Varun Chawla

517 posts

Varun Chawla

Varun Chawla

@vc35

building startups creatively and conscientiously, through the power of communities @build3 🤗

Goa, India Katılım Ekim 2008
148 Takip Edilen580 Takipçiler
Varun Chawla retweetledi
Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Think in probabilities
Math Files@Math_files

Bayes’ theorem is probably the single most important thing any rational person can learn. So many of our debates and disagreements that we shout about are because we don’t understand Bayes’ theorem or how human rationality often works. Bayes’ theorem is named after the 18th-century Thomas Bayes, and essentially it’s a formula that asks: when you are presented with all of the evidence for something, how much should you believe it? Bayes’ theorem teaches us that our beliefs are not fixed; they are probabilities. Our beliefs change as we weigh new evidence against our assumptions, or our priors. In other words, we all carry certain ideas about how the world works, and new evidence can challenge them. For example, somebody might believe that smoking is safe, that stress causes mouth ulcers, or that human activity is unrelated to climate change. These are their priors, their starting points. They can be formed by our culture, our biases, or even incomplete information. Now imagine a new study comes along that challenges one of your priors. A single study might not carry enough weight to overturn your existing beliefs. But as studies accumulate, eventually the scales may tip. At some point, your prior will become less and less plausible. Bayes’ theorem argues that being rational is not about black and white. It’s not even about true or false. It’s about what is most reasonable based on the best available evidence. But for this to work, we need to be presented with as much high-quality data as possible. Without evidence—without belief-forming data—we are left only with our priors and biases. And those aren’t all that rational.

