@MarioNawfal 🔥 Iran attacks Gulf states.
Gulf states host US bases, allow Israeli strikes — now complain when the fire spreads.
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Bete
4.9K posts
🚨🇮🇷THE ROAD TO ARMAGEDDON: A NEW WORLD WAR
Col. Larry Wilkerson highlights the extreme difficulty of defeating Iran militarily, suggesting it would require up to 2 million troops and result in millions of casualties.
History suggests that instead of de-escalating, world powers often "double down" and "triple down," leading to wider global conflict.
We are facing a potential axis of China, Russia, and India against the West, which could end in a nuclear holocaust.
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🚨🇮🇷 THE GROUND WAR TRAP: THE ILLUSION OF KHARG ISLAND Col. Larry Wilkerson warns that introducing ground forces or special ops to seize Iranian oil facilities would only initiate massive pain for the U.S. Targets like Kharg Island are heavily protected and strategically deep, making them nearly impossible to seize without committing to a war crime. Iran has spent decades preparing for this exact scenario, ensuring any ground operation becomes an "Afghanistan on steroids".
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@Its_ereko ⚠️ These condemnations don’t stop missiles or oil supply disruptions.
Global markets react to fires they didn’t prevent.
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🇸🇦🇮🇷 BREAKING: 12 countries just called out Iran. Condemn attacks. Demand halt.
Qatar. UAE. Saudi. Egypt. Jordan. Türkiye. Pakistan. And more.
The region is speaking. The message is clear: stop the strikes. Respect sovereignty. No more.
But here's what they're not saying:
The same countries host US bases. The same countries let their airspace be used. The same countries stayed silent while Israel bombed.
Now they're upset because the bombs are hitting them. Because the fire they helped start is burning their own homes.
Iran attacks? Yes. But Iran is responding to provocations they enabled.
The joint statement is loud. The hypocrisy is louder.
They want Iran to stop. They don't want the US to leave. They don't want Israel to halt.
You can't have it both ways. Not in the Middle East. Not anymore.
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Bete retweetou
Gas facilities in Saudi Arabia. It’s over folks. We are heading into a major 1973-style energy crisis. There will likely be shortages and rationing. We will probably be moved to work-from-home - if you keep your job, of course. 🛢️📈
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@SeongWooIQ300 🔥 U.S. escalates: Thousands more troops could join 5,000 already approved in the Gulf.
Every move raises stakes for Iran, allies, and global energy security
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🚨🚨🚨 THE PENTAGON WANTS $200 BILLION FOR THE IRAN WAR. HERE'S WHAT THAT MONEY COULD HAVE BUILT INSTEAD. 🚨🚨🚨
The Washington Post broke it yesterday.
Pentagon officials. Closed-door meetings. $200 billion supplemental request.
For a war that started 19 days ago.
For a war that nobody voted for.
Here's what $200,000,000,000 actually buys:
💀 $20 billion — End homelessness in America. COMPLETELY. EVERY SINGLE PERSON.
And they could do it TEN TIMES with $200 billion.
But 582,000 Americans slept outside last night anyway.
💀 $45 billion — Replace EVERY lead water pipe in the country.
Right now, millions of children drink poisoned water.
Flint was 12 years ago. Nothing got fixed.
$200 billion could fix it 4 times over.
💀 $58 billion per year — Make college COMPLETELY FREE.
$200 billion = free college for 3 and a half years.
Instead, 45 million Americans carry student debt averaging $39,000.
💀 $93 billion per year — End WORLD HUNGER.
$200 billion = zero starvation on Earth for over 2 years.
But we chose to bomb instead.
💀 $171 billion — Fix EVERY crumbling bridge in America.
235,000 bridges need repairs RIGHT NOW.
Every year people die on them.
$200 billion covers the whole thing.
💀 $24 billion per year — Fund NASA.
$200 billion = 8 years of space exploration, science, satellites, the future.
EIGHT YEARS. Gone. In one war budget request.
💀 $600 — Cash in YOUR pocket.
