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@CapForgeApp

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Phoenix, AZ Entrou em Kasım 2025
592 Seguindo106 Seguidores
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CapForgeApp
CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
February Options Monthly Performance Realized Income: $7,916 across 22 closed trades Win rate: 95.5% (21W/1L) Avg P&L per trade: $360 Avg return: +58.4% per trade Top performers: • MSTR: $4,963 (9 trades) • PLTR: $1,366 (4 trades) • IBIT: $728 (3 trades) • AMD: $845 (2 trades)
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CapForgeApp
CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
@TheBTCTherapist @grok And yet her organization (congress) spends 200+ times this amount without solving any of her stated objectives.
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CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
One of the most powerful tools is to prompt yourself a plan and then prompt to tear it apart and find the problems with it. Game changing shift in mentality. The models like to confirm your ideas unless asked to challenge them. Therein lies the unlock.
Marc Andreessen 🇺🇸@pmarca

This is the way.

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Dustin
Dustin@r0ck3t23·
Elon Musk just explained how Starlink moves the GDP of entire nations. The formula is so simple it should embarrass every development agency on the planet. Musk: “GDP is a function of average productivity per person.” Productivity per person goes up. GDP goes up. That is the whole equation. Everything else is decoration. And connectivity is the single largest lever on Earth for pushing that number. Musk: “If you don’t have access to the internet, or it’s too expensive or low bandwidth, you cannot access the MIT lessons and you can’t sell the goods and services that you produce.” No internet means no global knowledge. No global markets. No ability to sell to anyone beyond your village or learn from anyone outside of it. The penalty is total. And it has nothing to do with the person serving it. There is a child alive right now who is as intelligent as anyone who has ever walked the halls of MIT. She does not know it. Nobody around her knows it. Because the coordinates of her birth have no connectivity. No library. No signal. No link to the world that would show her what she is. She will grow old inside a ceiling that geography built for her. Not because of talent. Not because of effort. Because of a satellite that had not been launched yet. Musk: “Internet connectivity is certainly a candidate for one of the things that would do more to lift people out of poverty than anything else.” Traditional infrastructure takes decades. Fiber has to be laid. Towers have to be built. Permits have to be approved. Capital has to be attracted to regions that cannot attract it. Starlink bypasses all of it from orbit. No cables. No permits. No waiting for a government to prioritize your village. A dish goes up. Isolation ends. Someone who could not access a textbook yesterday downloads MIT’s entire curriculum today. Someone who could only sell to neighbors starts selling to the planet tomorrow. That is not an upgrade. That is a different life. Musk: “Starlink will actually move the GDP of countries. Like it’s gonna be that kind of thing.” He said it like a feature update. But read it again. Move the GDP of countries. Not a company’s revenue. Not an industry’s output. The gross domestic product of nations. Shifted by one constellation. The telecom industry spent decades deciding which regions were profitable enough to connect. The rest were written off. Starlink does not make that calculation. It covers the planet. Every farmer. Every welder. Every kid with a clear view of the sky. The minds that will cure diseases, solve energy, and build things we cannot yet name are already alive. They are already thinking. They have no signal. Starlink is the first technology in human history that can reach them at the speed of deployment instead of the speed of bureaucracy. And when those minds come online, they will not change their own lives. They will change the trajectory of the species. That is what Musk actually built. Not a telecom company. The largest unlock of human potential ever launched from a single network.
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CapForgeApp
CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
Been holding out longer on the short calls to squeeze some more premium. Worked out well last week on $IBIT and $MSTR. $MSTR 200C 4/17: 67.7% gain, 17 days in trade, 28 DTE $IBIT 45C 3/27: 79.8% gain, 22 days in trade, 8DTE
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CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
@Invest_Brandon Are you selling the 2 year out at or near the money? Interesting strategy. Considering incorporating it into my current book. Slow money is good money. Thanks for the post
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Investing With Brandon
Investing With Brandon@Invest_Brandon·
Most retail investors doing monthly puts think they are beating me. Here is the math that ends that argument. Market gets cheap. I sell one 2 year put. Collect $20,000. You sell monthly puts on the same company. $1,000 per month average. You make money in the up months. You lose in the volatile months. You have to sell at the top when it is not compelling. After 8 months you made $8,000. I made $20,000 in one trade when the market was cheap. Took the premium. Bought shares. Bought calls. Sat back. 4 months later the market rebounded. I closed the 2 year puts at 75% profit. I held them for 4 out of 24 months. You hit 8 trades. I hit 1. You made $8,000. I made $20,000+. Less trades. More conviction. Portfolio secured put wins again.
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CapForgeApp
CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
While it's still early, the $IBIT options for the next monthly expiration are setting up a call wall around $50. This implies a $BTC price between $88-90k as we approach April 17. Max pain is still hovering around $42-43, implying flat action over the coming month, which is slightly inconsistent with the call wall. As the March options expire on Friday, we'll be closely watching the rotation to the April 17 expiration. I suspect max pain will move up closer to the call wall on Thursday or Friday, driving some upward momentum without the Feb/March headwind as we head into April.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
Btw, the proceeds of any legal victory in the OpenAI case will be donated to charity. I will in no way enrich myself.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk@elonmusk·
𝕏 Money early public access will launch next month
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CapForgeApp
CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
@SMB_Attorney Same for software. The AI can code, but software is more than code. Tradeoffs, judgement, taste, architecture, scale, security. It is a force multiplier, but only for those who can wield it properly.
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SMB Attorney
SMB Attorney@SMB_Attorney·
You guys don’t get it yet. Everyone keeps saying AI is going to replace lawyers. I don’t think people understand how this actually plays out. Let’s say you use AI to draft a contract. The contract misses something important. A year later it costs you two million dollars. What do you do? Right now, you sue your lawyer. In the AI world, you’d sue the AI company. Two things can happen. Option 1: The AI company has liability for legal advice. If that’s the case, every AI company will immediately stop letting consumers use AI for real legal work. The liability risk is massive. Option 2: The AI company has no liability because of disclaimers. If that happens, every state bar in the country will say consumers are being exposed to unregulated legal advice and call it the unauthorized practice of law. And they’ll shut it down that way. Either path leads to the same outcome. Consumer AI will be limited to generic “Wikipedia-style” legal information and LegalZoom level document prep. But the real AI tools? Those will live inside law firms. Lawyers will use them to move faster, analyze more data, and run way more matters at once. The M&A lawyer doing 5 deals at a time will do 50. Trial lawyers will run far more cases simultaneously. The idea that AI replaces lawyers probably dies. The more likely outcome is that AI supercharges the best lawyers and makes the profession even more profitable than ever.
Wall Street Mav@WallStreetMav

