
Vladik :)
2.4K posts




















spotted a simple inefficiency in the World Cup market. 13% sitting there for free if you add up the top 14 favorites: France, Spain, England, Argentina, Brazil, Portugal, Germany, Netherlands and 6 more: they cover only 88% of total probability buy 100k shares in each → spend $88k total → collect 100k$ when any of them wins $12k profit, that's 12% return before July 20 the other 20+ teams split just 12% between them. mathematically possible, but realistically not happening DYOR, i will give it a try! market: polymarket.com/event/2026-fif…




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