Every American. Every family. Every child.
$600 each. Just handed out. Tomorrow.
That's what $200 billion is.
Instead they chose:
Day 1 through Day 6: $11.3 billion burned.
Day 7 through now: $1 billion every single day.
No exit strategy. No timeline. No vote.
Trump said they can wage war "forever" using Pentagon stockpiles.
FOREVER.
While your kid's school is falling apart.
While your city's water pipes leak poison.
While your neighbor sleeps under a bridge.
They chose this. For you.
Nobody asked you.
But you're paying for it.
Prepare accordingly. 🚨🚨🚨
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@jacksonhinklle ⚠️ Reinforcing U.S. presence shows America doubling down amid Iran-Israel conflict.
Strait of Hormuz and Gulf stability now directly tied to troop movements.
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🚨🇺🇸 BREAKING: Trump considers deploying thousands more U.S. troops to "reinforce" operations in the Middle East, in addition to the 5,000 marines and sailors already approved to deploy on amphibious assault ships — Reuters
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@shanaka86 🧨 Saudi Arabia criticizes Iran’s actions against neighbors and civilians, questioning its leadership in the Islamic world.
This underscores a widening diplomatic rift in the region
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The egg on your plate this morning was made from corn.
Not literally. But the hen that laid it ate roughly two pounds of feed for every dozen eggs she produced. That feed was primarily corn and soybean meal. The corn was grown with nitrogen fertiliser at $610 per ton on the CBOT March settlement. The soybean meal came from beans planted on acres that used to grow corn before the fertiliser price made the switch inevitable. The plastic tray the eggs sit in was moulded from polyethylene derived from Gulf naphtha. The refrigerated truck that delivered them to the store runs on diesel refined from crude that once transited Hormuz.
The egg does not know it is a nitrogen derivative. The receipt does.
American egg prices had been falling. Wholesale dropped to roughly 70 cents per dozen by early March 2026, down more than 90 percent from the $8.53 peak during the 2025 avian flu crisis. Retail averaged about $2.50 per dozen in February. The flock rebuilt. Nine million more hens than a year ago. Egg production was recovering. The USDA projected egg prices to decrease 27.4 percent in 2026 from 2025 levels.
That projection was published before the strait closed.
The protein cascade runs through every animal product in the supermarket. Corn becomes feed. Feed becomes poultry, beef, pork, dairy. Each conversion step multiplies the input cost. A $610 urea price raises corn production costs. Higher corn costs raise feed costs. Higher feed costs raise the price of every protein that eats corn: eggs, chicken, beef, pork, milk, cheese, yogurt. The cattle herd is at 86.2 million head, a 75-year low. Fewer animals eating more expensive feed produces less protein at higher prices.
The Renewable Fuel Standard consumes 43 percent of the corn crop as ethanol feedstock. That mandate is written into law. It does not flex when fertiliser prices surge. The RFS takes its 15 billion gallons first. Whatever corn remains feeds the animals. When the total corn crop shrinks because farmers switch to soybeans, the RFS share of the smaller harvest becomes a larger fraction of available supply. The animals get what is left.
Now add the packaging layer. Polyethylene for cling film and trays. Polypropylene for yogurt cups. PET for milk bottles. Every packaging material is petrochemical. The IRGC published satellite targeting images of the Gulf facilities that produce the naphtha that becomes the plastic that wraps the food. US PE spot prices surged 10 cents per pound. Indian PE jumped 20,000 rupees per tonne.
Now add the freight layer. War risk premiums up 300 percent. VLCC charter rates quadrupled to $800,000 per day. Container surcharges of $500 to $1,500 per TEU added directly to the cost of imported and exported goods. Refrigerated truck diesel is priced off crude that sits above $100.
Now add the insurance layer. The P&I clubs voided coverage. Solvency II requires 30 to 60 days of zero incidents before reinstatement. Even after a ceasefire, the logistics system lags the financial relief rally by months. Sticky inflation hides in the gap between the ceasefire headline and the insurance normalisation.
