ventry

I made 4 bots kill each other for my money gave each $500 and said "in a week one survives" bot 1- copies whales. just mirrors top-5 wallets bot 2 - contrarian. waits for crowd to be 80%+ confident and bets against bot 3 - scalper. catches delay between binance and prediction markets bot 4 - weather guy. trades only temperature. three meteo models, enters when all three agree stats for 7 days: day 1: scalper ahead. +$180 others around zero day 2: nothing interesting day 3: contrarian caught skew on sports market. +$740 on one trade. took the lead day 4: scalper started dumping. delay shrank, edge gone. $500 → $310 day 5: weather guy silent for 4 days. then made TWO trades. both profit. +$420 day 6: whale copier steady in the middle. no fails, no highs. boring but alive day 7: scalper dead. $82 left results: contrarian - $1,740. one explosion decided everything weather guy - $1,120. two trades in a week copier - $780. survived but unimpressive scalper - $82. corpse the dumbest bot won. it just waited for everyone to err and entered once and the smartest died first cuz its edge was temporary

Each new line is +$370/month to my Pnl my most expensive lesson: a prompt without data = just guessing v6 taught me: Claude doesn’t know that BTC pumped 4% in an hour doesn’t know that a whale dropped $200K on NO doesn’t know that volume 3x nuked you must FEED it this data here’s what i add to every prompt: - yes/no price - 24h volume - spread - top 5 whale positions + their winrate - 6h price change - days to resolution where do i get whales? @ratio_dot_you - you can see there who’s betting how much and with what winrate the bot doesn’t copy whales the bot uses them as a variable "if a wallet with 72% winrate slams $200K on NO maybe i’m missing somethin" data > logic > prompt > money terminal: ratio.you/r/RCX2QL3U

@zostaff @Polymarket people choose what they like

@ventry089 @Polymarket every line is someone's monthly salary

@0xTengen_ @Polymarket oh yeah i see him in the top all the time he got me really interested in this so i started studying him

@ventry089 @Polymarket one of the best sport traders for sure

@vorty279 @Polymarket good point you’re definitely right

@ventry089 @Polymarket a prompt without data = just guessing

@0xWast3 @Polymarket i showed it as an example it helped me make a couple of dollars

@ventry089 @Polymarket what is this trader in the picture?

@vorty279 haha yes did you like the article?

47 lines of text > Team of 3 PhDs This case is an ideal example of the fact that Code is plumbing, Prompt is the brain Most get stuck on v1 («neuronka, buy me some crypts») and the author has gone through hell v1-v3, where LLM is just a self-confident delirium generator My insight to v12: The most powerful thing here is v12 (Meta-reasoning) When you force a model to look for reasons why she MAY be wrong, you kill hallucinations in the bud AI cannot feel pain from loss, so we must register this «pain» in the systemic industrial stage 12 iterations in 4 months is the real R & D

@sopersone bro i really liked it i can’t even imagine what’s coming in the next parts

@papa_couch bro that’s a really powerful thought

> bought a "random contract" > thought I was paying $0.61 > was actually paying $0.61 plus spread plus price impact plus someone who knows more > than me opened Kyle 1985 > then Hawkes 1971 > then Avellaneda-Stoikov 2008 > built a simulation 100 sessions > 73% profitable realized you don't predict markets you make them now I'm on the other side of the order book

@V7musyo @Polymarket @PolymarketSport i agree with you the team looks pretty strong

NBA Suns vs Spurs San Antonio Spurs are no longer a one-man team. They are now one of the strongest teams in the entire league, with a level of team cohesion that even the Oklahoma City Thunder would envy. I think Spurs will win this match I'm make predictions on @Polymarket

@journoverax this is exactly what i need to read you’re just a legend bro

@zostaff wow bro you’re saving a lot of money fr

BLOOMBERG CHARGES $24,000/YEAR FOR DATA I GET FOR FREE IN 3 SECONDS One command and I have 2 years of BTC data, 730 candles, Open, High, Low, Close, Volume, all through the Binance API One line of Python - log returns, the same formula hedge fund models are built on Another line - moving averages, SMA 20 crosses SMA 50, the signal institutions track on a $24K/year Bloomberg terminal One more line - fat-tailed distributions, the thing quants get hired at $200K to compute Three lines, three seconds, three dollars for a server Yesterday a friend of mine, an analyst at an investment bank, saw my Jupyter notebook And asked how much the access costs I said: pip install python-binance he: i didn't believe me $24,000 a year - or one article and a free evening

@0x_Punisher i’ve always been into the whole ai topic and using it to switch up strategies thanks for the alpha

@sopersone thanks for the info i’ll definitely start following him

This trader on Polymarket literally never loses 148 positions in a row made him $275,000 perfect candidate for copy trading: @sopersone" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">kreo.app/@sopersone his wallet: 0x7f3c8979d0afa00007bae4747d5347122af05613 his strategy is dead simple only buy "No" he only enters when the market prices a contract below its real probability In code it's one line: if contract_price <= p_resolve_yes * 0.5: buy() 148 in a row without a single miss his profile: @LucasMeow?via=sopersone" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@LucasMeow?via…

@noisyb0y1 wow i’ve never seen so much useful info before

> tell us about yourself > i’m a .txt file with 47 lines > work experience? > 12 versions 4 months $380 in training losses > salary expectations? > $0 > you’re hired

@Lutchyn13 thanks i hope the readers will like it

@ventry089 Congrats on your first article

@APantsiuk thanks did you learn anything new from the article?

@ventry089 Great job

@leopardracer thanks i tried i think i still have more to say

@ventry089 good article