
Travis Cardwell
1.9K posts


There is no best to be brought out.
How many ships can you field to deter threats against or protect your interests globally, or even the refueling tankers or supply ships to support them.
How many aerial refuelers do you have to support long range strike operations.
How many bombers do you have?
You are no longer a credible ally because you have gutted your defense industrial base. And now you don't have the economy capable of rebuilding it at scale. Your an import dependent economy with no way to guarantee those imports.
English

I didnt say anything about restricting oil exports completely. You restrict enough to bring the domestic price down, let the majors export the rest for higher profits, about 4m bpd.
You restrict refined fuels exports enough to create a glut and drive down prices at the pump.
The us imports roughly 2.26 mbpd via ship. Any pipeline capacity from Canada or Mexico lacks the spare export capacity to quickly shift to export via ship.
Without that 2.26 mbpd the us would still exceed domestic needs for refined fuel at prices that still generate a profit. Any addition production could be exported for additional profit.
English

@txghost91 @LukeGromen US cannot do export restrictions like China, US has a surplus of light oil and no way to refine it. Storage facilities would overflow and the result would be even higher prices.
English

Third attempt at TACO this week (one early in the week by Trump, one Thursday by Netanyahu - was that a NACHO?)
Both of those failed because Iran and the bond market both get a say.
This TACO attempt and all future ones will also likely fail unless Hormuz is open.
Javier Blas@JavierBlas
BREAKING: Trump on Iran: "We are getting very close to meeting our objectives as we consider winding down our great Military efforts [...] The Hormuz Strait will have to be guarded and policed, as necessary, by other Nations who use it — The United States does not!"
English

The oil majors are still net profit overall globally.
How is this the us problem.
If gas/diesel get high enough he can restrict exports of refined products through ieepa. Past presidents were scared of pissing people off. I don't think that's a worry of his.
If anything it reinforces the need for the global community to step up if the us pulls out. It would then be their mess to clean up to get prices back down.
English

@LukeGromen Even if you had mastery of negotiation, how do you even TACO out of this?
x.com/sentdefender/s…
OSINTdefender@sentdefender
According to Reuters, Iraq has declared force majeure on all oilfields developed by foreign oil companies, citing the ongoing conflict, including Iranian strikes on Gulf nation energy infrastructure, for the move. Per the report, citing officials with knowledge on the matter, "Based on the situation, the ministry ordered a full shutdown of production at affected concession areas, with no compensation arising from the measure under contract terms."
English

@AntiClanker1337 @WarMonitors It does if we leave lol. It's the Gulf states and Europe and Asias problem if they won't be open the straits. We can fly from the us with bombers to hit them when needed and they can't do anything to stop us.
English

@txghost91 @WarMonitors They are launching more rockets and drones daily and getting more hits as interceptors are rationed.
The US doesn't decide when this war ends, it is turning into a quagmire.
English

@babachangamire @Quinn_245 @DuncinSnoles @ukraine_map @WarMonitor3 The recent f35 engagement was ir based. The IRGC released the footage. No it is not invisible in either spectrum, just harder to target. How many have been shot down?
English

@DuncinSnoles @ukraine_map @WarMonitor3 They have years of testing. And apparently have been used in operation epic fury. They are in limited quantities so it's more of a test bed even in deployment, but for limited small scale ground ops could be sent.
English

@txghost91 @ukraine_map @WarMonitor3 What happens when the test fails? Doesn't sound like that's going to be any fun.
English

@JScoreForever @ukraine_map @WarMonitor3 Yes they are in limited quantities. Several units have been deployed with the us army in operation epic fury and the Marines took delivery of several more in late 2025. They have been in testing for a few years now. And they are built to be mobile.
youtube.com/shorts/vLmovz7…

YouTube
English

@txghost91 @ukraine_map @WarMonitor3 There are only a handful of such systems in existence, and I don't believe any of them are particularly mobile.
And while their demonstrations have been impressive, there is little evidence of how the system would perform in real world combat conditions.
English

@Portugnio @juvus @WarMonitors I will give you that. The messaging is always all over the place from this admin.
English

@txghost91 @juvus @WarMonitors Well they're still sending ground troops so don't rush to judgment. Plenty of time to turn this into a month or year long quagmire before turning tail
English

@juvus @vic_zab89 @WarMonitors We've destroyed an estimated 70 billion in military assets and installations at a cost of roughly 20 billion.
When you don't stick around for nation building the costs don't keep adding up.
English

@vic_zab89 @txghost91 @WarMonitors We are losing less jets, but the ones we lose are worth 6 other jets. This war above all is math contest. We are losing the math.
US takes lower material losses yet spends way more than Iran to achieve its goals. Bad sign. Math favors Iran, not US. Accounting gods hate Hegseth 😂
English