Every layer compounds on the one before it. Nitrogen raises the corn. Feed raises the protein. Packaging raises the shelf. Freight raises the delivery. Insurance raises the duration. The grocery bill absorbs all five. The receipt at the checkout counter is the terminal node where every crisis in the series converges.
A strait 11,000 kilometres away just repriced your breakfast.
open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡@shanaka86
JUST IN: The most irreversible consequence of this war is not happening in Tehran. It is happening in a barn in Iowa. A farmer is standing over a kitchen table looking at two seed catalogues. One is corn. One is soybeans. Corn needs 180 pounds of nitrogen per acre. Nitrogen costs $610 per ton on the CBOT March futures settlement as of yesterday, up 35 percent in a month. Soybeans fix their own nitrogen from the atmosphere through root bacteria called rhizobia. They need nothing from the Strait of Hormuz. The farmer is choosing soybeans. Millions of acres are choosing soybeans. And once the planter rolls into the field, the choice cannot be reversed until next year. USDA projected corn at roughly 94 million acres for 2026, down from 98.8 million. Soybeans at 85 million, up from 81.2 million. Those projections were published February 19, before urea surged past $683 at New Orleans. The actual shift will be larger. USDA Prospective Plantings reports March 31. By then the seeds will be in the ground. This is the transmission channel the world is not watching. A 21-mile strait enforced by provincial commanders with sealed radio orders just rewrote the planting economics of 90 million acres of the most productive farmland on Earth. Not through sanctions. Not through diplomacy. Through the price of a single molecule that corn cannot grow without and soybeans do not need. Now follow the cascade. The Renewable Fuel Standard mandates 15 billion gallons of corn ethanol annually. That consumes roughly 43 percent of the entire US corn crop. The mandate is set by the EPA. It does not flex when corn acres shrink. It is inelastic demand consuming a fixed share of a declining supply. When supply tightens against a fixed mandate, the remaining corn reprices upward. Corn above $5 per bushel compresses every margin downstream. The US cattle herd stands at 86.2 million head, a 75-year low per USDA NASS. Poultry and pork operations face compression from higher corn prices. Feed is the single largest cost in livestock production. When feed reprices, protein reprices. When protein reprices, every grocery shelf in America absorbs the increase. This is the protein cascade. Corn to feed to meat to eggs to dairy to the checkout counter. Each link tightens because the link before it tightened. The originating cause is a urea molecule that cannot transit a strait because a provincial commander’s sealed orders say it cannot. The farmer did not start this war. The farmer cannot end it. The farmer responds to the price on the screen and the biology of the two crops in front of him. Corn needs the molecule. Soybeans do not. At $610 the arithmetic is settled. The planter rolls. The season is locked. Israel just authorised the assassination of every Iranian official on sight. The US has spent $16.5 billion. South Pars is burning. The Fed is holding rates because oil inflation will not break. Gold touched $5,000. Bitcoin is bleeding. China is running exercises near Taiwan. Sri Lanka shut down on Wednesdays. And underneath all of it, a man in a barn is making the decision that determines whether four billion people pay more for food this year. He has never heard of the Mosaic Doctrine. He does not know what a sealed contingency packet is. He knows what nitrogen costs. And he is planting soybeans. Full analysis - open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…
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@MarioNawfal 🚨 “Attack your neighbors, then call for solidarity?”
Saudi Arabia just dropped a diplomatic truth bomb on Iran
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🚨🇸🇦🇮🇷 Saudi Foreign Minister slams Iran:
“They continue attacking their neighbors while at the same time calling for Islamic solidarity. How can they expect support when they target Islamic countries, harm their interests, and strike civilians?”
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🚨🇮🇷 Iran executed 3 men detained during January's nationwide protests. It's the first known execution of protesters. The men allegedly stabbed 2 police officers to death in Qom during the demonstrations. Iran crushed those protests with violence that killed thousands and detained tens of thousands more. Rights groups have warned of coerced confessions and unfair trials. Source: AP News
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@Jihooncrypto 💥 Iran executes 3 men detained during nationwide protests in Qom.