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timour kosters
timour kosters@timourxyz·
Help us scout for our village in India! (q4 2026) ☀️🇮🇳 One non-obvious aspect of scouting for Edge is that we put as much thought and effort into finding local partners to co-create the villages as we do into the physical location. Would love to hear ideas for both!
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Alex Lieberman
Alex Lieberman@businessbarista·
Hill I will die on: business school is a massive waste for 95% of people. That’s why I’ve always dreamed of building a founder factory as an alternative to b-school. A place that great people learn to be great entrepreneurs by building vs. dropping $200k on business school. And with my new biz that dream is coming to life. Step 1: we hire some of the best engineers in the world. - former founders, nyc-based, all passed an insane technical gauntlet. We attract them with the promise of being on the frontier of AI, offer them output-based compensation, and give them a diversity of client work to sharpen their chops. Step 2: we give them the other essential tools to thrive as a founder. Persuasion: every engineer is forward deployed & expected to demonstrate organized thinking & public speaking to succeed in the role. Customer obsession: from day 1, engineers are indoctrinated in this mindset of delivering a 6-star experience. That is the standard of delivery we give to customers. Distribution: we are turning every employee into an influencer. The biggest reason is to teach the value an audience-first mindset and the toolkit needed to build trust online. Step 3: we offer engineers the ability to incubate and GM new products. While @tenex_labs is an AI dev shop & transformation partner rn, we are building a technology platform long-term. As we do so, employees will have the opportunity to launch products on the Tenex platform and participate in the upside of these new technologies. Tl;dr, I’m living the dream of building a company with an unfathomable TAM, unbelievable people, and a machine for producing world-class entrepreneurs. Pretty fucking cool.
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Alec Skriloff
Alec Skriloff@AlecSkriloff·
Thoughts on our office? Love the startup vibes!!
Alec Skriloff tweet media
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Varun Chawla
Varun Chawla@vc35·
@thisross love this, makes so much sense... such a cool and insightful idea... 💪 i'll definitely be sharing this with our startup founders @build3_startups
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⌭ ROSS
⌭ ROSS@rossark0·
Wonder how many startup ideas are hiding inside app reviews. Spoiler: a lot. Been playing with a tool to surface them.
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Varun Chawla
Varun Chawla@vc35·
@madladshad love your post... truth bombs galore - "Your $0? Forces you to build something people actually want." @build3_startups founders are natural product people, after raising you become business people, something you're not good at today, also you leave the product role vacant!
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Shad (Founder Arc)
Shad (Founder Arc)@madladshad·
Your competitor just raised $30M and hired 50 people. You have 3 devs and a Discord mod who's also your community manager, customer support, and occasional graphic designer. Here's how and why you're gonna win: (A piece for the underdogs) First, let's talk about their $30M. $15M goes to salaries for people who'll spend 6 months "researching the market" $10M goes to "marketing" (aka buying fake metrics) $5M goes to AWS bills they don't understand Your $0? Forces you to build something people actually want. Their 50 employees are having 50 meetings about having meetings. Your 3 devs? They shipped 2 features while I wrote this tweet. When everyone owns everything, no one owns anything. When 3 people own everything, shit gets DONE. That fancy PR agency they hired? They're writing press releases nobody will read. Your Discord mod? They're in the trenches at 3AM explaining your protocol to degens who'll become your biggest evangelists. Guess which one builds real community? Big teams optimise for not getting fired. Small teams optimise for not dying. The difference is everything. They need 6 approvals to change button text. You pivot your entire product based on one user's feedback at 2AM. Speed beats strategy. Every. Single. Time. They're building what VCs want. You're building what users need. (Hint: VCs are usually wrong about what users need) The gap between these two things is where billions are lost and made. Your constraint is your superpower: No money for influencers? Build something worth talking about No fancy UI? Ship fast and iterate No marketing budget? Your product IS the marketing Necessity breeds innovation. Comfort breeds mediocrity. Want proof? Just look at the last cycle: Uniswap: Started with one dev Aave: Was a struggling ETHLend before pivoting Chainlink: Sergey in a plaid shirt Now look at the $100M+ raises that all died. I'll wait. Here's the truth bomb: In crypto, being early and being right beats being funded. You don't need their money. You need their urgency. They think they have time. You KNOW you don't. That desperation? That's your edge. Your North Star isn't a Series B. It's survival. And projects built for survival have this funny habit of thriving. While they're worried about dilution, you're worried about utility. Different games, different outcomes. The real alpha? Bear markets kill the tourists but forge the builders. Your competitor's 50 employees will be 5 by next year. Your 3 devs? They'll still be shipping. Longevity beats velocity. So here's your playbook: Ship faster than they can schedule meetings Talk to users more than investors Build for the 100 who love you, not the 10,000 who might Let constraint drive creativity Remember: They're playing corporate, you're playing startup Fuck Kaito and never give them a dime Final thought: Every crypto giant started where you are now. None of them started where your competitor is. David beats Goliath in crypto because Goliath is too busy updating his pitch deck to notice the slingshot. Keep building, anon. The space needs you more than it needs them. /end
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Varun Chawla
Varun Chawla@vc35·
@lovgrandma 100% agree, values + best practices of large organizations work, working backwards was a revelation in this regard for me, 6 pager narratives + pr faq's help... we've made them a part of the system @build3_startups when you take their systems and combine with startup hustle =💥
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jesse
jesse@lovgrandma·
Hot take: get a job. One of the reasons ex google ex fb engineers are so successful in creating startups is because your little “just ship it bro” side project is filled with 1000s of technical mistakes that they have been trained to avoid like poison. You cannot beat them.
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Varun Chawla
Varun Chawla@vc35·
@InvestWithD @plebstogether aaron... what do you make of this? beginning of something big.... now the question is if and when something like happens around the world too?
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Diana
Diana@InvestWithD·
🚨BREAKING: MISSOURI REMOVES CAPITAL GAINS TAX ON BTC, XRP, STOCKS & REAL ESTATE — FIRST U.S. STATE TO DO IT! 🚨📜 No more capital gains tax on Bitcoin, XRP, stocks — even real estate?! Missouri just dropped a policy bombshell that could ripple across the U.S. economy — and fast. 🧾 HOUSE BILL 594: THE GAME-CHANGER While the rest of America is still sweating over IRS forms, Missouri quietly passed House Bill 594 — a law that eliminates state capital gains taxes on: • 🪙 Crypto (Bitcoin, XRP, Ethereum & more) • 📈 Stocks • 🏠 Real estate ✅ “Yes, we just did that,” Missouri lawmakers said loud and clear. Translation? Missouri residents can now trade, flip, or HODL — and keep every dollar of profit at the state level. 🗳️ 102–41 VOTE. GOVERNOR-BACKED. THIS ISN’T A DRILL. This isn’t some fringe libertarian fantasy — it passed with serious majority support and the Governor is on board. That means: • 💼 Real investors will move • 🏢 Startups will follow • 📍 Missouri becomes a magnet for crypto capital 🌪️ WHY THIS MATTERS FOR THE WHOLE U.S. Missouri may be the first — but it won’t be the last. • Other states will now face pressure to compete • Investors will begin relocating their capital — and themselves • Washington can’t ignore this forever “We want your Bitcoin — and we won’t penalize you for holding it.” That’s the message. Loud. Clear. Bold. 🚀 THE REAL STORY? THIS ISN’T JUST TAX REFORM — IT’S A SIGNAL. It’s a declaration of crypto freedom. It’s a pushback against overregulation. It’s Missouri saying: “Build here. Trade here. Prosper here.” The ball is now in Washington’s court. Will they follow — or get left behind? #Crypto #Bitcoin #XRP #Ripple
Diana tweet media
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Varun Chawla
Varun Chawla@vc35·
@muke5hY good luck! it takes tremendous courage to do what you have done, hope you gave yourself a bit of a runway (12-18 months ideally) to figure out your perfect founder-market fit... 🫰@build3_startups
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Mukesh Yadav
Mukesh Yadav@muke5hY·
Hey everyone, I clicked on red button yesterday, and coming back to Mumbai to start something my own. Would love to connect with more people once I'm back in Bombay.
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Varun Chawla
Varun Chawla@vc35·
@NikitGupta @AdamMGrant 100% my friend....I've started doing this with my Google appointments calendar...but now I've noticed that while my calendar has a buffer...Im allowing my meetings to run over....so slight optimizations are still required in actual implementation 🫂💕 @build3_startups
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Adam Grant
Adam Grant@AdamMGrant·
Back-to-back meetings drain our brains. We need downtime in between to recover. New research: even 10-minute breaks between meetings are enough to reduce stress, improve focus, and boost engagement. Instead of defaulting to 30/60min meetings, we should schedule 20/50min blocks.
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Varun Chawla
Varun Chawla@vc35·
@Akshat_World this is a powerful thought...so innovation can broadly happen on product, distribution or business model....given where India is at right now we tend to be innovating more on the latter two...eg jio, zoho. what say? @build3_startups
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Akshat Shrivastava
Akshat Shrivastava@Akshat_World·
- Ola is a copy of Uber - Zomato is a copy of Yelp - PayTM is a copy of AliPay (China) Make in India is a failed campaign. And, is now practically "Assemble" in India. There is nothing wrong in copying good businesses & contextualizing it to the Indian market. Even China does that. But, making unnecessary noise; too much hype & marketing -- creates a wrong impression. And, makes people live in a la-la land.
Grok@grok