BREAKING: Lawyers are trying to protect their jobs from Ai. A proposed New York law would ban AI from answering questions related to medicine, law, dentistry, nursing, psychology, social work, engineering, & more. It is being pushed by the lawyer lobbyists, they included other groups to get more support.

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CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
@tommking7 “Rolling” an option trade is just lying to yourself. Usually the truth is you book a loss and open another new position. Traders would do better to view these in isolation and decide whether the new trade makes sense, irrespective of the loss on the closed one. Bad psychology.
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Tom King
Tom King@tommking7·
Rolling is talking a loss on an already bad trade gone wrong and then putting a worse trade on an already falling asset hoping it may eventually stop dropping. To me it’s opportunity cost. You’re already booking a loss, why try to keep a failing trade alive vs simply moving on to a better trade. Change my mind.
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CapForgeApp
CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
Adding more theta today on the Iran volatility expansion. $NVDA $165CSP (4/2) $MSTR $200CC (4/17) Also hoping for a fill on $PLTR $190CC (4/17) Generally, we prefer the monthly expirations (4/17) for better liquidity and call/put wall structure, but will venture into weeklies (the $MSTR 4/2) when the setup makes sense.
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CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
@optguru Very important to keep an eye on the bid/ask when looking at options. The reported "price" is pure fiction. There is no singular "price" for option contracts. There is a bid, an ask, and a last trade. Anything else is conjecture.
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Master P
Master P@optguru·
Option pricing can vary especially if strike is very far away - close or further out in time options. Example, the bid/ask for either put/call could be something like $0.05/9.00 .. depending on the broker, it might show its worth $9 or in the middle - around $4.50. So be aware!
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CapForgeApp
CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
Feb market backdrop: • VIX ranged 14-22 (elevated premium environment) • Tech consolidation created tight ranges = perfect for theta capture • IBIT providing consistent premiums March positioning: Currently holding • 4x MSTR $165CC (3/20) • 10x IBIT $45CC (3/27) • 2x LMND $75CC (4/17) Total open theta: $93/day across 3 open positions Focus: • High-quality underlying • 15-45 DTE •20-30% OTM strikes Rinse, repeat.
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CapForgeApp
CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
Notable Trades & Lessons Biggest winner: MSTR 7x $160 calls closed 2/18 → $1,000 profit (+53.8%) in 5 days Assignment: LMND 2x $85 puts expired 2/20 → Acquired 200 shares, kept $740 premium. Now wheeling with Apr $75 calls. Quick scalp: AMD $275 call closed 2/4 → $560 profit (+89.6%) in 2 days on earnings volatility spike. 50%+ returns in <30 days = the power of systematic premium selling
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CapForgeApp
CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
February Options Monthly Performance Realized Income: $7,916 across 22 closed trades Win rate: 95.5% (21W/1L) Avg P&L per trade: $360 Avg return: +58.4% per trade Top performers: • MSTR: $4,963 (9 trades) • PLTR: $1,366 (4 trades) • IBIT: $728 (3 trades) • AMD: $845 (2 trades)
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CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
@MarketMovesMatt You know you can do both, right? Wheel IBIT and MSTR, stack sats in cold. Definitely my playbook.
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Matt Giannino
Matt Giannino@MarketMovesMatt·
Option Selling vs Bitcoin HODLer Bitcoin HODLer: • “It’s going to the moon!” 🚀 • Down 60% in a week, still diamond hands 💎✋ • Refreshing Coinbase every 5 minutes 📉 Option Seller: • 5% a month, rain or shine ☀️🌧 • No FOMO, no panic sells, just steady cash 💸 • Sleep at night, laugh at volatility 😴😂 Crypto is fun—   but I like my money to show up on time.
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CapForgeApp
CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
And so it begins. Open War is upon you, whether you would risk it or not. If you are employed and not leaning heavily into AI for everything you do, with everything you have, obsolescence is imminent. Act accordingly, and act now.
jack@jack