Leonidas doesnt care about fiber optics. Looks like the Marines may get to test out their recently delivered anti drone toys.
It's already been used effectively in theater according to accounts, just in limited numbers due to production capacity.
Gen 2 has a 2km range and can kill everything in that zone with 360° coverage.
English

@WarMonitor3 If Iran was like Ukraine, and had hundreds of thousands of Fiber Optic FPV drones. The solders landing around the Strait of Hormuz wouldn’t be there for long.
The FPV drones would decide whether those troops can stay there safely if Iran can use them effectively in large numbers
English

@ForeignPolicy @hofrench As opposed to "allies" leeching off us for decades with favorable trade terms who have allowed their defense industrial base to collapse to the point of being effectively useless in a global conflict?
Your inner globalist is showing.
English

Neither the United States nor the world can afford to have the U.S. presidency mutate into a cancerous dictatorship that continues to ride rampant and roughshod over the rest of the world, writes columnist @hofrench. foreignpolicy.com/2026/03/20/us-…
English

There is no petrodollar.
There is the eurodollar. 100 trillion plus in dollars created outside the us lent to borrowers outside the us with a annual turnover of 15 trillion. The oil market isn't shit.
In 2025 eurodollar issuance outpaced domestic issuance.
Nobody cares about regime change except the CIA and Israel. Let them play their game. The us military has limited scope this time.
English

@txghost91 The US is the GCC’s military arm effectively. That’s the entire premise of our relationship with those states and what held up the petrodollar. They outsourced their military to the US. There is no world where regime change in Iran occurs without a US led ground campaign.
English

@RouhaniBrouhani @WarMonitors Lol I'm the wrong American to play that with. I'm of the mind that if we payed for it we should use it. I want to see what I got instead of social programs.
Now Europe has social programs and no way to solve an energy/fertilizer crisis.
English

@snarkl @DominiqueLaine @Daner_GI @ZelenskyyUa I'm going to practice softball with my daughters. Have a wonderful evening. Enjoy your paradise with skyrocketing food and energy prices and no navy to unblock the trait lol.
English

As early as a year ago, we proposed a Drone Deal to the United States of America, because it is our key partner.
The agreement is not only about interceptor drones. First and foremost, it includes naval drones and long-range drones that have been proven in the war. It also includes a package for the exchange of critical knowledge, training, and so on.
I am very interested in signing this agreement with our close partner – the United States of America. So when President Trump is ready, I will definitely be ready. Our negotiating team will discuss this issue at the meeting in the United States.
From a conversation with journalists (2/3).
English

@CrazedOneOhOne @WarMonitors Ya if my neighbor was trying to build a bomb to extort me or they would blow up my gas line. Nice analogy though.
English

@txghost91 @WarMonitors Thats kinda like going over to your neighbors house and stirring up a bunch of bees then going home after killing a few. They are not decimated. They knew their navy and airforce wasnt shit. They knew their 80+ year old leader was going to die.
English

@RouhaniBrouhani @WarMonitors I hope they don't. More practice for our bombers and a test bed for b21
English

@txghost91 @WarMonitors lol if you think iran is going to stop after trump runs off with his tail between his legs without major concessions, you are a special kind of tard
English

@allcatnomouse @WarMonitors When have we don't this in the past? We've always followed up with boots on the ground then lost the political war.
They are decimated, were flying fucking b52 over them dropping dumb bombs lol.
English

@txghost91 @WarMonitors Weird how that method hasn’t always worked out for you in the past. And you clearly haven’t “decimated” your enemy or solved any actual problems if you need to go waste more money bombing them again lmao
English

@IWorkAtLids @CanadaNoFuture And then we stayed to nation build. Not this time. Get in, get the job done, get out. It's now up to the people who rely on the region for energy to figure it out.
English

@CanadaNoFuture What is the US’ goal in the present conflict with Iran? Did the US not begin the Vietnam War by completely degrading the North Vietnamese’ military capabilities?
English

We just did... We set objectives that protected American interest, and didn't nation build or offer to be the world police. This is a 180 from past us warfare doctrine and if it holds, he hasn't called it game over yet, will be the clearest example that the us is done being the worlds police.
We spent 20 billion and destroyed 70 billion worth of Iranian military capabilities and got out. With the option to launch long range strikes to hit new production and enrichment facilities in the future. And I'm sure Israel will continue its decapitation campaign.
This is what the us should have always done. It only took us 80 years to learn the lesson. Now it's Asia and europes problem to deal with to protect their interests in the region.
English

@txghost91 @WarMonitors You look over 30 but somehow missed history class & never learned about Vietnam 😂 Sir, you clearly know nothing about anything. Laughed my ass off reading it—funny as hell. The US hasn’t changed how it wages war since Korea. 😄 Same playbook with more expensive planes & carriers
English




