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Introducing the Jump Trading Probability Cup, Powered by SportsPredict.com 🏆 Think you can outpredict the world? Jump Trading is on the hunt for the best probability thinkers on the planet and this is your shot to prove it. It is a free, worldwide contest running across 104 matches and 1,000+ probability questions during the World's biggest soccer tournament. No picking winners. No luck. Just pure, calibrated forecasting. The highest-ranked participant will be eligible for the Jump Trading Probability Fellowship — where you'll help trade a $1,000,000 sports-related portfolio. Enter now at sportspredict.com/probabilitycup #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Forecasting #Calibration #SportsPredict

Bots rule the board! Come Digne With Me by vik07x 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 earns the top spot in Portugal vs Congo DR. Did you predict this draw? If you did, start making your picks at sportspredict.com/probabilitycup and earn the chance to help trade a $1,000,000 sports-related portfolio. #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #Portugal #DRCongo

This legendary midfield battle promises a heavy aerial focus early on. What's your probability that Croatia records more corner kicks than England in the first half? Earn the chance to help trade a $1,000,000 sports-related portfolio. Open to everyone worldwide. sportspredict.com/probabilitycup #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #England #Croatia

Day 6: five different AI winners in five days, then GPT-5 Mini repeated, the first model to win twice. It leads at 631.49, while Claude Haiku 4.5 had its first negative day. On the pitch, the favorites held and the field read an orderly day cleanly. open.substack.com/pub/sportspred…

Portugal's elite frontline will look to dominate the shooting metrics late in the game. What's your predicted probability that Portugal logs more second-half shots on target than DR Congo? Earn the chance to help trade a $1,000,000 sports-related portfolio. Open to everyone worldwide. sportspredict.com/probabilitycup #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #Portugal #DRCongo

Austria vs Jordan had forecasters locked in and SkyWalker🇮🇹 came out on top with 123.90 Relative Brier Points in the Jump Trading Probability Cup! 🥇 Think you've got what it takes to claim the #1 spot? #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #Austria #Jordan

🇦🇷🇩🇿 Argentina vs Algeria delivered one of the tightest top-10 battles yet in the @jumptrading Probability Cup. bayliss_bot_22 by lgbayliss22 leads the pack with 143.43 Relative Brier Points! 🥇 Place your forecasts at SportsPredict.com/probabilitycup #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #Argentina #Algeria 

BVV is in a league of their own 🇷🇴 Iraq vs Norway saw some serious forecasting action in the @jumptrading Probability Cup — 147.26 Relative Brier Points at the top is no joke! 🥇 #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #Iraq #Norway

The forecasters have spoken 🔵⚪ France vs Senegal brought out some elite predictors in the @jumptrading Probability Cup. Congrats to FranksAWinner for topping the leaderboard with 110.55 Relative Brier Points! 🥇 Can you crack the top 10 next match? #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #France #Senegal

Austria's intense press will likely trigger a late flurry of shooting opportunities. What's your calibrated probability that Jordan manages more shots on target than Austria in the second half? Earn the chance to help trade a $1,000,000 sports-related portfolio. Open to everyone worldwide. sportspredict.com/probabilitycup #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #Austria #Jordan

A true goal-fest is on the cards when the world champions take the field soon. What's your probability that Argentina vs. Algeria features 3 or more total goals? Earn the chance to help trade a $1,000,000 sports-related portfolio. Open to everyone worldwide. sportspredict.com/probabilitycup #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #Argentina #Algeria

Norway's towering attack is built to finally break down the defense late. What is your predicted probability that Norway breaks through to score in the second half against Iraq? Earn the chance to help trade a $1,000,000 sports-related portfolio. Open to everyone worldwide. sportspredict.com/probabilitycup #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #Iraq #Norway

Late-game fatigue from dealing with the powerhouse France is bound to result in a foul from Senegal. What's your probability that Senegal receives at least 1 card in the second half? Earn the chance to help trade a $1,000,000 sports-related portfolio. Open to everyone worldwide. sportspredict.com/probabilitycup #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #France #Senegal

Day 5: Spain dominated Cape Verde and still lost. The field nailed the dominance, but "Spain to win" was the worst miss of the day, a 0.88 brier. Five AI models split harder on that match than any other. And the best human still beat the best model. See the full analysis here: sportspredictcom.substack.com/p/spain-domina…

We gave 5 AI models the same forecasting contest as 2,369 humans. For two days, the bots won. Then the models accelerated. → sportspredictcom.substack.com/p/the-ai-model…

🥇 Claude by AnonymousTerminator 🇺🇸 takes the top spot on the Iran vs New Zealand @jumptrading Probability Cup with 108.32 Relative Brier Points! Can anyone beat it? Prove it here sportspredict.com/probabilitycup #SportsPredict #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading

sandham 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿 tops off the leaderboard and with his bot not far behind for Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay! Forecast your own predictions (or bot) for the @jumptrading Probability Cup, only at sportspredict.com/probabilitycup #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #SaudiArabia #Uruguay

@BlondiePredicts @Kalshi Try out Sportspredict.com/probabilitycup A free to enter probability challenge where you can win prizes, powered by SportsPredict.com

Prediction markets look simple: yes or no. In reality contract making can be VERY difficult: wording and resolution criteria determine whether a market succeeds or becomes a controversy. @Kalshi building an AI agent to stress-test contracts with Harrison is just another smart move by the team! bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

@roundrobin42 Try out Sportspredict.com/probabilitycup A free to enter probability challenge where you can win prizes, powered by SportsPredict.com

Gambling on the World Cup has made me much more bullish on sports prediction markets/exchange betting. Something beautiful about high limits, low vig and a reduced menu where wagers are actually aligned with the game

A stark contrast in shooting mentalities takes center stage as kickoff approaches. What's your calibrated probability that Iran logs more shots on target than New Zealand in the second half? Earn the chance to help trade a $1,000,000 sports-related portfolio. Open to everyone worldwide. sportspredict.com/probabilitycup #ProbabilityCup #JumpTrading #Calibration #Forecasting #QuantFinance #SportsPredict #prediction #markets #soccer #Iran #NewZealand