we're making @blocks smaller today. here's my note to the company. #### today we're making one of the hardest decisions in the history of our company: we're reducing our organization by nearly half, from over 10,000 people to just under 6,000. that means over 4,000 of you are being asked to leave or entering into consultation. i'll be straight about what's happening, why, and what it means for everyone. first off, if you're one of the people affected, you'll receive your salary for 20 weeks + 1 week per year of tenure, equity vested through the end of may, 6 months of health care, your corporate devices, and $5,000 to put toward whatever you need to help you in this transition (if you’re outside the U.S. you’ll receive similar support but exact details are going to vary based on local requirements). i want you to know that before anything else. everyone will be notified today, whether you're being asked to leave, entering consultation, or asked to stay. we're not making this decision because we're in trouble. our business is strong. gross profit continues to grow, we continue to serve more and more customers, and profitability is improving. but something has changed. we're already seeing that the intelligence tools we’re creating and using, paired with smaller and flatter teams, are enabling a new way of working which fundamentally changes what it means to build and run a company. and that's accelerating rapidly. i had two options: cut gradually over months or years as this shift plays out, or be honest about where we are and act on it now. i chose the latter. repeated rounds of cuts are destructive to morale, to focus, and to the trust that customers and shareholders place in our ability to lead. i'd rather take a hard, clear action now and build from a position we believe in than manage a slow reduction of people toward the same outcome. a smaller company also gives us the space to grow our business the right way, on our own terms, instead of constantly reacting to market pressures. a decision at this scale carries risk. but so does standing still. we've done a full review to determine the roles and people we require to reliably grow the business from here, and we've pressure-tested those decisions from multiple angles. i accept that we may have gotten some of them wrong, and we've built in flexibility to account for that, and do the right thing for our customers. we're not going to just disappear people from slack and email and pretend they were never here. communication channels will stay open through thursday evening (pacific) so everyone can say goodbye properly, and share whatever you wish. i'll also be hosting a live video session to thank everyone at 3:35pm pacific. i know doing it this way might feel awkward. i'd rather it feel awkward and human than efficient and cold. to those of you leaving…i’m grateful for you, and i’m sorry to put you through this. you built what this company is today. that's a fact that i'll honor forever. this decision is not a reflection of what you contributed. you will be a great contributor to any organization going forward. to those staying…i made this decision, and i'll own it. what i'm asking of you is to build with me. we're going to build this company with intelligence at the core of everything we do. how we work, how we create, how we serve our customers. our customers will feel this shift too, and we're going to help them navigate it: towards a future where they can build their own features directly, composed of our capabilities and served through our interfaces. that's what i'm focused on now. expect a note from me tomorrow. jack

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CapForgeApp@CapForgeApp·
@GrindeOptions Moving some today and I’m reminded how easy it is for an exchange to “review” your transfer. Review is a stones throw away from blocking, which violates the fundamental ethos. I’ll be moving more, and probably getting flagged, this week.
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Cole Grinde
Cole Grinde@GrindeOptions·
Of all you Bitcoin maxis, how many of you store your crypto off the platforms you used to buy it in cold storage? 👀 Not your keys, not your cheese.
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DJ
DJ@congressdj·
Tesla Insurance question. I’m angry. I use FSD about 99% of the time these days. But every once in a while, I will disengage it because maps has made an error, and I need to get into the correct lane or whatever. The problem is, if FSD is following someone, and I disengage, I immediately get dinged for following too close. So my driving score is about 79% based on probably a grand total of 10 minutes actually manually driving over a month. But because of that score, my rate is going to increase $100 for the month. That’s ridiculous. If this continues, I will be canceling it. Tesla insurance should intelligently know that my score was based on a 30 second disengagement, and not a regular driving pattern. I’m assuming this is a feature? @elonmusk there’s got to be a fix for this.
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