Eslo

@FaytuksNetwork Astonishingly weak security perimeter for an event with so many important people. I am genuinely shocked at how lax it seems it is

WATCH: Video from the shooting at the White House Correspondents’ Dinner

@BizzaroPlanet @Faytuks There was a report a security officer was shot in the vest, so seems like it might be right

@Faytuks Kinda looks like dude in the tie took one to the body point blank before recovering and drawing down. Stud if so.

Footage showing the shooting at the White House Correspondent's Dinner

I don’t believe you because your initial comment completely missed what the graph or article claims, as did your follows up points. You clearly have not read the article, and if you’re truly an economist, that is just depressing to hear and makes me less hopeful for the future of the country.

@eslo_dev @mattyglesias Buddy, I’m a health economist, I read it (well the first three quarters, he starts repeating himself pretty early) years ago. You’re welcome to refresh my memory on the finer points. Like, does he resolve the absence of points close to the US using sub national analyses?

¯\_(ツ)_/¯

You “read” a 200 page article in 10 minutes…? What’s even the point of lying about something like that? It was evident from the first reply you hadn’t read it. Your follow up tweet isn’t even addressing what the graph shows, nor what the article largely addresses… Seriously, what’s the point? Why the meaningless lie? What changes?

@eslo_dev @mattyglesias Sure. Read it. Those are my questions having done so. Can you, having also read it, answer them. Follow up: what are Americans *getting* for all that money? What kinds of health impacts are they buying, that Norway can’t afford?

@pdbarnsley @mattyglesias Read the article…

@eslo_dev @mattyglesias You absolutely cannot run naive curve fitting analysis when the value of interest is a huge outlier like this. Would a group that’s much richer than the US spend more than 100% of its income on healthcare? Those guys exist, we could check…

@lthlnkso Interesting. I was thinking you were going to ask a Minority Report type question, but this is more “gray” to me. I think the answer is yes. What about you?

Imagine an advanced AI that can accurately predict the likelihood a person will commit a violent crime. Should we use this AI in immigration decisions?

@ColbyBadhwar Got it. Thanks for the insights.

@eslo_dev Opportunity cost. Others can disagree but I'm not sure that it's the best use of dollars that are still scarce. I think target hardening is important but HAS are just one piece of that puzzle. The MilCon budget has to cover a lot of different unfunded needs.

🇺🇸 Significant: INDOPACOM Commander Admiral Paparo says that he has no unfunded requirements given the budget submission this year. The Pentagon Comptroller previously said that he expected the Unfunded Priority Lists would be much "skinnier" this year, due to the significant increase in spending they are requesting. INDOPACOM will evidently not be submitting one at all.

I thought the idea was that it increased the burden of execution. As in, even if it’s a ballistic missile, it must be more accurate, and have a bigger warhead. At least, it is what I see a lot of discourse on Twitter talk about, from people who are generally reliable. I also have seen various wargames, like those from CSIS, suggest that HAS would be essential in a war with China. Do you have any thoughts on this? My understanding was that HAS is not only useful for short range drones

@eslo_dev Far less use in INDOPACOM as bases are going to be targeted by ballistic missiles rather than short range drones.

I… mostly agree with you. I’m also a very anti-Trump independent voter. I’ve lived just a few miles from Canada for a large party of my life, have many Canadian friends, and have interacted with Canadians frequently for a while. Canadian condescension towards Americans isn’t new in my opinion, but I’ve always chalked it up to “sibling rivalry”-type talk. Yet recently, it’s become something much more vile. It feels like many personally hate Americans as a whole. Some of the things I heard from Canadians after the Olympic Hockey game really shocked me. As for Carney, I can sympathize with the predicament he was put in by Trump’s rhetoric. Yet the “elbows up” counter-rhetoric is so cringe and short sighted. Not only that, but warming to China as well? At this time, when Taiwan, the most liberal democratic country in Asia, is in a precarious position of military threat by China? Not only is it strategically baffling and inadvertently gives Trump’s words some credibility, but it is cognitively dissonant on the topic of state sovereignty, international law, and simple morals. It’s hypocritical and tiring. Evoking 1812 in such a manner as he did, is beyond reason. Serves no purpose aside from worsening relations. His rhetoric is no better than Trump’s if he continues down this path. Anyways… that’s my 2 cents

@BlestToBePerson @PiotrRetardo @JJ_McCullough I could keep going if you want

It's pretty obvious at this point that the Carney plan is to try to keep this country in a perpetual state of hate and fear towards the US and use this to keep himself popular. His video today, with its long and gratuitous evocation of the 1812 war, makes this clearer than ever.

