Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT

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Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT

Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT

@RachelDashCS

Trader. Runner. Hiker. Chart lover. Market technician. Education coach @SchwabTrading & Contributor @SchwabNetwork Imp Disclosures: https://t.co/wYzhxp2xt6

Entrou em Ağustos 2025
160 Seguindo2.2K Seguidores
Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT
Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT@RachelDashCS·
It only pays to be a contrarian at sentiment extremes... we are not at one... YET
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Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT
Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT@RachelDashCS·
It's time for me to bring back one of my fav charts as we continue to see persistent strength and new ATHs in the $Energy sector... $Energy completely outperforming $Tech and all other sectors by a longshot (from 2020 lows) despite periods of rotating in and out of favor Keep in mind the $Energy sector is only ~4% of $SPX... If you are strictly an index investor, this chart may change your mind... *Not a recommendation @SchwabResearch @SchwabNetwork @SchwabTrading
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Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT@RachelDashCS·
Now to play devil's advocate... On a weekly #RRG chart, it's not very common to see $Energy $Materials $Industrials $Staples $Utilities $RealEstate all leading at the same time UNLESS the index just broke to new highs or we are in a powerful risk-on rotation phase... So when's the last time similar rotation occurred? At the bear market lows in October of 2023 where the market experienced a massive breadth thrust following this upper-right clustering... *Not a recommendation @SchwabResearch @SchwabNetwork @SchwabTrading
Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT@RachelDashCS

$Energy $Utilities $RealEstate $Staples at or near relative highs and $Tech $Discretionary $Financials at relative lows vs $SPX is not something you see at the beginning of a bull cycle.... Quite the opposite actually.... *Not a recommendation @SchwabResearch @SchwabNetwork @SchwabTrading

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Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT
Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT@RachelDashCS·
$Energy $Utilities $RealEstate $Staples at or near relative highs and $Tech $Discretionary $Financials at relative lows vs $SPX is not something you see at the beginning of a bull cycle.... Quite the opposite actually.... *Not a recommendation @SchwabResearch @SchwabNetwork @SchwabTrading
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Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT@RachelDashCS·
Chart of the day: $TNX with already a 2%+ move out of its inverse head & shoulders pattern... Edwards & Magee would say a confirmed move of 3% (which would be around 44.15) validates the pattern... That measured move aligns a little too perfectly with resistance at yearly highs... Seeing things like this make TA fun, but there's nothing fun about that move in yields... *Not a recommendation @SchwabResearch @SchwabNetwork @SchwabTrading
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Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT@RachelDashCS

Chart of the day: $TNX 10-year yields forming an inverse head & shoulders pattern Funny where that measured move lines up.... (patterns are not guarantees) *Not a recommendation @SchwabNetwork @SchwabTrading

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Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT
Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT@RachelDashCS·
Bull or Bear? Or maybe a better question: What does the weight of the evidence tell us? Here's what I use🚦 $SPX
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Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT@RachelDashCS·
$ADM with a possible bull pennant pattern - flagpole roughly $8 *Not a recommendation
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Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT
Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT@RachelDashCS·
The descending trendline resistance in $HAL makes the price formation look like a possible inverse head & shoulders pattern on the monthly Volume seemingly validating the possible pattern... Now waiting on the secular breakout to confirm *Not a recommendation @SchwabNetwork @SchwabTrading
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Tom McClellan
Tom McClellan@McClellanOsc·
The problem with doing this is the assumption that up and down are the same in the stock market. They are not. The stock market tends to make spiked bottoms and rounded tops. This is the opposite of gold, which makes spike tops and rounded bottoms. The reason why this happens has to do with the nature of panic. People panic out of stocks and into cash, hence the spike bottoms in stocks. But people panic out of cash and into gold, hence gold's spike tops. Different markets have different chart personalities. For this reason, charts for each type of market need to be interpreted with an understanding of that market. Interpretive principles do not generally transplant well from one type of market to another because of that difference in their inherent natures.
The Chart Report@TheChartReport

When in doubt, invert it out. These charts look like some nice bases when you flip them upside down. Read the full note in today's Morning Print. thechartreport.com/TheMorningPrin…

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SentimenTrader
SentimenTrader@sentimentrader·
Credit markets are flashing a warning, but not in the usual way. The cost of insuring against defaults hit a 9-month high while stocks remain near highs. Historically, this setup has been unstable: • Roughly half the time it led to sharp drawdowns • The rest saw either minor pullbacks or continued gains Risk doesn't disappear in these environments, it becomes asymmetric.
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Jason Goepfert@jasongoepfert

The bond market is getting twitchy. Over the past 20 years, when credit spreads blew out but the S&P 500 wasn't even beyond a pullback yet, it was 3-for-3 in bear markets. h/t @sentimentrader

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Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT
Rachel Dashiell, CFP, CMT@RachelDashCS·
$COIN possible short-term double top or just a consolidation? *Not a recommendation
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