has work to do.
Tuff_4r@tuff_4r
$ASTS - In this bullish regime, after a major pullback (+40%), price, time and volatility have reset and consolidated. 32 days after the ATH, price was never lower. 32 days is tomorrow. Average price/time result was 190% gain in 43 days.
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$ASTS - Enhanced Security 5G for LEO CJADC2 Networks
SBIR awards Fairwinds $1,899,993:
👉🏽military 5G waveform (M5GW)
👉🏽LPI/LPD - low probability of intercept/detection
👉🏽anti-jamming capabilities
AST’s architecture is being developed to prove secure and survivable in contested, electronic warfare environments.
sbir.gov/awards/216909
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