
y0s
246 posts

































@vnovakovski @petitfilo @Lighter_xyz It’s obvious a lot of people still left Hyperliquid despite everything they’ve done So what makes you think those same people won’t walk away from Lighter the moment you launch a token -- especially when you’re nowhere near HL’s position right now ?

re Lighter vs Hyperliquid TVL, volumes and OI are definitely getting hot on @Lighter_xyz. But I would be careful in reading those. Trading is with NO fees - as they will be introduced in Q4. So I would not jump and define it as the new hl... The TVL is driven by the LLP, which has an 80% APY, and surprisinglt they were somehow able to maintain as more deposits came in. On LPs for perps platforms - you can clearly see the direction @HyperliquidX is going in. Fading out HLP as a core offering, which was confirmed by their recent redirection of the part of the daily fees away from HLP. I remember a podcast from Jeff a few months back where he was saying that HLP was a USP feature at the start, of hl and it was key to boostrap liqudity - but as the exchange grew, the LP took on a lot fewer trades and it wasn't as necessary. Their focus then shifted in providing the best infra for HFTs.The Lighter LP, on the other side, seems still to be a core feature. Something I find a bit shady is that the team DOES charge fees for the APIs to HFTs but they wouldn't disclose the figures to comthe munity (while being 2-3 months away from TGE). This makes me think that fees are either so low or not intended to eventually go back to token holders. If they turn out to be low, this means that there is less volume from external MM, which somewhat confirms that the LLP takes on a lot more trades in for market making and hence the high APY. The biggest challenge Lighter has going into the TGE is finding a way for the capital not to leave the ecosystem. HL literally built a whole chain for people to play around with their HYPE tokens. And this attracted both huge airdrop receivers to reinvest in the ecosystem and external builders. Lighter has incentivized every single metric to date, so they will have to build a reason for people to not sell their tokens as soon as they receive them and to go back to hl: ESPECIALLY as they will introduce trading fees. So far, Lighter hasn't really been a thought leader - but rather copied a lot of what hyperliquid did. So token design, stickiness of capital after fee introduction, and token-value acctual remains a big question mark for me. There is a 99.99% chance their token design will not be as clean as something like hype. But the hype standard is quite unfair. Definitely a lot of hurdles, and once the "ponzi" flywheels/ incentives get slowed down, things can get reflexive to the downside. If they struggle to retain users, or to give users utility for the token, or even fail to paint a chart like the hype one, then users leave. They will lose liquidity, and the downspiral to the downside will begin. If you go back and look at the hl team, you will see a teak that took the best decisions every step of the way until this day. Combined with the fact that they didn't have any backing and are purely non-extractive, everything builds up to the currentvaluation. Timing was also different as they were building and launched in a bear market - with the TGE at cheap valuation with the bull market yet to start. Lighter started inspired by hl and has been backed by VCs from the start. They now have a lot to figure out, and the timing is not on their side. I am still personally trying to wrap my head around the zk-side of the tech a. If it is actually scaling the way they discuss seems relatively bullish from a scalability and security side.








