noted

Polymarket already pricing a 71% chance of Claude 5 by September which is insane considering Claude 4.8 literally just released feels like the market no longer expects yearly AI cycles anymore now it’s: - faster iterations - constant model upgrades - labs racing each other in real time at this pace, AI releases are starting to feel more like crypto narratives than software launches

@Boda9112 @Polymarket glad you stuck with it, that discipline pays off

Those who have been following my LP reward journey at @Polymarket know that for past week I have been farming suspended football match market. I was fine with being filled on my orders because I do read market rules and this evening ligue DISCIPLINARY COMMITTEE ruled occordingly to my shares! So we had a nice LP farming week and extra payday for commitment! I really hope that some of you guys followed me on this call :) Now we will move onto Taker Rebate market farming from 28th $POLY #POLY

@Frosen crazy how these things slip through for so long

Lost a couple thousand dollars betting against AdorableRaccoon last year After the Google Year in Search was revealed, it was obvious he insider traded this market as every single one of his 'predictions' ended up being correct Definitely surprised to see he's been caught! abcnews.com/US/google-empl…

@PythNetwork bro brought the whole office to the beach

This is how your email finds me, 24/7.

@TOXA_CNPHNK the way you map dependencies during the outage really sharpens the picture

Pyth went down for 5 hours last Thursday and i'm here to tell you it was the most bullish thing that happened to the protocol all year. think about what you actually saw during the outage. half of DeFi on multiple chains paused. perp DEXes froze pricing. lending protocols flagged liquidations. prediction markets stalled out mid-resolution. funding rates on derivatives platforms went weird because reference prices stopped updating. that's not a bug report. that's a dependency graph drawn in real time. that's millions of dollars of TVL across hundreds of protocols on 100+ chains all going "wait, we can't function without Pyth pricing". here's the thing about infrastructure. you only find out how critical it is when it breaks. AWS goes down once every couple of years and the entire internet remembers that half the world's services run on three Amazon datacenters in Virginia. Cloudflare blips and Discord, ChatGPT, Twitter, and every SaaS dashboard in your stack die simultaneously. nobody remembers how dependent they are until the dependency fails. for 5 hours on May 22, the same thing happened to DeFi. every single protocol that uses Pyth as its primary or fallback oracle had to publicly acknowledge that dependency. validators stopped producing blocks on Pythnet. Hermes stopped relaying. and the downstream consequences propagated across multiple chains within minutes. the protocols that didn't pause? mostly the ones that had Pyth integrated alongside other fallback oracles. but even those had to operate in degraded mode because their primary feed went dark. now ask yourself a simple question. when those teams sit down to do their post-mortem on this outage, what's the conclusion? "we should remove Pyth"? unlikely. Pyth is integrated because nothing else gives you sub-second first-party institutional data from 120+ publishers including Jane Street and Cboe. you can't replace that with a backup. you just add redundancy on top of it. "we should add more Pyth integrations as fallback for our other oracles"? much more likely. because the outage demonstrated that when Pyth works, it works at a quality tier nothing else matches. and when other oracles fail, Pyth has historically been the redundancy layer. the outage was bad for users. it was painful for protocols. it was embarrassing for the team. and structurally, it was the loudest free advertisement Pyth has ever gotten for exactly how indispensable it has become to the infrastructure stack of the entire DeFi sector. you don't get this kind of accidental dependency mapping twice. @PythNetwork

One of the biggest problems in crypto has always been sustainability A lot of protocols figured out how to grow attention Very few figured out how to build actual revenue loops That’s why the July 31 @PythNetwork upgrade feels important Pyth Core is moving into the same monetization layer as Pro Which means: more subscriptions more recurring revenue more buybacks more value flowing back into the network And the interesting part is that this is happening while the network itself keeps expanding: more feeds more markets more institutional usage more integrations Feels like @PythNetwork is slowly moving away from the “growth at all costs” phase and toward becoming an actual market data business with crypto rails underneath it Not many projects ever make that transition successfully

@0xInari_ @Polymarket @PolymarketSport interesting stat on home teams with these refs, could be a key tonight.