Human rights organizations warn of coerced confessions and unfair trials.
This is the regime signaling zero tolerance for dissent
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🚨🚨🚨 TRUMP JUST PUBLICLY THREW ISRAEL UNDER THE BUS. HE PICKED QATAR. THIS IS A MAJOR WORLD CRISIS. 🚨🚨🚨
For 3 weeks, Trump backed EVERY Israeli strike without question. Tonight, he called the South Pars attack "an act of anger that America had NOTHING to do with."
Let that sink in.
The President of the United States just publicly distanced himself from his closest ally — in the middle of a WAR he helped start.
Why? Because Qatar gave him a $400 MILLION Boeing jet. And Israel just set Qatar's largest LNG plant ON FIRE.
Here's what happens NEXT — step by step:
💀 STEP 1 — ENERGY COLLAPSE
South Pars is OFFLINE. The world's largest gas field — GONE. Europe gets 20% of its LNG from Qatar. That supply is now BURNING.
💀 STEP 2 — STRAIT OF HORMUZ CLOSES
Iran has already hit 9 countries in ONE NIGHT. 150 ships sit paralyzed in the Gulf. 30% of Europe's jet fuel transits that strait. It's SHUT.
💀 STEP 3 — OIL PAST $100
Brent crude has surged past $100 a barrel. Every dollar higher = BILLIONS drained from the global economy. Gas prices EXPLODE worldwide.
💀 STEP 4 — TRUMP ABANDONS ISRAEL
Qatar owns Trump. $400M jet. $2B in Kushner's fund from Saudi. Israel just attacked the people who OWN his family. He can't back both. He chose MONEY.
💀 STEP 5 — ISRAEL STANDS ALONE
No U.S. cover. No diplomatic shield. 90 million Iranians who believe in martyrdom — and their largest gas field is on fire. Iran's response won't be proportional. It'll be EXISTENTIAL.
⚠️ The U.S. spent 20 years in Afghanistan and never abandoned an ally mid-war. Trump did it in ONE NIGHT — for a jet.
The media is showing you press conferences and "ceasefire talks."
They're NOT showing you that America's president just told the world: "Israel is on its own."
If this was just a diplomatic adjustment, why did he say it publicly? Why tonight? Why NOW?
Because he knows what's coming → Iran retaliates MASSIVELY → Qatar's energy grid is at risk → his $400M jet and Gulf deals are on the line → so he threw Israel overboard → to protect his MONEY.
You don't bomb the world's largest gas field, lose your biggest ally's support, and survive. Israel just opened a door that CANNOT be closed.
Prepare accordingly. 🚨🚨🚨
They don't want you seeing this. Follow + RT to beat the algorithm. 🚨
Dr. JiHoon Park | IQ 312@Jihooncrypto
🚨🚨🚨 TRUMP JUST BLAMED ISRAEL. CLEARED QATAR. AND GAVE IRAN A WAY OUT. 🚨🚨🚨 Read this carefully. The war might be about to end. Trump just posted on Truth Social. Every sentence is calculated. – Israel attacked Iran's South Pars Gas Field "out of anger" – The U.S. "knew NOTHING about this particular attack" – Qatar was "in NO WAY, SHAPE, OR FORM involved" – Iran hit Qatar's LNG in retaliation — based on WRONG intelligence – Trump's message to Iran: stop hitting Qatar → and we won't destroy South Pars Let that sink in. This is NOT a threat. This is a NEGOTIATION disguised as a threat. HERE'S WHAT JUST HAPPENED — STEP BY STEP: 💀 Step 1: Israel hit South Pars — the LARGEST natural gas field on Earth 💀 Step 2: Iran assumed the U.S. and Qatar were behind it — struck Qatar's Ras Laffan in retaliation 💀 Step 3: Trump PUBLICLY distances the U.S. from Israel — "we knew NOTHING" 💀 Step 4: Trump clears Qatar — tells Iran they hit the WRONG target 💀 Step 5: Trump offers a CLEAR off-ramp — stop hitting Qatar and this doesn't escalate further ⚠️ HERE'S WHY THIS CHANGES EVERYTHING: ⚠️ Trump is splitting from Israel PUBLICLY for the first time in this war ⚠️ He said "I do NOT want to authorize this level of violence" — a president signaling he wants OFF this ride ⚠️ He WARNED Iran before striking — you don't warn your enemy unless you WANT them to back down ⚠️ "Long term implications for the future of Iran" = he's admitting destroying South Pars would be