Nick

125 posts

Nick

Nick

@NickLogicProbe

Pure objectivity is the goal. Dedicated News Analyst. Seperating fact from fiction. Covering Iran Conflict. All humans were created equally

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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
With the arrival of the powerful Bush Carrier expected to Middle East in the coming days, Trump's military posturing is no doubt at its zenith. Tensions are high as ceasefire is holding in an ever so fragile way and unclear if negotiations on a deal are even on the horizon...
War Radar@War_Radar2

‼️🇺🇸🇮🇷 MAJOR MILITARY MOVE: U.S. deploys nuclear supercarrier strike group toward Middle East. The United States is sending a powerful naval strike group to the region amid rising regional tensions. The nuclear-powered supercarrier USS George H.W. Bush, one of the most advanced warships in the U.S. Navy, is already en route and expected to arrive within 3–5 days. The deployment underscores a significant escalation in U.S. military presence across the Middle East. Source: FinanceLancelot

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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
@Jason I'm in
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@jason
@jason@Jason·
We started an AI founder twitter group... reply with "I'm in" if you're a founder and want to be added
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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
@MarioNawfal Olmert is a great friend of BB'S, let's gobble up his un-biased assessment!
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇱 Israel may be losing support from its closest allies faster than ever before. Fmr. Israeli PM Ehud Olmert says the current Israeli government is collapsing bipartisan support for them in the U.S. He argues that shift could have long-term consequences for Israel’s security. "The present government of Israel must be replaced. The sooner the better."
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨🇮🇱 🇱🇧 War crimes are being committed in southern Lebanon and they cannot be ignored. Fmr. Israeli PM Ehud Olmert says the recent viral footage of an IDF soldier breaking a Christ statue must be punished severely. He suggested acknowledging these failures is critical to maintaining Israel's international image.

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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
IRGC-affiliated media: "The majority of people are against negotiations."
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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
With all due respect to the N12 reports on Sunday being the deadline, the official position doesn't agree. It doesn't mean N12 is misrepresenting, but it's still important to distinguish between official vs unofficial policy
Iran International English@IranIntl_En

White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt told reporters on Wednesday that President Donald Trump had not set a firm deadline for Iran to submit a proposal, saying the timetable would ultimately be decided by the president. “As we await their response, and we will see, the President has not set a firm deadline to receive an Iranian proposal,” Leavitt said. “Ultimately, the timeline will be dictated by the commander in chief, the president of the United States,” she added. iranintl.com/en/202604228436

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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
@Osint613 It's very simple. The more level headed leaders are the ones speaking to Trump. The hardliners from IRGC won't have any peice of it, and they call the shots. Plain and simple. Seems part of Trump's agenda is to stoke the coals of this infighting...
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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
I wish I understood what actually happened on Friday. Trump posted that Iran agreed to hand over all nuclear material, never close the Strait of Hormuz, end its nuclear program forever, and abandon its proxies. But Iran didn’t agree to any of it. We know that because they didn’t even agree to show up to talks. So what actually happened behind the scenes? Pakistan giving over wrong info?
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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
@EYakoby It is Absolutely fractured. Question is, will trump be able to leverage this in an effective way. Doesn't seem he is too excited about restarting bombing campaign and not clear that would even help. Troops in Iran doesnt seem likely. What else can he do? Hopefully he has a plan..
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Eyal Yakoby
Eyal Yakoby@EYakoby·
BREAKING: Iran is fully split between its negotiators and the army and Revolutionary Guards, which is why they are unable to reach a decision on Trump’s proposal. The regime is completely fractured.
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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
@MarioNawfal Absolutely an indicater. Yet at the same time it could just be part of a psy-op. Nonetheless considering that I don't see any way of Iran coming up with a Unified proposal given the internal fractions, renewed strikes seem like a high possibility. This is the unfortunate reality.
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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
@Osint613 Absolutely accurate! Just need to substitute USA where it says Islamic Republic...
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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
Iran’s President: “The Islamic Republic of Iran has always welcomed and continues to welcome dialogue and agreement. Bad faith, siege, and threats are the main obstacles to genuine negotiation. The world is witnessing your hypocritical, empty talk and the contradiction between your claims and your actions.”
Open Source Intel tweet media
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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
@MarioNawfal Note that this was not an official public statement from Trump. Which by definition leaves room for an already "flexible" deadline mechanism. On the other hand it aligns with estimated arrival of the Bush Air Craft Carrier to the region. Which brings it up to 3 Air Craft Carriers
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has set a new deadline for Iran to come with a unified proposal for this upcoming Saturday. Source: N12
Mario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump just announced Iran called off the planned execution of 8 women protesters. - 4 will be released immediately - 4 will serve one month in prison - Iran responded directly to Trump's personal request made yesterday ahead of negotiations - Trump says Iran's leaders "respected my request as President of the United States"

