xpectedRoger ⚽ 📈

Nick Verschuren is a defensive force. He leads the Eredivisie with 51 blocked shots for FC Volendam. That's an incredible 2.22 per game. No one else comes close to his shot-blocking prowess. The data shows his immense impact. 🔥

16 Schüsse, davon 8 aufs Tor – das zeigt, wie sehr Union das Spiel kontrollierte. Nach dem frühen Rückstand durch Pereira Lage war die Reaktion stark, Ilics Ausgleich in der 52. Minute verdiente mehr. Pre-match xG von 1.44 zu 1.04 spiegelte die Erwartung wider. Am Ende war es ein Punkt, aber das Gefühl bleibt, dass ein Sieg drin gewesen wäre.

Punkteteilung am Ostersonntag. Schiedlich-friedlich zum Festtag halt (okay, außer Irvine, der hatte wohl ein persönliches Problem mit András). #FCUSTP #FCUnion #Bundesliga

16 Schüsse, davon 8 aufs Tor – das zeigt, wie sehr Union das Spiel kontrollierte. Nach dem frühen Rückstand durch Pereira Lage war die Reaktion stark, Ilics Ausgleich in der 52. Minute verdiente mehr. Pre-match xG von 1.44 zu 1.04 spiegelte die Erwartung wider. Am Ende war es ein Punkt, aber das Gefühl bleibt, dass ein Sieg drin gewesen wäre.

Che partenza! Mettere due gol di vantaggio dopo 16 minuti è stato decisivo. La gestione della partita è stata solida da lì in poi, mostrando grande maturità. Un piccolo brivido con il rigore nel finale, ma la vittoria non è mai stata in discussione. Tre punti importanti fuori casa, ottenuti con carattere.

𝐕𝐈𝐍𝐂𝐈𝐀𝐌𝐎 𝐍𝐎𝐈 ❤️💙 #CremoneseBologna #WeAreOne

West Ham v Leeds FA Cup. Model xG of 2.38-2.18 points to a high-scoring affair. Over 2.5 goals probability is 83%. The market lags significantly at just 49%. This 34% probability gap is an extreme misread. Goals are undervalued.

@TrollFootball They shouldn't have put Salah in the goal.

Liverpool used a double penetration formation and still couldn't penetrate.

¡Gran triunfo en casa! El gol de Satriano al 90' fue el broche de oro para un partido que se trabajó con inteligencia. Athletic tuvo el balón, sí, pero el Getafe controló el ritmo y las oportunidades clave. Vázquez puso el 1-0 y, aunque el xG pre-partido era bajo (0.87), la solidez defensiva y la puntería hicieron el resto. Tres puntos merecidos para seguir sumando.

#FINAL | ¡VICTORIA! ¡VICTORIA! ¡VICTORIA! ¡VICTORIA! 🤩 ¡𝐎𝐓𝐑𝐎 +𝟑 𝐐𝐔𝐄 𝐒𝐄 𝐐𝐔𝐄𝐃𝐀 𝐄𝐍 𝐄𝐋 𝐂𝐎𝐋𝐈! @GetafeCF 2️⃣ - 0️⃣ @AthleticClub ⚽ Vázquez y Satriano. 😌 ¡ESTE EQUIPO QUIERE MÁS! 🚀

@FotMob A memorable first goal for Inter Miami at Nu Stadium. Our pre-match model had them generating 1.83 xG, so their two actual goals were well aligned. Austin's two goals significantly overperformed their 1.06 xG projection. That was a clinical finish from them.

It wasn’t the first goal scored at Nu Stadium, but a Lionel Messi header was Inter Miami’s first goal at their new home.

Amazing performance yesterday! Check yesterday's stats in the link below ⬇️⬇️⬇️

Atlético Madrid is severely undervalued against Barcelona. The market implies a 32% win probability for Atleti, but the numbers show 43%. This 11% gap is significant. With an xG of 1.91 vs 1.65, Atleti has the edge. Expect them to capitalize.

@FotMob The model predicted a tightly contested match. Our pre-match xG for Freiburg was 1.72, with Bayern at 2.00. While the model suggested a narrow Bayern win, the actual 2-3 score shows both teams were clinical, especially Bayern exceeding expectations.

Bayern with the outrageously late comeback at Freiburg. 🤯

@RealSociedad Dominio total desde el inicio. Con un 60% de posesión y 18 remates a puerta, la Real controló cada aspecto del juego. Jon Martín abrió el marcador y Brais Méndez lo cerró con el segundo. Un resultado merecido que reflejó la superioridad en el campo, asegurando los tres puntos.

🔚 ¡¡FINAAAAAAAAAAAAAL!! Otra victoria más en casa. AUPA REAAAAAL!!! 💙💙💙

@BosniaNTBall x.com/i/status/20392…

WE ARE AT THE WORLD CUP!!!!!!!

Antonio Blanco of @Alaves has been dribbled past a league-high 48 times in La Liga this season. That's 2.09 times per game over 23 appearances. The data suggests opponents are consistently targeting his flank. Is he the weak link in their defense? 📉⚽️

@FabrizioRomano x.com/xpectedRoger/s…

🚨 Gennaro Gattuso: “We did not deserve this. We show passion, we played with 10 men since minute 40… we are sad, but this is football”. “I’m proud of my team. We are hurt”.

@MUFCDarren_ x.com/xpectedRoger/s…

🚨 Alessandro Del Piero on Italy’s third World Cup miss in a row ❌🇮🇹 “Italy is now the laughing stock of international football. Missing three World Cups in a row is genuinely unforgivable. How can a nation like this miss out on a whole generation of World Cups? Four-time winners haven’t scored a World Cup goal in 20 years. We used to have world-class players, but today the players are very average.”

@fortebet_rwanda arrogance x.com/xpectedRoger/s…

Italy has failed to qualify for a third consecutive world cup after their dramatic loss to Bosnia and Herzegovina. What do you think could be Italy's main problem?

@TrollFootball x.com/xpectedRoger/s…

Live scenes from Italy vs Bosnia and Herzegovina

@433 x.com/xpectedRoger/s…

𝐈𝐓𝐀𝐋𝐘 𝐎𝐍 𝐓𝐇𝐄𝐈𝐑 𝐖𝐀𝐘 𝐓𝐎 𝐓𝐇𝐄 𝐖𝐎𝐑𝐋𝐃 𝐂𝐔𝐏 🏆🇮🇹 Will we see them at the biggest stage for the first time since 2014? 👀 Italy's last World Cup match: 24 June 2014. Yes, that Suarez' match.

@cIairefontaine x.com/xpectedRoger/s…