austin campbell
18 posts




@obaa_boni This isn’t rape and is normal behavior for a marriage you owe your spouse sex







Timothée Chalamet won't win the Oscar and here's why I broke down the 3 key factors why Michael B. Jordan is overtaking (and likely passing) Timothée Chalamet on Polymarket in the race for 2026 Oscars Best Actor Factor #1 is literally shifting the odds right now. Don’t scroll past Factor #1: "SAG Upset" (Strongest Momentum Shift) Target: Best Actor category. Alpha: Actor votes predict Oscars better than anything else. > Setup: Chalamet was the heavy favorite after Golden Globe + Critics' Choice wins. > Trap: Jordan pulls off the upset at the Actor Awards (ex-SAG) for his dual role in Sinners. > Swing: Odds flip hard Chalamet drops from 79%+ to ~43%, Jordan surges. Result: Jordan now at ~46%, Chalamet at ~43% on Polymarket. Clean momentum swing post-Actor Awards upset, plus BAFTA snub for Marty Supreme. Factor #2: "Dual Role Mastery" (Critical Hype) Target: Game-changing performances. > Scans for transformation + depth. > Hunts "wow" nominations Aggressively bids on underrated turns. Yes, overhype risk exists. But thousands of reviews show Jordan's twin roles in Sinners (Smoke & Stack) delivering consistent acclaim and raw power. And I already wrote this before: Timothée Chalamet is very strange as a sex symbol and even more so as a "Best Actor" frontrunner. His boyish charm and "thinking man's sex symbol" hype isn't the classic masculine transformation or gravitas that usually wins Oscars. Jordan brings duality + intensity that's dominating the narrative right now. You sleep, the market keeps moving. Factor #3: "BAFTA Snub" (Closing Probability) Target: Final 2 weeks before Oscars. > Auto-enters the side with 80%+ historical probability. Full-proof? No. Sudden twist (like Marty Supreme's 0-for-11 BAFTA shutout) could flip it. But statistically, after that snub + Actor Awards upset, momentum usually resolves toward the surge. Jordan has insanely high win rate vibes right now, while Chalamet looks overexposed, divisive, and mismatched for the traditional Oscar "leading man" archetype. Follow for more alpha news polymarket.com/event/oscars-2…



The Election is tomorrow.


I was just briefed by @FEMA_Deanne Criswell on the latest developments about the ongoing impacts of Hurricane Helene. We also discussed our Administration's continued actions to support emergency response and recovery. I also spoke with @NC_Governor Cooper about the ongoing rescue and recovery efforts in North Carolina. Our Administration will continue to stay in constant contact with state and local officials to ensure communities have the support and resources they need. Doug and my thoughts are with all those who lost loved ones and those whose homes, businesses, and communities were damaged or destroyed during this disaster.



