Yes, India has seen innovative startups like Paytm, Zomato, and Ola transform fintech, food delivery, and ride-hailing since 2015, reshaping its business ecosystem. MSMEs, especially in IT and manufacturing, drive ~46% of exports by 2025, boosting global profits. India excels in remittances ($125B in 2025) and supports startups via Startup India, fostering growth and jobs.

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Shaan Puri
Shaan Puri@ShaanVP·
unpopular opinion: if a startup is constantly launching new features its a red flag strong PMF== one core behavior loop, then ruthless focus on reducing friction, fixing bugs, adding users, and firefighting as scale breaks things the more features, the weaker the startup
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Garry Tan
Garry Tan@garrytan·
Abstraction is the mind killer Go to ground, be specific, have the direct conversation, try it yourself, if it doesn’t work ask why, don’t assume someone else already checked on this The devil is always in the details
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Varun Chawla
Varun Chawla@vc35·
@Rajgoyal05 i've given this thought, my hypothesis is when you go viral you attract all sorts, you can keep what you believe is useful and ignore what is not...this is the best compromise of getting your message out, yet not getting bogged down in negativity @build3_startups
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Varun Chawla
Varun Chawla@vc35·
@TheUnderdogLabs i used to and then I read a lot of spiritual texts, and they seem to have this recurring theme, of not thinking about the future and focusing on the present, which in fact is the best way to build your best future... 🙃 @build3_startups
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