CATASTROPHIC They're showing you the threat — "we'll MASSIVELY blow up South Pars." They're NOT showing you the real message — Trump just told Iran exactly how to END this war. Think about it: → If Trump wanted total war, why blame Israel? → If Trump wanted escalation, why clear Qatar? → If Trump wanted to destroy South Pars, why WARN Iran first? → You don't give your enemy an off-ramp unless you WANT them to take it. This is the first time since Day 1 that a clear PATH TO DE-ESCALATION exists. Israel is isolated. Trump is done covering for them. Iran has a choice. The next 48 hours decide everything. Prepare accordingly. 🚨🚨🚨 Twitter is suppressing this. Like + RT + Follow before it's gone. 🚨
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@MarioNawfal 🚨 Iran executes 3 protesters from January demonstrations.
Violence and repression continue unabated.
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🚨🇮🇷 Iran executed 3 men detained during January's nationwide protests.
It's the first known execution of protesters.
The men allegedly stabbed 2 police officers to death in Qom during the demonstrations.
Iran crushed those protests with violence that killed thousands and detained tens of thousands more.
Rights groups have warned of coerced confessions and unfair trials.
Source: AP News
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🚨🇮🇳🇮🇷 India is doing what the U.S. won't: negotiating with Iran to get tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. Over 1,000 ships are trapped in the Persian Gulf. India's working to get at least 23 tankers out, possibly starting this weekend. India's leverage: it buys massive amounts of Iranian and Russian oil. Diplomacy might reopen the strait where military force hasn't. Source: BusinessBasicsYT
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@MarioNawfal 🚨 UK joins US talks → Strait of Hormuz under international focus.
Oil routes are now a military concern
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🚨🇬🇧🇮🇷 UK considering sending forces to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🚨🇮🇳🇮🇷 India is doing what the U.S. won't: negotiating with Iran to get tankers through the Strait of Hormuz. Over 1,000 ships are trapped in the Persian Gulf. India's working to get at least 23 tankers out, possibly starting this weekend. India's leverage: it buys massive amounts of Iranian and Russian oil. Diplomacy might reopen the strait where military force hasn't. Source: BusinessBasicsYT
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@cryptorover ⚠️ European gas jumps sharply as Middle East energy infrastructure comes under attack.
Supply risk is now driving prices, not fundamentals.
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@CryptoNobler ⚠️ If India manages to move tankers through Hormuz, even partially, it could ease pressure on global oil supply and prices.
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🚨🇮🇳🇮🇷 India is doing what the U.S. won't: negotiating with Iran to get tankers through the Strait of Hormuz.
Over 1,000 ships are trapped in the Persian Gulf. India's working to get at least 23 tankers out, possibly starting this weekend.
India's leverage: it buys massive amounts of Iranian and Russian oil.
Diplomacy might reopen the strait where military force hasn't.
Source: BusinessBasicsYT
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🚨🇸🇦🇮🇷 BREAKING: Iran just targeted Saudi Aramco's SAMREF refinery in Yanbu. Yanbu and Fujairah are the only 2 major export outlets left since Iran shut the Strait of Hormuz. Fujairah has already suspended operations after repeated attacks. Now Yanbu is getting hit too. The IRGC issued evacuation warnings to oil facilities across Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and the UAE before the strikes. This is retaliation for Israel's attack on Iran's South Pars gas field. Source: Reuters
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