Tony

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Tony

@whatdoweseehere

** Find me on BlueSky** Meteorologist in DC! I work for the WPC (NOAA-NWS) (formerly HPC) but this is my personal account. CT native. Cornell/SUNY-ALB.

Washington, DC Katılım Ağustos 2009
553 Takip Edilen1K Takipçiler
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NWS Weather Prediction Center
National High/Low temps for Friday March 20, 2026: 112 at 5 miles south of Yuma, AZ, 2 miles west-northwest of Martinez Lake, AZ, 6 miles south-southwest of Ogilby, CA, 15 miles northeast of Winterhaven, CA; 7 at Mount Washington, NH #azwx #azwx #cawx #cawx #nhwx
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Tony@whatdoweseehere·
The heat was hot.
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Tony@whatdoweseehere·
Is @kathygriffin issuing svr warnings today? Or…
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Tony@whatdoweseehere·
@therobdale @wxmvpete Thanks for keeping tabs on things. End-of-season review will inform our summer work.
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Rob Dale
Rob Dale@therobdale·
Sadly the fixes that @NWSWPC made to add some value to the /winter pages have apparently been removed to reduce reliance on meteorologists and weigh their models more. This is the future of @NWS forecasting?
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Tony@whatdoweseehere·
@therobdale This isn’t done in a vacuum. The NBM had issues so it was reverted. Trouble is that elsewhere it was doing fine. It’s unfortunate.
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Rob Dale
Rob Dale@therobdale·
@whatdoweseehere It disappoints me that WPC does all this tweaking without working alongside social scientists first. After the initial rollout this winter when I talked to your leadership they took WSE out and it did pretty well. Unsure why it reappeared...
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Tony@whatdoweseehere·
@therobdale @NWSWPC @NWS All high-end potential storms have big ranges… but that’s at conflict with public perception of skill. Is there a limit to an acceptable range per social science? Maybe?
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Tony@whatdoweseehere·
@therobdale It’s been WSE background since December. Waiting on next NBM version.
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Rob Dale@therobdale·
@whatdoweseehere Yup. For some reason it looks like the WSE came back. I hoped it was a temporary glitch but it’s been going on for a bit now.
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Tony@whatdoweseehere·
March 15-16, 2007… IAD had a high of 77° followed by 1.2” snow. But it hasn’t been >80° with at least 0.1” snow the next day.
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Tony@whatdoweseehere·
Models really underperformed on 2m temps today. The atmosphere performed perfectly. 84° at DCA at 4PM is a record but not the earliest it’s been this warm (85°F on 3/8/2000).
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Tony@whatdoweseehere·
Maybe AI will take my job, but not yet. Siri doing Siri things.
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Tony@whatdoweseehere·
@capitalweather Interesting gradient across DC proper itself. Such marginal temperatures!
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Capital Weather Gang
Capital Weather Gang@capitalweather·
Snow forecast review: What fell vs. what we predicted This was one of the toughest storms to forecast in 20+ years for D.C. area. Why? • Temps were marginal — 1–2° made a big difference • D.C. sat near the edge of the heaviest precip • Small-scale features (like a Norlun trough) shifted totals over just a few miles Models struggled. Three days out: anywhere from no snow to 3 feet. Even hours before onset: under 1" to 10". Our final call captured the sharp gradient and timing well in many areas. Some neighborhoods matched closely. Others were a bust. Where we missed — west/southwest of Fairfax and parts of downtown & east. Why? the storm tracked ~20–30 miles farther east and intensified more slowly, shifting heavier bands and widening the dry slot. We emphasized uncertainty throughout, and this storm proved why. Imperfect — but in a volatile setup, we believe our forecast rose to the challenge.
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Tony@whatdoweseehere·
@TomNiziol @NWSBUFFALO -36.7°C —> -34°F (pending 18Z 2 group) METAR KART 081156Z AUTO 21003KT 10SM CLR M37/ A3036 RMK AO2 SLP302 I6000 T1367 11317 21367 53017 $
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Tom Niziol
Tom Niziol@TomNiziol·
Looks like Watertown NY takes the prize for the national low temperature overnight. They bottomed out at -34.6°F. NOAA rounded to -34°F. #frigid @NWSBUFFALO
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