Tye Forshee
35.6K posts

Tye Forshee
@tyefor
| Health Management | Physical Therapy | Director of Rehab | Basketball Stats & Salary Cap Enthusiast

I don’t know if the Jazz would’ve tanked this year if they’d gotten Cooper Flagg. By making tanking less valuable the NBA incentivized the Jazz to do it longer. The goal is to make bad teams better as quickly as possible not moralize over the reasons why they’re bad.

My goodness these are all terrible ideas… There needs to be an understanding that teams will be bad in the NBA, it’s an inevitable phase in rebuilding. So prolonging that phase by making it more difficult for teams to get the adequate talent makes no sense. These changes are so mind numbingly dumb that I can only assume that they are driven by the influence of gambling companies

The NBA presented three comprehensive anti-tanking concepts to its Board of Governors on Wednesday, with modifications expected to each before a formal vote in May, per ESPN sources. 1. 18 teams in draft lottery (seeds 7-15 in each conference) – flattened odds, with bottom 10 teams having an 8% chance, the remaining 20% odds distributed in decreasing order for 11 through 18, and and a lottery drawing for all 18 picks. 2) 22 teams in lottery using 2-year record (seeds 7-15, plus the four playoff first round exits in both conferences). Lottery teams would reach a minimum win total floor in each season, such as 25 wins. If a team falls short of the floor, it gets slotted to meet the floor. Top 4 drawn as part of lottery, as is currently. 3) 18 teams in a "5 by 5" lottery – bottom 5 teams have equal odds for the top pick, with lottery formed for picks 1-5. Bottom 5 teams have a floor at 10; those that fall out of top 5 get sorted in a separate drawing.

The problem with the NBA isn’t that the Nets, Wizards, Kings, Pacers and Jazz are tanking. There are always going to be 2-5 bad teams who do so; this lottery is loaded. The problem is that the Grizzlies, Mavericks, Bulls, Bucks are as well. Don’t make that more common!

The NBA is a salary cap league where one player can have an outsized impact on winning. The task at hand should be how do we ensure our worst teams have the highest likelihood of getting those players so their fan bases stay engaged and the league remains healthy

A playoff time should have NO CHANCE at receiving a lottery pick. That is not how you solve the issues with the current system. This gives those teams who actually lack talent and can’t win an even smaller chance to improve and they’ll be stuck forever.

I feel for teams that traded for future draft picks right now. Take Portland. The asset package they got back when they traded a franchise icon in Damian Lillard was built almost entirely around draft picks that will convey after a rule change they couldn’t have known about then.



The NBA presented three comprehensive anti-tanking concepts to its Board of Governors on Wednesday, with modifications expected to each before a formal vote in May, per ESPN sources. 1. 18 teams in draft lottery (seeds 7-15 in each conference) – flattened odds, with bottom 10 teams having an 8% chance, the remaining 20% odds distributed in decreasing order for 11 through 18, and and a lottery drawing for all 18 picks. 2) 22 teams in lottery using 2-year record (seeds 7-15, plus the four playoff first round exits in both conferences). Lottery teams would reach a minimum win total floor in each season, such as 25 wins. If a team falls short of the floor, it gets slotted to meet the floor. Top 4 drawn as part of lottery, as is currently. 3) 18 teams in a "5 by 5" lottery – bottom 5 teams have equal odds for the top pick, with lottery formed for picks 1-5. Bottom 5 teams have a floor at 10; those that fall out of top 5 get sorted in a separate drawing.

The NBA presented three comprehensive anti-tanking concepts to its Board of Governors on Wednesday, with modifications expected to each before a formal vote in May, per ESPN sources. 1. 18 teams in draft lottery (seeds 7-15 in each conference) – flattened odds, with bottom 10 teams having an 8% chance, the remaining 20% odds distributed in decreasing order for 11 through 18, and and a lottery drawing for all 18 picks. 2) 22 teams in lottery using 2-year record (seeds 7-15, plus the four playoff first round exits in both conferences). Lottery teams would reach a minimum win total floor in each season, such as 25 wins. If a team falls short of the floor, it gets slotted to meet the floor. Top 4 drawn as part of lottery, as is currently. 3) 18 teams in a "5 by 5" lottery – bottom 5 teams have equal odds for the top pick, with lottery formed for picks 1-5. Bottom 5 teams have a floor at 10; those that fall out of top 5 get sorted in a separate drawing.

I say this with every round of lottery reform concepts and I’ll reiterate now: any concept that allows Play-In or playoff teams to get the No. 1 pick entirely defeats the purpose of the reverse-order draft as a talent balancing mechanism. The cure is worse than the disease.





