yebron
819 posts
$ETH Sep 25 was last 80D cycle low and latest low likely formed on Nov 21, similar to $BTC analysis and $SPX
-Blue is the primary wave from Dec 2024 showing 1 more up leg into Feb 2026
-Middle panel is seasonality which is positive into early Q1 '26 (small sample size)
-Bottom panel is 80D cycle which is entering strong phase of the cycle so want to see upside breakout (a breakdown here could be a sign of early peak and bearish left translation)
-Close above 3100 would break 50DMA, diagonal resistance and 40D offset confirming low is in place and will generate upside projection of ~3600
-40W cycle low was also due around now, likely forming here
-Major resistance now is 200DMA (~3600). A close above would open path to ATH in Feb
Namzes Cycles@Namzes_G
$ETH due 80D cycle low around now. Want to see this retest of range highs hold and wick next few days to keep overall bullish structure intact and start closing back above 4100 which sets up final push higher in October. Failure at 4100 in October will be major red flag that cycle has peaked.
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yebron retweetledi
#Oil $CL_F $USO last update for the year:
-It has followed the projection well this year, with a seasonal and cycle low due mid-Dec
-COT spec positioning getting extremely negative: a contrarian bullish set up
-Downside price projection hasn't been reached yet but I still took a long trade Friday at close as conditions seem ripe for at least a counter rally
-We don't have a confirmation that intermediate or LT cycles have bottomed; still significant chances of sub $50 WTI to print in H1 2026 with supply glut narrative - which would likely be multi-year low / buy point. We need price to break key cycle offsets to get early signs of a bottom and consider putting capital in the sector. Energy stocks have diverged from oil price and have significant downside risk if oil weakens further.
Namzes Cycles@Namzes_G
#Oil now broke offset for 1/2 40W cycle so we have a downside projection of just under $50. Unless it recovers sharply to cross back above it, it will likely hit around mid December where we outlined main buy point for the year in energy. Time to get watch / buy lists ready.
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This is how current $SOL cycle compares vs last one. I think we are looking at a final multi week run to new highs but the window is narrow and has to happen by mid-September. Structure and momentum still bullish and financial conditions extremely lose so capital is moving up the risk curve. #altseason
Namzes Cycles@Namzes_G
Please rank my TA on #SOL #crypto “Merry Christmas” 🌲⭐️ @TheChartReport
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