Jawad

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Jawad

Jawad

@levantupdates

Updates and analysis on the Levant and Geopolitics as a whole. All opinions are my own, RT and Quote Tweets do not mean endorsement

Bint Jbeil, Lebanon Entrou em Mart 2024
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Jawad
Jawad@levantupdates·
My geopolitical predictions and analysis for 2026: 1. 110 years after Sykes-Picot we are facing a new project called the United Abrahamic States with its goal of partitioning existing countries based on sectarian and ethnic lines. The project is based on Israeli hegemony through occupation of land and natural resources. 2. Uprisings in Syria that will do more then spark annexation talks, a alawite state on the coast a durzi state in the south and a Kurdish state in the north. The momentum of annexation will spread to other countries forcing unusual alliances to form. 3. A youth movement in the Middle East. Leadership changes in Bahrain and Jordan. Hussein ibn Abdullah will be crowned king. Turkey will have a new president. 4. The rivalry between the UAE and Saudi Arabia will reach Saudi Arabia, MBS will face his biggest challenges internally after the death of Salman, and we may see a Ritz Carlton 2.0 5. 3 governments in Yemen 6. Attempts at destabilizing the regime in Egypt with fingers pointed towards the Muslim brotherhood. Protests and chants form but in my opinion won’t succeed. The deployment of the Egyptian military and its navy across Africa. 7. Nuclear and Intercontinental Iran. 8. New governments in Lebanon and Palestine pave the way for reform. 9. Without stating the obvious there is no such thing as a ceasefire. 10. Geological and financial crisis worldwide.
Jawad@levantupdates

Leaving this post here to revisit throughout the year. These are just predictions of the Middle East based on analysis. 1) We will use the word “replaced” more than word “elected” when it comes to leadership across the middle east. We will find it hard to distinguish between revolutions and coups. Families that were in power before will resurface in the news in countries such as Iraq, Egypt, Libya, Palestine and yes even Syria. 2) The hysteria that the Muslim world used in regard to Wilayat Al Fakih will now shift to the ideology of the Muslim Brotherhood especially in Egypt and Jordan. 3) Unfortunately the same images that we saw in Beirut and the Dahya we could see in Sanaa Yemen. 4) The existential threat that the factions in Gaza used to launch October 7th will be used to launch a similar operation in the West Bank. 5) Iran will face its biggest test internally and will lead to it exerting its force externally. 6) Repeat of True Promise but this time in Lebanon. 7) After a brief scare of civil war adversaries in Lebanon and Palestine will put differences aside and rule together. 8) The prisoners that were promised to be released from Palestine will be released including Al Bargouthi. 9) Fist fights turn into hand shakes between Iran and the gulf countries. 10) The war in Lebanon in certain areas isn’t over.

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Jawad
Jawad@levantupdates·
Netanyahu: Iran has few ballistic missiles left. There is a synchronized wave of missiles heading towards Haifa and Tel Aviv from Lebanon and Iran.
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Jawad@levantupdates·
How did Iran spot an F-35 before spotting the moon for the Eid?
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Jawad@levantupdates·
When he said death and destruction from above, no one thought it was in reference to the fate of his own jets. They plan, and Allah plans, and Allah is the best of planners" is a profound Quranic statement found in Surah Al-Anfal (8:30).
Hala Jaber@HalaJaber

“Death & destruction from above.” And @SecWar wonder why the world isn’t saying “thank you.”

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Jawad@levantupdates·
@ZeitandZaatar I know the feeling, going through it now. Plenty of fluids and rest!
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Zeit&Zaatar@ZeitandZaatar·
Day four of a 9-yo with a stomach bug. Have been awake since 2 am. Slowly losing it in this house 🫩
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Jawad@levantupdates·
Direct hit on a building hit in Karyat Shmouna as a result of rocket fire from Hezbollah.
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Jawad@levantupdates·
When they say “fragmented interceptions” and “moderate injuries”
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Jawad@levantupdates·
Missiles win headlines Drones win wars
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Jawad@levantupdates·
A U.S. F-35 fighter jet made an emergency landing at a U.S. air base in the Middle East after being struck by suspected Iranian fire, sources tell CNN. Officials say this may mark the first time Iran has hit a U.S. aircraft since the war began. CENTCOM spokesperson Capt. Tim Hawkins says the jet was “flying a combat mission over Iran” when the incident occurred. The aircraft landed safely and the pilot is in stable condition. An investigation is underway.
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Jawad
Jawad@levantupdates·
THEY ARE ACTUALLY GOING TO DO IT Tehran's representative in parliament: We are pursuing a plan in parliament according to which, if the Strait of Hormuz is used as a safe route for ship traffic, energy transit, and food security, countries will be obliged to pay tolls and taxes to the Islamic Republic of Iran.
Jawad@levantupdates

Iran should nationalize the Strait Of Hormuz as Egypt did with the Suez Canal. If the west fails to pay reparations then recoup the revenue from ships and tankers.

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Jawad@levantupdates·
The first concession: The U.S. may soon remove sanctions from Iranian oil that is stranded on tankers to help lift global supplies and reduce prices, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said on Thursday.
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Jawad@levantupdates·
You know for a country who supposedly had 100% of their capabilities destroyed, that last 0% seems to be really kicking their ass.
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Jawad@levantupdates·
That’s a lot of words for I messed up 😂
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