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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
N12 reports Trump’s ceasefire extension expires Sunday. Notice Trump did not make an official statement as such, but also notice that it seems to align with a 3rd US aircraft carrier's arrival to the Middle East, namley the USS Bush. Tensions are rising as the deadline nears.
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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
@WarMonitor3 At this point, who knows what that means in reality. What a wurlwind!
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WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧
WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧@WarMonitor3·
Israel has been informed by Washington that Trumps new deadline for an Iran deal ends on Sunday-N12
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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
@MarioNawfal "To start shooting" Mario, seems like your buying right into their propaganda. The chances of then to be the ones to start shooting are laughable. They know how to talk. But they do not want another round of being hammered...
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🚨🇮🇷 Ghalibaf's personal advisor calls Trump's ceasefire extension "a ploy to buy time for a surprise strike" and says "the time for Iran to take the initiative has come." "The losing side cannot dictate terms. The continuation of the siege must be met with a military response." This is the advisor to the man leading Iran's negotiating delegation calling for war. Not the IRGC. Not some anonymous hardliner. If Ghalibaf's own circle is calling the ceasefire a trap and demanding military action, the internal fracture Trump just acknowledged is even deeper than it appeared. The moderates aren't just fighting the IRGC for control of Iran's position. They're fighting their own teams. Trump extended the ceasefire to give Iran time to "come up with a unified proposal." Statements like this are proof of exactly why they need it. Iran's government isn't debating terms with America right now. It's debating with itself whether to keep talking or start shooting.
Mario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇸🇮🇱🇮🇷 The U.S. just pulled ambassador Mike Huckabee from Israel into urgent talks. He was called to Washington as tensions with Iran rise again. Closed-door discussions at the White House. Something bigger is being negotiated behind the scenes. Source: N12

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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
@Osint613 Break the blockade by force...
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Open Source Intel
Open Source Intel@Osint613·
IRGC LINKED TASNIM: Continuation of the naval blockade means continuation of hostilities; Iran will not reopen the Strait of Hormuz as long as the maritime blockade continues, and if necessary, it will break the blockade by force.
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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
@WarMonitor3 Entirely possible. The USS George H.W. Bush CSG is supposed to reach CENTCOM in days and now in southern Indian Ocean. Bush adds a 3rd carrier: 60+ aircraft, 200+ daily sorties, escorts for tighter blockade enforcement & massive strike power. It ain't over till it's over...
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WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧
WarMonitor🇺🇦🇬🇧@WarMonitor3·
Irans lead negotiators have said Trumps new ceasefire is an attempt to buy some more time before a surprise attack is launched.
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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
@MarioNawfal Hahaha, yea right, let's see them fire the first shot. Big talkers...
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Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇮🇷 BREAKING: Iran just rejected Trump's ceasefire extension, calling it a unilateral declaration they don't recognize. ‘Iran does not recognize the extension of the ceasefire, and may or may not abide by it based on national interests’ Welcome to the Jungle
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸 BREAKING: Trump just extended the ceasefire, because Iran's government is "seriously fractured" and Pakistan asked him to wait for a unified proposal. The blockade stays. The military stays ready. The clock resets.

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Nick
Nick@NickLogicProbe·
Maybe Trump extended the Iran ceasefire to buy time for the USS George H.W. Bush CSG to reach CENTCOM (days away, now in southern Indian Ocean). Bush adds a 3rd carrier: 60+ aircraft, 200+ daily sorties, escorts for tighter blockade enforcement & massive strike power. Thoughts?
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@Jason @MarioNawfal @Osint613 @EYakoby @WarMonitor3 @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13