Thunder vs Spurs game 5 today series tied 2:2 Tony Brothers and James Capers are the refs home teams usually win with this crew and tonight’s game is in okc 👁️👁️ @Polymarket gives Thunder a 60% chance to win all eyes on it

@PythNetwork feels like the business model is finally matching the scale of the network

NEWS: Pyth Core is getting an infrastructure upgrade on July 31 📢 But one important change: All Pyth Price Feeds API access will require a Starter or Pro subscription. More subscriptions → more revenue → more PYTH purchases Everything you need to know 🧵

on Polymarket there’s already a market betting on when OpenSea launches SEA but honestly, it no longer feels like a question of if they already confirmed the token already built the rewards system already shifted OpenSea into a broader trading platform and still delayed the launch because market conditions weren’t good enough feels like they’re waiting for: stronger NFT momentum better crypto sentiment and probably a cleaner alt season setup so at this point, is the market really pricing probability… or just trying to price timing?

@Emotion_web3 it's inspiring how you turned curiosity into a unique strategy with weather data.

What is weather trading for you? I never thought I would connect my life with this niche. I didn’t study meteorology. My parents were not weather experts. I was never the guy who planned to analyze temperature, wind, rain and climate data every day. I just tried it once. And then it started working. > First small wins. > Then better setups. > Then a strategy. > Then a bot @weatherscan_bot Now weather is not just something outside the window for me. It’s data. It’s market inefficiency. It’s opportunity. Think about it. What is weather for you?

@PondSyndicate @ethereum free mint enjoyers assembling 👀

Introducing Pond Synditicate coming @ethereum Supply: 555 Price: Fully FreeMint Secure your spot on the EarlyList. pondsyndicate.xyz Early access only.

@ednovart early is better than late

Tiny chaos protocol activated… FREE MINT ████████████░░░░░░░░ you’re early.

@GLOBEINF looking forward to seeing how these Globe Hubs will shape the community’s growth

Introducing Globe Hub — the premium NFT collection powering the Globe Ecosystem. Globe Hubs represent the highest-tier nodes within the Globe Network, designed for early believers, contributors, and ecosystem participants. ◉ Supply: 1,000 ◉ Mint price: Free Applications are now open: ➔ #hub" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">globeinf.com/#hub Hub holders will gain access to exclusive utilities, privileges, and future ecosystem benefits — more details coming soon.

@PythNetwork taking breaks is overrated when innovation never sleeps

We are delighted to inform you that “Out of Office” is dead

@Emotion_web3 consistent 3-5% daily is impressive if the risk is managed well.

Weather trader made $4,000 trading only Seoul weather. Found an interesting wallet that focuses on just one city - Seoul. And the strategy is very different. He doesn’t enter early. He waits until the outcome is almost 100% clear, then takes the last part of the move. Every day he collects around 3–5% on his deposit. Small percentage, but very consistent. Profile: @whackyy?tab=positions&r=Emotionweb3#AYyFYFD" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@whackyy?tab=p… What do you think - is this the right strategy? Or is it better to trade earlier using weather data from the bot?

@CryptoLorenzo2k interesting to see the 39% FDV chance shaping up so soon after launch

Solstice dropped a $200,000 airdrop with their $SLX token Right now on Polymarket there’s a 39% chance on $200M FDV pretty solid for a drop this size Market here: polymarket.com/event/solstice… CT is already filling up with posts from big influencers who got a nice airdrop but with a 4 month vesting I didn’t participate in this one but congrats to everyone who got paid

@hackless_defi and people still ape random low caps after this

BREAKING: $ESPORTS token crashes 92% after massive sell-off Over the past 4 hours, someone dumped 197.8M ESPORTS tokens (43% of circulating supply) for 20,401 BNB ($13.65M). The numbers: 43% of total supply sold in one move $13.65M extracted 92% price crash This pattern (massive coordinated sell creating liquidity crisis) is classic rug pull behavior. If you held ESPORTS and lost funds to this dump, document everything: transaction hashes, wallet addresses, timestamps. Lost funds to rug pulls or token scams? Contact Hackless for forensic tracing.

@Deestar “community first” until tge happens

Solstice locked 85% - 95% of community allocation for 3 - 9 months while Xeet users are forced to wait another 41 days after TGE winners here are ICO investors and Binance alpha with 100% unlocked at TGE once again community has to hope price don’t go to 0 before unlock

@DmitriyUngarov ct slowly discovering arbitrage in sports markets

Smart money on Polymarket doesn’t care who wins the World Cup > Bought 46 out of 48 teams (skipped only France and Belgium) > Bought very cheap Yes shares (0.4c - 3.4c). > Current status: Up approximately $450,000. > Max potential payout: ~$4.37 million if one of his teams wins. CT not ready for the era where math nerds replace sports analysts on prediction markets