1982.eth

🚨2025 ENS 10K CLUB EXPIRATION GUIDE🚨 GM/GN DIGITS!! It's August, and it's time for @10kclubofficial 3rd annual Hunger Games (aka Expiration Fest), the biggest one yet, with over 1500 digits searching for new, stronger hands 💪💪💪 🧵🧵🧵 on making the most out of it⬇️

@IceFrosst Risky, but at least you’re buying the dip…. Below $90 is hard even for manipulators to push down

{Day 12} You know I love my oil trades. I'm not seeing oil going below 80/70$ this month. The negotiations would have to go perfectly for that to happen.

@IceFrosst @PolymarketTrade Imo the greatest risk is just “fake news” from Trump

{Day 11} 4 Scenarios: 1. The Iran 10-step plan is outrageous. If US accepts it, Iran won the war. That's why it won't happen. 2. The US is trying to keep the oil prices down while the rest of the troops arrive and invade. 3. Israel sabotages the peace talks with Lebanon strikes. 4. The ceasefire continues and peace deal happens. 3/4 outcomes favor that Trump won't retreat his army. What am I missing?

@adam_fazai @10kClubOfficial Oh I’m not saying all hope is lost Just saying short-term looks bleak

@adam_fazai @10kClubOfficial On the way to 5000 unregistered, as expected, what then? Will there be only 2000 special digits regged by end of the year??

@IceFrosst Nobody trusts Trump, except the markets… There is a disconnect in there somewhere… Let’s wait & see a few days/weeks

@1982_eth tbh there's a real likelihood that trump is just trying to buy time and reduce the oil price while the rest of the troops arrive. Let's see

{Day 10} Ngl, got rekt with the ceasefire thing yesterday. Didn't follow my rules and added to my positions more than I should of. Taking a rest day, and trying understand how this might play out.

Prepping for Fri market close frens 😅

@IceFrosst @0xinternetchild The market is delusionally optimistic that this war will somehow just go away…

@0xinternetchild Spot on analysis tbh, I can't see that a ceasefire could happen

x.com/Osint613/statu… US x Iran Ceasefire odds increasing again across all markets 🇺🇸⚔️🇮🇷 ( may 15th at 45c is a boon for NO chuds 💸) I frankly don't understand how the market is interpreting current events. Since yesterday : - US has started bombing railway bridges, as well as military facilities on Kharg Island. - Iranians officials announcing that all dialogue has been cut off. - Trump is threatening civilizational extinction on Iran. - Iranians patriots gather on likely target bridges seeking martyrdom. Does this : - A) increase the likelihood of a ceasefire - B) Decrease the likelihood of a ceasefire If you answered A, congratulation ! You are in line with the market. And also probably mentally deranged, because this is not what de-escalation look like, on the contrary. I think the market is somewhat hoping that Iran will chicken out, or that the US will deal such a major blow that it will instant K.O. Iran but this is copium. Russia has been hammering Ukraine's electrical grid for 2 years now and they barely started denying them electricity in the winter. We are in spring, Iran is much hotter, and even if their grid was less robust, it would take a huge amount of time to deal real crippling damage to the country. The only way i see for the US to achieve quick victory is if they use or threaten nuclear bombs too bad @Polymarket had to remove the Nuclear explosion markets under pressure, because this would have been an amazing hedge

@adam_fazai Nice digits, good luck 👍

@IceFrosst Yup, the boots on the ground stuff is likely happening later this month as well

@1982_eth Yeah that's right. That's why reading the rules is super important. Gonna reinvest the profits into a simmilar invasion type Iran bet now

{Day 8} One bet completely resolved while I was away. Yes I paid a small premium. But at least I had a huge safety net, in case my original thesis was wrong.

This is my quant

@696_eth Exit ENS lol…. Sell to who brother?!

officially gonna capitulate on most of my crypto bags im usually a bottom signal tho (check my $hype sell) but gonna exit the rest of my NFTs, time to exit ENS finally, rest of memecoins and then rest of majors besides $ETH

They're going to shutdown the global economy again for "two weeks" to flatten the oil curve.

@DanCollins2011 Squeeze to $500+ and then consolidate at $300

If you think the world is pissed off now we have just run out of the hydro molecules that were in storage or on the water. The prices are about to get a whole lot more absurd. $ 300 oil.

@IceFrosst @ChaoticAna9 @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket @predictionarc Betting on that short squeeze tho 🤞

@1982_eth @ChaoticAna9 @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket @predictionarc I would agree, but the april timeline is too short imo

A brand new account with no prior trading history is accumulating a large 'YES' position on Trump declaring war on Iran before May. Insider? Just another degen? Or more likely, someone who doesn’t fully understand the rules? 😂 Meanwhile, some whales are stacking 'NO.' For context, we have already seen multiple new accounts around Iran-related war bets send conflicting signals or end up being wrong. As always, DYOR.

@sershokunin No

@IceFrosst @ChaoticAna9 @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket @predictionarc Oil to $200 is a better lottery ticket imo

@ChaoticAna9 @PolymarketTrade @Polymarket @predictionarc I have acquired a small position as a loterry ticket.

@robertdavid010 👇

@1982_eth your what?

this is my quant