Bain 🌐

13 posts

Bain 🌐

Bain 🌐

@variable_leads

PhD in money

Katılım Mayıs 2020
149 Takip Edilen3 Takipçiler
scrtrybrd
scrtrybrd@ndgbntng·
@Lambda_backlash @godspeed_aflame You seem like a jerk. You clearly said that inconsistent systems are incomplete, and now are telling anyone who corrects this that of course you said the exact opposite of that.
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Moonstruck❤️‍🔥
Moonstruck❤️‍🔥@godspeed_aflame·
godel's incompleteness is maybe the most widely misunderstood mathematical concept. people just seem to have no clue what it actually says
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Oxymoron
Oxymoron@Lambda_backlash·
@variable_leads @godspeed_aflame Compelling. And by compelling, I mean completely useless. Point to the specific claim. Explain why. Use small words if you have to.
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Oxymoron
Oxymoron@Lambda_backlash·
@godspeed_aflame close. the theorem says: if consistent → incomplete. It doesn't require consistency to state the theorem, just to make it interesting. An inconsistent system is still 'incomplete' in the technical sense, just not in a way anyone cares about
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Bain 🌐
Bain 🌐@variable_leads·
@FischerKing64 Kinda confused here. You said you don’t support the original meaning of the second amendment. And then you said you want to overturn incorporation doctrine, which was not part of the original meaning. So what don’t you support about the original meaning of the second amendment?
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FischerKing
FischerKing@FischerKing64·
Some people are saying ‘but you want the original meaning of the Second Amendment right to bear arms though!!!!’ No I don’t. What we should do there is overturn the ‘incorporation’ doctrine that allows SCOTUS to apply the Bill of Rights against the states. That only became a thing in the 20th century really. If we let that dumb idea go, then Nebraska could ban porn (sacred speech under current SCOTUS law) but allow gun rights, and Illinois could ban Saturday night specials but allow Pornhub. Everyone would get what they want - and we could have that ‘competition among the systems’ that would show us what works. My money is on Nebraska.
FischerKing@FischerKing64

The birthright citizenship thing is very simple. It doesn’t make sense in a world of air travel and porous borders where US citizenship is an extraordinarily valuable commodity. Forget the ‘heritage American’ debate or the ‘original meaning’ of anything. It’s just ridiculous now

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Bain 🌐
Bain 🌐@variable_leads·
@drStuartGilmour @JohnMic95688430 @jmwooldridge Listen man I’m interested in what you’re trying to say here but no one wants to watch a 40 minute YouTube video. Do you lay out this argument in a blog post or something ?
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Stuart Gilmour
Stuart Gilmour@drStuartGilmour·
@JohnMic95688430 @jmwooldridge No it won’t. Pop must be entered as an offset. This is a very basic fact, and it’s very disturbing that economists don’t understand this. Very disturbing!
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Jeffrey Wooldridge
Jeffrey Wooldridge@jmwooldridge·
It seems that there needs to be more consistency in models with a count y. If y clearly increases with population size -- such as a homicide count -- an exponential model for y with log(pop) as an explanatory variable makes the most sense. This allows y/pop to vary with pop.
Stuart Gilmour@drStuartGilmour

@jmwooldridge @Josh_Merfeld Following the original paper he included population on lhs and rhs of the model. Classic error when studying mortality rates. Other econometricians include it (or its log, or sqrt) as a weight. All mistakes driven by misunderstanding the data generating process

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Bain 🌐
Bain 🌐@variable_leads·
@Izengabe_ @BuildTrev Could you elaborate on why you don’t like efficiency gap metrics? Isn’t the post you originally made an efficiency gap argument?
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Izengabe
Izengabe@Izengabe_·
This is such crap. The Democrat bill mandated gerrymandering & drawing against compactness & county & city integrity for a BS efficiency gap measurement which they can manipulate to their advantage. What Dems wanted was a national version of Michigan where Detroit gets split & black voters get cracked to elect more white Democrats.
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Izengabe
Izengabe@Izengabe_·
I'm so sick of Democrats falsely claiming what Virginia is doing is somehow a response to Texas. Under the new Texas map Democrats can win 29% of seats with 40% of vote. Under the Democrats Virginia map Republicans can 9% of seats with 49% of the vote. They are not the same.
Izengabe tweet media
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Bain 🌐
Bain 🌐@variable_leads·
@xwanyex I don’t see how this analysis of historical compromises somehow makes the electoral college seem more fair.
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Bain 🌐
Bain 🌐@variable_leads·
@xwanyex You ask why did we agree to this particular set of institutional compromises? I mean I didn’t agree to it. My parents didn’t agree to it. The ancestors of many Americans didn’t agree to it either because their ancestors were politically disenfranchised due to their race or gender
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wanye
wanye@xwanyex·
Yes, this is an improvement on what I was trying to say earlier. The liberals in my feed proceed from the idea that you can take any collection of people and you already know ahead of time which type of political organization is most fair. Fairness, in this view, is a property of the system that exists independently of how the citizenry formed, the history that collects these people under a single government. But that’s basically absurd! Why are these specific people living under one government? Why do they want to do that? Why would they agree to do that? Why wouldn’t I just kill you and take your stuff? Fairness derives from the sense that everyone living under a given system shares that the system is working well enough for them that it’s an acceptable alternative to violence. Fairness is not a property of the rules and procedures that could be written on a tablet and launched into space and will be true for all time of all people in all places.
BobSomebody 🥓@Bob_Somebody021

The logic is not clear at all because "Who are the members of this collectivity of citizens?" is not set in stone but determined by historical contingency and institutional compromise.

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Bain 🌐
Bain 🌐@variable_leads·
@POTUSZuckerberg @djmedinah @MindShiftKQED "my score increased by 5%" is not the same thing as "my score increased by 5 percentage points." The former would imply a compounding effect. The later does not.
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MindShift
MindShift@MindShiftKQED·
A study from Carnegie Mellon University finds that everyone learns at the same rate, although some students have a head start. A group of scientists set out to study quick learners. Then they discovered they don't exist kqed.org/mindshift/6275…
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DC, Last Legion, Infinity Redux
DC, Last Legion, Infinity Redux@DerektheCleric·
@elerianm Another way the FED manipulates the data, is substitution of goods. Real world substitution, would be subbing Nike with Adidas. It isn't subbing Nike with Walmart sneakers. But the FED treats these the same.
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Mohamed A. El-Erian
Mohamed A. El-Erian@elerianm·
I've been asked repeatedly why the US administration’s approval rating on the economy remains so low among voters even though the US economy has consistently outperformed expectations in terms of growth and jobs. The quick one-word answer is, of course, inflation – and in three ways: Peaking at 9%, and even higher than that for sensitive goods, inflation has eroded purchasing power in a meaningful manner; The recent decline in inflation has not been deemed as sufficient relief given that the rate is still positive at a time when many confuse dis-inflation with prices going; and It has fueled an aggressive and rapid interest rate hiking cycle that has priced people out of mortgages, the housing market, etc. #economy #inflation #econtwitter
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