yew0411

#Bitcoin – What’s Next? The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know 🚩 TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown: A few days ago, I gave a long at the 71k region and mentioned targets of the 79–84k region, and I am now changing something in the plan! I previously said that between 79–84k I would take profit of the long and ADD more SHORTS, this strategy has now changed and is very important to understand! My long from the 71k region remains open, but my take profit has changed. Instead of taking profits between 79–84k, I will take HALF OF THE POSITION SIZE as profit at the 76,200 region, and this is also very important to understand! I am NOT adding short orders at 76,200, but still between 79–84k in case the market allows a move there. The other half of the long will also be closed between 79–84k if the market reaches that region. Once 76,200 is hit, I will take profit on half of the position size of the long and move the stop loss to entry to avoid any loss and secure 50% of the profit. I hope this makes sense now. You might wonder where this shift comes from, and I need to admit a small mistake in my calculation: the probability of hitting 76k is very high, but the probability of reaching 79–84k is currently medium. Because of this, I am adjusting my take profit areas. Overall, the short from 115–125k remains open, and additional short orders are placed between 79–84k in case the market reaches that zone, I am not interested to add short orders at 76k region, just if we move higher and we see higher FOMO, I would be interested to add between 79-84k, not earlier. I am expecting a large downside move in the coming weeks, it should not take much longer, as the move is very close. I am expecting the S&P 500 to crash within the next two months, with a downside move of more than 35%. In comparison, the S&P 500 dropped 34% during the COVID black swan event. I am expecting a much larger downside move this time, with a heavy domino effect. I am expecting a large trap for bulls as well, something market makers will use to send us lower into the 50s area and even further afterward. We have not bottomed out. The only question now is: how high will we rise before continuing downward? Will it be 76k before rejection, or will we reach the 79–84k region first? This question needs more time to be answered with clarity. While I see the probability of 76k as extremely high, I currently see 79–84k as medium probability, and therefore I am adjusting my trade accordingly. Profit is the only option and I am using every move to make a profit, no matter what my bias are! As always, I am very transparent with you regarding my trades and decisions, and I want to personally thank you all for the support you are giving. Congratulations to everyone who took the short with me at the exact top, I will keep it open and realize it at much lower levels than where we are now. Join DrProfit Premium now: whop.com/joined/drprofi…

真相是～ 唯一主动卖出（2022年12月22日）：通过子公司 MacroStrategy LLC 出售了 704 枚，总价约 1180 万美元（均价约 16,776 美元）。 另外去年底它的ceo讲到了，承认当指标 mNAV（市场价值与资产净值比）跌破 1 且无法融资时，可能出售比特币～ #MSTR

#比特币 跌到多少？#MSTR 会开始出售比特币~

微策略这种公司如此急迫的持续买入大饼，这种公司未来可以成功吗？ 这是个值得思考的问题~ 一场有史以来最大的杠杆比特币豪赌～ Saylor的逻辑自洽得让人叹服：发债→买BTC→BTC涨→股价涨→再发债→再买BTC。这台机器只要转起来，就能自我强化～ 这个模型有一个前提： 比特币不能深跌，而且不能长时间跌～ 历史上BTC曾经跌80%。如果这种级别的回调再来一次，MicroStrategy的债务结构会发生什么？ 发行的可转债到期，股价跌到转股价以下，债主要求现金偿还。现金从哪来？卖BTC。卖BTC压低价格，股价继续跌，债务压力继续升—— 死亡螺旋，教科书式的～ 熊市失败——如果宏观流动性收紧，BTC深度回调，MicroStrategy可能成为这个周期最大的雷，没有之一～ 这家公司本质上是一张比特币多头期权，而不是传统意义上的企业经营～ 买它的人，买的不是公司基本面，买的是对BTC的信仰加杠杆～ 信仰对了，封神～ 信仰错了，清零～ 中间没有温和的结局～ 有没有人计算过 比特币跌到多少 微策略就要开始出售比特币？ #MicroStrategy #比特币 #杠杆风险 #Saylor