chengwen

2.1K posts

chengwen

chengwen

@willchengwen

不务正业,偶尔链上嘻嘻哈哈

Katılım Eylül 2021
263 Takip Edilen528 Takipçiler
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
认知缺陷纠正三问: ·3个月前我有什么判断现在证明是错误的(可以是更多时间)? ·为什么当时会做出那样的判断? ·我当时的思维过程有什么根本缺陷,导致这个判断错误?
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
最好的销售方法之一,就是直接提供人们迫切需要的产品。 现阶段,Claude就是这样的产品,自己被封几个号还想继续用:)
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
@DoveyWanCN 更可能的情况是中间态被重新定义,而非消失。
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Dovey "Rug The CNY" Wan🪐
Dovey "Rug The CNY" Wan🪐@DoveyWanCN·
镜像一下也成立, 只擅长和机器/代码/软件/数字 交互的会最快被取代. 程序员第一批次, 然后现阶段大量的白领其实就是用软件的人, 人肉API, 而且只会被动回复prompt, 所以被取代也很合理. 未来是巨大的K形曲线分布, 中间态不存在
Dovey "Rug The CNY" Wan🪐@DoveyWanCN

能处理复杂关系的人不会被ai替代, 在很长的未来都会是这样. 因为情绪, 价值体系, 自我认知 (self awareness), 身份认同 (identity orientation) 等等是人之所以为人的内在价值函数, ai缺乏这种可以追溯到几千年进化形成的价值函数, 自然无法和人真正的共情

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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
做了第一个app,上架了美区AppStore,记录一下
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
vibe coding 只是降低写代码的门槛,并没有怎么降低做好产品的门槛。 PS:正在反复调整打磨交互细节有感。。。
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
人类的思考速度已经开始跟不上Ai的执行速度—当思考追求一点质量。
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
想象中:我指挥Ai …… 实际上:Ai指挥我:)
chengwen tweet media
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金融汪
金融汪@yuyy614893671·
想问问,这是你的观点,还是你长期跟踪观察到的事实? 目前在AI的基础设施和投资强度如此大的情况下,能够扛住竞赛,延续主营,保持现金流相对健康,而且还有融资能力的就是目前资本市场的这几家大厂 从盈利能力,包括AI的起来对原有业务的赋能,包括云,广告,软件服务等,也只有这几家大厂,Meta是营收与盈利能力都在稳步提升的大厂之一 当然,这不是说它就是赢家了;而是说,它不一定是突然倒下的那家;因为AI在它35亿用户的平台内,是提升了广告触达的效用的
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Lexi 勒西
Lexi 勒西@lexi_labs·
所有头部大公司里,meta 是唯一一个,可能一夜之间崩塌的公司。
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
视频制作整条商业链有两个核心问题,制作成本和授权发行。 seedance 2.0算是解决制作成本问题的典范,后者还需要一个重大的产品。 不解决后者,允许任何人免费拿别人的东西随意生成获利(严格意义讲,这是在白嫖),再牛逼的视频产品基本也会被大幅度封应能力。 现阶段,利好那些有好故事、有优秀原创设定能力的人,因为这意味着不需要找任何人授权。
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Sick Durden
Sick Durden@sick_durden·
@DeryaTR_ 60 bucks? Obviously its nothing compared to vfx. But it looks much more expensive thant kling 3.0 What things do you think Seedance do better than Kling? Didnt use it yet.
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Derya Unutmaz, MD
Derya Unutmaz, MD@DeryaTR_·
This scene was made completely with Seedance 2.0 AI model! It cost about $60 to make! It’s game over, folks! Via Reddit r/seedance_AI
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
今年已经出现多个现象级的AI 产品了:openclaw、moltbook、chrome Gemini、seedance 2.0 可是这才刚进入2月呢……这推进速度,太可怕了:)
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
看来终于要慢慢结束用户体验和流动性分割的阶段了。 这几年的L2相互切换链已经用麻了
vitalik.eth@VitalikButerin

