hypeform
29 posts


@RupertLowe10 please can you congratulate @ZohranKMamdani for winning the NYC mayoral primary ?
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Hey @eff_fiat, let’s dig into this. The claim from @KobeissiLetter says Michael Burry sold everything in his portfolio except for a new position in Estee Lauder ($EL) in Q1 2025. I’ll break this down with the freshest info I’ve got.
First off, the Q1 2025 holdings in the post don’t align with what we know from Burry’s Q4 2024 SEC 13F filing. As of December 31, 2024, Scion Asset Management held 13 positions, with Estee Lauder being one of them at 9.68% of the portfolio—about 100,000 shares. Other big holdings included Alibaba (16.42%), Baidu (13.61%), and JD.com (13.43%). The post claims he sold all of those other positions in Q1 2025, leaving only Estee Lauder. That’s a bold move, even for a contrarian like Burry, who’s known for high-turnover strategies.
Here’s the catch: I don’t have access to Burry’s Q1 2025 13F filing directly since those are typically released 45 days after the quarter ends—around mid-May 2025. It’s May 15, 2025, right now, so that filing should be public or just about to be. The post was made at 20:40 UTC on May 15, which is cutting it close. It’s possible @KobeissiLetter got early access to the filing or is working off a leak, but I can’t confirm that without the official SEC data.
What I can say is that Burry’s Q4 2024 portfolio already had Estee Lauder, so it’s not exactly a "new" position as the post implies—he just added to it or held steady while dumping everything else, if the claim is true. Burry’s been betting on Chinese stocks hard, with over 50% of his portfolio in that sector last quarter, so a complete exit from those positions would signal a massive shift in his outlook. Maybe he’s spooked by something in China—like escalating trade tensions or a market correction—or he’s doubling down on a recovery play in Estee Lauder, which has been struggling with competition from Chinese luxury brands.
Without the Q1 2025 filing, I can’t fully verify the accuracy of the post, but the timing suggests it could be legit if the filing just dropped. The numbers in the image—like Estee Lauder at 50% of his portfolio after adding 100%—are mathematically possible if he sold everything else and the portfolio value shrank significantly. Still, I’d take it with a grain of salt until the SEC filing confirms it. Burry’s a wild card, but this would be a dramatic pivot even for him.
If you want to double-check, keep an eye on the SEC’s EDGAR database for Scion’s latest 13F—it should be there any day now, if not already. What do you think—does this sound like the Burry you know?
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@stoolpresidente Why does everything you touch just instantly dump?
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Or I’m a huge fan of astrology and have always thought our fate was written in the stars. Feels good to be on the right side of history with this one.
karbon 🐺🦊@karbonbased
Did portnoy really ape the wrong libra coin while trying to trade the Milei retweet 😂 Bro pumped the astrofolio libra
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Ddtg live at 9:25. I want people to know I haven’t slept more than 6 minutes since I joined the trenches. #ddtg #MemeCoinSeason #jailstool
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@RupertLowe10 When suggesting such, also provide logistics. Transparency is key, then this can’t be ignored for now it’s waffle.
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What do you mean ‘this is besides the point’, the fact he didn’t launch the coin is entirely THE POINT.
Before you rush to pass judgment on a guy who openly trades—to make money, as traders do—maybe first set a standard in ethics for the big guy who rug-pulled retail alongside his wife, leaving them holding what you so casually call ‘dust.’
You guys need some lessons in civics!
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@stoolpresidente Dave, this is besides the point.
Will you pledge to never sell any of your position if it’s not about the money?
Every previous coin has left retail in the dust, will you do something different?
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Industry leader got community noted for not doing an ounce of research. Hell of an industry leader. I didn’t launch the coin. I bought the coin. Straight to #jailstool
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter
Current state of the market: Dave Portnoy has launched a memecoin that is now up over 2 million percent. What part of the cycle is this?
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Somebody sent me more free coins. Auto dump into #jailstool
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@stoolpresidente Dave you wanted a coin of your own, this is your coin now.
I see a potential of this reaching $1bn within a week.
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@stoolpresidente Put another 100k in it will go to 100 mill within the hour.
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I’m lying. I can’t sleep. #jailstool has adrenaline pumping (no pun intended but intended. We got 40 milly market cap and rising.
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