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I hope my #recession tool is wrong, but I have to follow my work. I have nothing to sell anyone, nor any advice for anyone. I just wish you well, and all of the best for you and your family. The red dot has now populated. Month close in March will either confirm or remove it.

Longing $order

You can tell a lot from this liquidity index too based on how $BTC for example responds to liquidity, even down to shorter timeframes like the two day. When its price movement starts favoring one side of the market over another it is indicative of a bull/bear regime shift - also able to be seen as response slows and becomes mildly productive.

Interesting look on $BTC with my liquidity index on multiple timeframes - looks to have some forward looking correlation on bitcoin. If it can remain supportive, perhaps higher is to come next for bitcoin as these charts suggest using the liquidity index. The same idea applies to the $SPX. This reminds me of the recession indicator looking like it wants to pull up. It feels like markets are walking on a knife's edge right now, perhaps entirely liquidity dependent. From other things I am watching for the recession, it also looks like many things are teetering right now in the same way instead of a complete breakdown. We are at a major inflection point for markets right now. This month will be pivotal. The liquidity charts suggest at least a decent bounce ahead but it'll be very telling if its a lower high, or higher high.

My positioning as it stands is GDX(gold), silver, btc, cash, & a low liq. risk leverage altcoin. Each serving its own purpose. If the S&P can prove it has strength left, I'll find an entry when a much more de-risked entry shows itself. So far it's been correct to have exited fully - and this is what I previously meant about having options now.

Looks like nearterm will face a correction. Bulls will want to see the recent low on the S&P to hold, as low timeframe moneyflow continues an upward trend. However, high timeframe moneyflow is still coming down, and needs to start to stabilize. This is a very critical intersection of data for the market right now based on what the models are telling us. Risk is high, but we should have answers soon.

The imminent recession indicator has fired its signal and is now confirmed for the month of March. The bottom most indicator tracks whether stress spreading through the system yet. When the blue line is rising, stress is still contained in the system. When it starts falling, that’s the signal; stress is now spreading into credit, and that’s when markets typically struggle and reprice. As far as what I see as left for the bullish case, you do see the imminent recession indicator trying to pull up, *in addition* to the recession indicator doing the same. If the recession indicator can get a green dot and sustain upwards, it could signify changing dynamics, but this would be a first ever as far back as 1958 🧵 $SPX $BTC #Recession $Gold #Liquidity

@camelfinance My favorite kinda camel - interesting investigations there brother

@Orderly_Minh Well. That was a nice pop to pad the entry 👀

@xe243x Yes, I can see it can sweep the high but need to wait

Thinking hard on a $gold entry. Looks like it has a high probability of being the primary flight to safety into #recession. The market led into gold already, but that does not mean precious metals are done.

@Orderly_Minh The moneyflow is incredibly strong on both, oscillators have reset, and there are bullish divergences. Looking really good, man.

@xe243x I longed it from the low, took profit and then just reentered

@Orderly_Minh Love to see it, Minh - great to be in agreement with you

@xe243x I longed xauu and xag too

@Kelly_ghvc 🙂🤝

@xe243x I also think your judgment makes sense. However, I am aware that the market is unlikely to immediately return to a bull market in the short term. It is wise to remain rational and patient, and wait for the real turning point, in order to deal with the current situation

We are set to confirm on my imminent recession indicator tomorrow as we move into April. It is what it is folks. We may get more bounce as we are seeing today, but I have trouble seeing this reverse back into bullish times immediately. $SPX $BTC $DXY $DJI #Recession

yeah i'm in. $GDX for gold, and $SLV for silver.

I do not know if $TLT will reliably perform as per prior recession instances - as such I have based out into cash basically at break even after earning some dividends for some months. During credibility erosion of the system, bonds may not behave as they have in the past as a flight to safety. I built a Bond Reflex Probability tool to help me understand if Bonds are going to respond in recession as a bullish asset class, and the tools has just been flat lining - suggesting, no, at least not yet. Making money during recession can be a tricky thing. Right now I am focused on cash savings to earn modest interest in FDIC insured accounts, while maintaining household financial security, and preparing for when a logical entry back into markets presents itself. Should the crisis rotations with $Gold and #bonds play out, it seems likely to me that gold will be the winning flight to safety between the two. While I am still testing* my reflex probability indicators for recession, it looks like even $BTC may out perform #TLT in this instance. However, again, this is still in testing.