5/ Solskjaer comparison. It doesn't quite hold.
Ole took over 6th and finished 6th. The mood lifted but the season looked the same.
With Carrick the whole trajectory bent upward: 7th to 3rd.
1/ In January, Manchester United were 7th - 11 points off the top two.
Our model gave them a 2.6% shot at a top-three finish. About 1 in 39.
They're now 3rd.
Here's why keeping Carrick was the rational call and not the romantic one 🧵
#carrick#manutd