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예멘 후티 반군이 사우디아라비아에 대한 ‘해상 봉쇄’를 즉각 시행한다고 발표했다.
사우디아라비아는 지금까지 홍해 연안의 얀부항을 통해 하루 약 450만 배럴의 원유를 수출해 왔다.
이 가운데 대부분은 남쪽으로 이동해 예멘과 지부티·에리트레아 사이의 바브엘만데브 해협을 통과한다.

Javier Blas@JavierBlas
BREAKING: Houthis of Yemen announce a a "maritime embargo" against Saudi Arabia, "effective immediately." Saudi Arabia has until now exported ~4.5m b/d from Yanbu in the Red Sea, most of it heading South throughout the Bab al-Mandab Strait between Yemen and Djibouti-Eritrea
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[10일 휴전안] 지난달 체결된 잠정 합의를 되살릴 방안을 모색하기 위해 10일간 휴전하는 내용이 담겼다.
Annmarie Hordern@annmarie
Reuters: Mediators have passed Iran a proposal to de-escalate the war with the U.S. that would offer a 10-day ceasefire to find ways to revive an interim deal reached last month, a senior Iranian official told Reuters on Monday.
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Let's pretend the Iran war never happened.
Where will future oil supply come from? Oil and gas discoveries have collapsed over the past decade.
US shale production growth peaked at roughly 1 mbpd, almost enough to meet all annual global oil demand growth by itself.
The shale boom flooded the market, pushed oil prices lower and discouraged investment in new discoveries.
Oil discoveries:
- Down 60% since 2010
- Down ~90% since 1960
The rise of US shale kept oil prices lower for more than a decade.
Its slowdown is now doing the opposite.
Shale YoY production growth:
- 2023: ~0.8 mbpd
- 2024: ~0.4 mbpd
- 2025: ~0.2 mbpd
That's an 80% decline in just three years.
Who is going to replace the world's only major supply growth engine?

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