There have recently been some discussions on the ongoing role of L2s in the Ethereum ecosystem, especially in the face of two facts: * L2s' progress to stage 2 (and, secondarily, on interop) has been far slower and more difficult than originally expected * L1 itself is scaling, fees are very low, and gaslimits are projected to increase greatly in 2026 Both of these facts, for their own separate reasons, mean that the original vision of L2s and their role in Ethereum no longer makes sense, and we need a new path. First, let us recap the original vision. Ethereum needs to scale. The definition of "Ethereum scaling" is the existence of large quantities of block space that is backed by the full faith and credit of Ethereum - that is, block space where, if you do things (including with ETH) inside that block space, your activities are guaranteed to be valid, uncensored, unreverted, untouched, as long as Ethereum itself functions. If you create a 10000 TPS EVM where its connection to L1 is mediated by a multisig bridge, then you are not scaling Ethereum. This vision no longer makes sense. L1 does not need L2s to be "branded shards", because L1 is itself scaling. And L2s are not able or willing to satisfy the properties that a true "branded shard" would require. I've even seen at least one explicitly saying that they may never want to go beyond stage 1, not just for technical reasons around ZK-EVM safety, but also because their customers' regulatory needs require them to have ultimate control. This may be doing the right thing for your customers. But it should be obvious that if you are doing this, then you are not "scaling Ethereum" in the sense meant by the rollup-centric roadmap. But that's fine! it's fine because Ethereum itself is now scaling directly on L1, with large planned increases to its gas limit this year and the years ahead. We should stop thinking about L2s as literally being "branded shards" of Ethereum, with the social status and responsibilities that this entails. Instead, we can think of L2s as being a full spectrum, which includes both chains backed by the full faith and credit of Ethereum with various unique properties (eg. not just EVM), as well as a whole array of options at different levels of connection to Ethereum, that each person (or bot) is free to care about or not care about depending on their needs. What would I do today if I were an L2? * Identify a value add other than "scaling". Examples: (i) non-EVM specialized features/VMs around privacy, (ii) efficiency specialized around a particular application, (iii) truly extreme levels of scaling that even a greatly expanded L1 will not do, (iv) a totally different design for non-financial applications, eg. social, identity, AI, (v) ultra-low-latency and other sequencing properties, (vi) maybe built-in oracles or decentralized dispute resolution or other "non-computationally-verifiable" features * Be stage 1 at the minimum (otherwise you really are just a separate L1 with a bridge, and you should just call yourself that) if you're doing things with ETH or other ethereum-issued assets * Support maximum interoperability with Ethereum, though this will differ for each one (eg. what if you're not EVM, or even not financial?) From Ethereum's side, over the past few months I've become more convinced of the value of the native rollup precompile, particuarly once we have enshrined ZK-EVM proofs that we need anyway to scale L1. This is a precompile that verifies a ZK-EVM proof, and it's "part of Ethereum", so (i) it auto-upgrades along with Ethereum, and (ii) if the precompile has a bug, Ethereum will hard-fork to fix the bug. The native rollup precompile would make full, security-council-free, EVM verification accessible. We should spend much more time working out how to design it in such a way that if your L2 is "EVM plus other stuff", then the native rollup precompile would verify the EVM, and you only have to bring your own prover for the "other stuff" (eg. Stylus). This might involve a canonical way of exposing a lookup table between contract call inputs and outputs, and letting you provide your own values to the lookup table (that you would prove separately). This would make it easy to have safe, strong, trustless interoperability with Ethereum. It also enables synchronous composability (see: ethresear.ch/t/combining-pr… and ethresear.ch/t/synchronous-… ). And from there, it's each L2's choice exactly what they want to build. Don't just "extend L1", figure out something new to add. This of course means that some will add things that are trust-dependent, or backdoored, or otherwise insecure; this is unavoidable in a permissionless ecosystem where developers have freedom. Our job should make to make it clear to users what guarantees they have, and to build up the strongest Ethereum that we can.

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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
GLM4.7 我也能用爆:)
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
公链最重要的因素并不是技术和性能,而是用户的多寡。 以太坊在获取用户上的进程太慢,很可能被其他获取用户快的产品抢占更关键的位置。 有了大量用户,再造一个以太坊的路线路可能更容易通行。 在大量用户和关键渠道面前,技术就是弟弟:)
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
以前是人训练AI,未来则是AI训练人
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
@turingou 那我只好做第185名了😄
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郭宇 guoyu.eth
郭宇 guoyu.eth@turingou·
m0rphic 上线首日获得 184 个内测用户,今天有超多更新准备上线,也会批准第一波内测用户来玩!
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
从Claude上面感受到了Vibe coding的乐趣……
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chengwen
chengwen@willchengwen·
孙正义向openai投资的几百亿美金,过几年看搞不好又是一笔很普通的投资。 openai尚没有建立起像以前阿里的那样头部地位和护城河,尚处在激烈竞争中,几家头部的模型能力差距缩小,甚至一些方面已经落后,而且边际成本还相对较高。 战局尚不清晰,这笔投资可能过早入场了。
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