឵

⚾️ Athletics vs Phillies | 3:40PM 15* Over 9 (-110) Luis Severino (A's starter, 2-2, 4.46 ERA) is going to get lit up! He's walking too many batters (high walk rate this season) and his fastball/sinker combo has been getting hit hard. Even though the Phillies are batting only .225 as a team overall, they have power threats like Kyle Schwarber, Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, and Alec Bohm who can punish mistakes in a hitter-friendly park. Severino's career numbers against Philly have been okay, but his current form points to multiple runs allowed. Athletics offense has been productive lately (4.4 runs per game, .252 AVG, .405 SLG). They've scored 5+ runs in each of their last 5 games and have been putting up crooked numbers against average-to-below-average pitching. Facing Cristopher Sánchez (Phillies starter, 2-2, 2.90 ERA) will be tough but the A's have enough contact and extra-base pop to push across 4+ runs. Citizens Bank Park has a slight run-boosting factor, particularly for home runs, with a run-scoring factor of approximately 1.02. The weather conditions are ideal for a high-scoring game, with a temperature of 81 degrees and 15 mph winds blowing into center field. 6 Phillies 5 Athletics

🏀 Magic vs Pistons | 12:30PM 15* Over 202 (-110) Crazy low total but we will fly over! Magic will redeem themselves after that horrible embarrassing loss and help get this over the posted total. My models have 210 points combined.

⚾️MLB 25* SF/TB Under 7.5 (-110) 15* Boston Red Sox ML (-122) 15* LAD/STL Over 8.5 (-105) 🏀NBA 15* Detroit Pistons -3 (-120)

🏀 Lakers vs Rockets | 6:30PM 40* Over 207 (-110) Massive Market Overreaction: The raw season-long projection for this game is 226.7 points. The market has slashed the total by a staggering 20+ points due to the absences of Doncic, Durant, VanVleet, and Reaves. While half-court efficiency will undoubtedly suffer, a 20-point adjustment is absolutely crazy! Pace Increase: The injuries might actually speed up the game. Amen Thompson replacing Fred VanVleet at point guard means Houston will play significantly faster. Thompson is a transition monster, whereas VanVleet is a methodical half-court type player. Lakers Transition Need: Without Doncic to orchestrate in the half-court, LeBron James will likely look to push the pace and attack in transition before Houston's elite 4th-ranked defense can get set.