@charrisusna @phildstewart I agree with you. I see no functional point to this type of rhetoric

@eslo_dev @phildstewart Carney already won the by-elections to secure a parliamentry majority. What exactly is gained by continuing such bellicose talk? The prospects of selling to China are nil and the EU is protectionist on things Canada manufactures. Is the plan to blow up the Canadian auto industry?

(Reuters) - Canada's close ties to the United States were once a strength but have become a weakness, Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Sunday, ​in a video message to his country in which he also ‌praised the heroism of military leaders who fought against U.S. invasion more than two centuries ago. Holding up a small toy soldier depiction of General Isaac Brock, the British military leader who died ​defending what is now Canada from a U.S. invasion in the War ​of 1812, Carney said Canada can't control the disruption coming from its ⁠U.S. neighbors, and can't bet its future on the hope that it will ​suddenly stop. "The situation today feels unique, but we've faced down threats like this before," ​Carney said, referencing Brock and several other Canadian historical figures, including Chief Tecumseh who united Indigenous Nations across the Great Lakes to resist U.S. expansion in 1812.

I think that the US unilaterally entering a war with Iran was not what cost the trust of some of our European allies, but everything before that (many instances of courting Putin, Ukraine in general, Greenland, etc) That being said, I do think it’s a two way street that Europe hasn’t exactly been a great ally either… In any case, I lament what seems to be the loss of good relationships across the pond

If Europe had the courage to actually embargo Russia (they currently don’t), I assume they would have the courage to retaliate kinetically if Russia were to use something like anti-ship missiles Aside from that, Eastern European nations could give it a go too. Plenty of opportunities to do so in low risk environments

@robin_j_brooks @eslo_dev Do the Western European countries have the tools to defend their ships from Russian anti ship weapons? I’m not sure they do….

As a European, I hang my head in shame. The US has shown that if you blockade an oil exporter, they fold quickly. Europe can do this to Russia and shut down oil tanker traffic out of the Baltic. But it doesn't. Innocent Ukrainians pay the price every day. robinjbrooks.substack.com/p/the-baltic-c…

@backoffbud @NotWoofers Iran can feel free to retaliate on Europe in this hypothetical scenario if they wanted. Not sure what you are saying Iran is already struggling enough as is. Incurring the wrath of Europe is just an even more losing strategy

@eslo_dev @NotWoofers So Eu can attack Iran but how dare Iran retaliate, Epstein Pedo minions are really some thing

Realistically, is there anything NATO could have done to satisfy Trump here with regards to Iran which would not have resulted in a European capital eating a ballistic missile?

Well, fair. I was curious about the Mississippi question, and I think it’s actually close. UK PPP per capita is ~65.5 (IMF) Mississippi has a nominal GDP per capita of 55.8k. Mississippi has a cost of living adjustment of 0.87 when compared to the US mean. 55.8/0.87=64k. Close in PPP terms

@eslo_dev @Kurt_Steiner To be honest I didn't even bother reading the original tweet because I don't think Americans mentioning it are generally interested in facts and instead are eager to sneer. Usually the line is Mississippi's GDP per capita is higher than the UK's which isn't true in PPP terms.

I dunked on this earlier, and others have been as well, but it is actually sad.

I’m not sure you understand what PPP means, this doesn’t show income in PPP terms. Among OECD, US is 2nd at 47k, UK is 21st at 27k. This was in 2021, it’s almost certainly shifted in favor of the US since then. Even when accounting for social transfers, the US far outpaces the UK en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Disposabl…

@Kurt_Steiner It's not even true in PPP terms