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vaal101
@vaal_101
Spanish digital artist. 101 dystopia. https://t.co/rl6ZQzaPE2
Katılım Mart 2021
106 Takip Edilen16 Takipçiler

@JLMarin_Trading JL, te recomiendo Fluence Energy. Ticker FNLG . Está aguantando muy bien el chaparrón y tiene una proyección interesante en relación a la tesis energética. Gracias y Saludos
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🚨 THE GLOBAL COLLAPSE IS STARTING IN JAPAN
JPY-USD: ALL TIME LOW
JPY-EUR: ALL TIME LOW
JPY-GOLD: ALL TIME LOW
This is a WARNING. You don’t see this in a normal market.
Japan is the key domino.
When JPY slides like this, it hits the biggest trade on earth: the carry trade.
And when carry trades get squeezed, people start closing positions fast.
Here’s why you should care.
Japan holds about $1.2 TRILLION in US Treasuries.
So when the yen gets crushed, Japanese money often pulls risk back, hedges harder, and sells foreign assets to reduce exposure.
Selling US bonds pushes US rates even higher. Higher rates mean borrowing gets more expensive, liquidity gets tighter, and risk assets start choking.
Why this is GIGA BEARISH.
The cost of money has to go higher.
Refinancing gets more expensive.
Loans get tighter.
Leverage gets cleaned.
Then the charts look fine until they don’t.
And the order is always the same.
BONDS move first.
STOCKS react later.
CRYPTO gets the violent moves first.
If you’re ignoring this in 2026, you’re walking into the punch.
Most people watch charts.
Watch JPY because it’s the early warning.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH.
Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

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“I think we’re looking at a Golden year in American economic history, provided we don’t get some sort of random Black Swan disrupt..ion” -Kevin Hassett
What a strange statement to make.
Black Swan you say?
A random Black Swan event, like a massive stock market crash due to a lack of interest rate cuts from the FED, Japanese rate hikes..etc, which coincidentally also comes when the internet shuts down from a 3I/Atlas comet that happens to be at it’s ‘closest point’ to earth of December 19th. Right? Lol
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BREAKING: The Federal Reserve’s balance sheet fell -$37 billion in November, to $6.53 trillion, to its lowest level since April 2020.
The Fed has reduced its assets by -$2.43 trillion, or -27%, during its quantitative tightening (QT) program, which ended on December 1st after running for 3 years and 5 months.
This unwound 51% of the +$4.81 trillion added during pandemic-era QE.
Treasury securities declined -$4 billion in November, to $4.19 trillion, the lowest since June 2020.
We have now see a -$1.58 trillion decline in treasury securities, or -27.4%, from the June 2022 peak.
Mortgage-backed securities fell -$16 billion last month, to $2.05 trillion, the lowest since November 2020, down -$687 billion from the 2022 peak.
QT is officially over.

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$SPY $SPX today will probably mark a TD 9, so I think we are going to consolidate around here or retest some lower levels until the FOMC meeting next week... unless there is some catalyst that pushes the market to new highs... I think ATHs will come but might take some time... stay tuned! getting interesting!
Outside of indices, I see lot of opportunities in individual names... many stocks jumping out of 100ma and 200ma

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$SPY What You Really Did Not See Today?
Something you do not see often happened today. A JPM Collar Tweak Mid-Quarter. Details below.
1. The SPY opened higher, crushing VIX overnight and into the 10AM EST hour,
2. While this was happening, the $JPM desk was taking advantage of lower VOL and spent "hundreds of millions" on adjusting their hedge fund collar for Q4: they made it more "Bearish-biased" than when they created it end of September. They tried to avoid slippage (price drop from millions in puts) by buying a few millions in short-dated 11/21 and 11/28 calls, but that did not work, you saw how the price tanked from $667 to $661 in no time (!!)
3. My read of the new numbers shown in the table below, courtesy of @CheddarFlow as data source, is that now they go from 5-7% downside cushion, previously to $6330 SPX, now to 4-12% cushion to $6000 SPX
4. The $140+ Millions put purchase on $SPXW at $6900 OTM is interesting, and builds a gamma wall there for dealers to start hedging this new level. This can cap end of the Q4 max price to be just above this number at the $6950 level. If you are thinking $7500 by year end like Tom Lee, now forget about it!
To summarize, JPM readjustd to factor in a larger pullback risk. This move suggests more resistance at $6800, no more easy going through this level, see the table. This means more sideways, more volatility, and when and if $6900 is reached again, there will be a big fight there.
For tomorrow, green bias new moon, pullback risk AM with the Sept job report, then opex Friday, maybe pin the price at a much higher level than the $6600 put wall to expire a lot of puts worthless, we will see a wedge on Friday, most likely, that will also kill 0DTE premia. Bears will be aware post NVDA and are already providing the overnight squeeze.
Share & Subscribe, link in bio:
$SPY $QQQ $IWM $MDY $RUT $DIA $SDOW $SOXX $SOXS $SMH $NVDA $TSLA $YINN $VIX $VXX $TLT $BTC $GLD $SLV $SVXY

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this psychopath put $7m into $NVDA 205c on friday
I think I am going to take this play myself
$NVDA 12/05/2025 205c @ 3.76 (18499 cons)
Who is tailing? @flowtopia_co

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@JLMarin_Trading Pues el hecho de que iba apalancado y que espero alguna corrección pronto... Incertidumbre. El caso es que vuelvo a tener la munición preparada para futuras oportunidades (espero). El resto de mi portfolio es a largo plazo y sin apalancamiento, así que estoy tranquilo. Abrazo!
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@vaal_101 nadie se arruina saliendo en verde... que te hizo tener miedo, o quien te metio miedo... siempre podemos sacar lecciones de como mejorar
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Los 4 ganadores de las tarjetas de Cinesa de 25€ 🎟️ @JuancaGive, @glamourytend, @GutierrezTenis, @cholebcn. Por favor, envíenme un mensaje por privado para poder recibir las tarjetas!
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Día 9 del sorteo 🎬 ¡Hoy sorteamos 4 tarjetas regalo de Cinesa de 25€ para que disfrutes del mejor cine!🍿
Participar es fácil:
1️⃣ Sigue a @giftsy_es
2️⃣ Dale like y retweet
3️⃣ Comenta qué película irías a ver
📢 Ganadores mañana. ¡No te lo pierdas! 🎟️

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