AdaptiveTrader

Qullamaggie on The Only Technical Indicators You Need to Make Millions “It actually found support on the rising 50 day. Look at this thing; this thing always finds support on a 50 day. Right here. Just keeps riding, keeps surfing the 50 day. These are all the only technical indicators you need. The 10 day, the 20 day, and the 50 day moving averages. You do not need anything else. You don’t even need to look at intra day charts. This is all you need to make millions; this is all you need. Literally nothing else. You don’t even need to look at the intraday chart. F*ck level 2; f*ck intraday charts; it’s all noise. All you need.”

Words of Wisdom from "Kristjan Kullamäggie" ✅“You don’t get paid for being active, you get paid for waiting and striking when everything lines up.” ✅“Your job is not to predict the market—it’s to react to high-probability opportunities with controlled risk.” ✅“The best traders aren’t trying to trade more, they’re trying to trade better.” ✅“Most people lose because they can’t sit out. They want action. But real edge is in discipline.”

Mean Reversion Setup: $VSAT 47% bounce from the 50SMA within a month.

@asxpeasant @CommSec Move to IB. They have lower fees, all possible markets and better desktop/mobile software.

@CommSec please work on the commsec app refresh rate of the portfolio market value and change, and also estimated settlement. The last 7-10 days have been an absolute shocker. Now I’m actually looking at other platforms because it’s been so bad

$SRG 20% up from the breakout following the TAMS acquisition 2 weeks ago. $SRG.AX

Missed on $RAC ( $RAC.AX ) today.

Qullamaggie Setup: $IONS (12 Sept 2025) 50% rise within 3 months. Followed by a 2-month consolidation phase. Breakout on positive study presentation. 30% rise from the breakout opening level in less than 2 weeks. #NASDAQ

@lonextrades I got in on the breakout (14 Aug). Out after closing below 10SMA (3 Sept). I should have kept holding until closing below the 20SMA.

Qullamaggie Setups to Study: $WULF Sep 9, 2025 Data Centers today $WULF $CIFR $HUT $IREN are very reminiscent of Qullamaggie 5 Star Setups. Especially $WULF - big move up off character changing news, goes sideways into the 10 and 20 day moving averages, breaks off those key moving averages. After putting hundreds of 5 Star Setups into my database, a key element of Qullamaggie's 5 Star Setups I’ve noticed, is that both the 10 AND 20 day have caught up to price. Not just breaking off of the 10, or just off the 20. $TASR in the early 2000s is comparable and has numerous examples. The best ones are when both of them have caught up to price. Price surfs the 10 for some time, finds support and starts surfing on the 20 building higher lows, then once both are right underneath price, it breaks out right off of them. While the outcomes of trades are always random, there are always signs. I am long $WULF $CIFR and $IREN still from initial long in 17s. “The best ones are when both the 10 and 20 have caught up to price.” - Qullamaggie

Qullamaggie’s story is legendary. But if you strip away the noise, what remains is a simple set of rules he lived by. We distilled those into this one-pager for traders who want the essence without the noise.

Qullamaggie Setup: $4DX ( $4DX.AX ) 8/9/25 80% move followed by a consolidation phase. Breakout on FDA clearance announcement. Raise 185% from the breakout opening level.

Qullamaggie Setups to Study: $FSLY June 15 2020 "FSLY, this one had a perfect one couple of months back here. Has a big move,this one I think we bought on earnings at 30 bucks or high 29s, but keeps surfing the rising 10 day, builds higher lows, then it kinda builds a little flag up here, look at how tight it gets, and then it breaks out. And look at what it did. And you can use the 10 day - you can sell 1/3-1/2 after the first 3-5 days, just lock in some, move your stop to breakeven, and then you just use the 10 day moving average as your trailing stop. And the first close below the 10 day, you sell it." - Qullamaggie All lines/annotations are exactly as Qullamaggie drew them.

The 3 timeless setups that made Qullamaggie tens of millions over the past few years💰 These patterns occurred 10 years ago, 50 years ago, and 100+ years ago. They work in every market: Japanese, Swedish, Indian, and US markets. Here's his complete system👇🏻 A Thread 🧵 Bookmark For Later Use ✅

Qullamaggie shows Why Market Crashes Never Happen Above the 10 and 20 Day Moving Averages “There's no reason for a crash. Like guys, crashes don't happen at the highs, okay? If you study every market crash in history, they usually start below the 200-day moving average, below the 50-day moving average. I've never seen, if you go back and look at the market indices the past 50 or 100 years for the Dow Jones, no market crash started when the index was above the 10, 20 day moving averages. Could this be the start of a bigger pullback? Yes, but if you're like looking for a free fall type of a market crash, it's not gonna happen above the rising moving averages. There’s just too much dip buying. So don't worry about it. Go and study market action. Market behavior. You'll see it for yourself. Then you don't have to listen, you can turn off the TV, not listen to all these idiots calling for this and that. Because you know that that's not how markets work.”

Qullamaggie shows Type of Trades You Need For Triple Digit Returns Every Year “Oh my god, LEDS, I'm telling you. You catch a few trades like this per quarter... You’re gonna have triple-digit years every single year, even if all your other trades break even. This is also why you use a trailing stop. This is why you don't sell everything after 3-5 days. Okay? You know, this thing could go to 30.”

Qullamaggie on The Big Money is Made in Holding Winners “Exactly. Big money is made in the sitting. I absolutely agree. All my biggest winners this year, SE, I was in this thing for what? 4 months? 3 months? Went up 160%. It didn't go up 160% in a day. No, it took 3 months. FSLY, another one. When we bought it on earnings here in the 30s, this thing went up 250%. It didn't go up 250% in a day, it took a couple of months. Now obviously I didn't trade this perfectly, but you know, it's all about catching big moves and catching the big juicy part in the middle. And you're gonna be financially independent in no time. On the big winners, I use the 10 and 20 day moving averages as trailing stops. That’s the mistake I made on NVAX. I really didn't wait for it to close below the 10 day. Like I just randomly sold it because I thought it was extended. Like, ah, it's not going to go up much more. I sold it like on this day here, right? It never even touched the 10 day. It went sideways for like a week. Then went up another 70%. If I had just had used the simple, close below the 10-day, which is what I usually use, the 10 and 20-day moving averages, my trailing stops, I would have made another, I don't know, a lot of money on it. Hundreds of thousands of dollars. So, you know, sometimes it's hard to stick to rules. It's hard. One thing I don't have a hard time with is stop losses, but sometimes, like I said before, holding a big winner is a really really hard thing to do sometimes. It really is. It's just unbelievably hard.”

Qullamaggie shows Why Not To Sell if You Have No Reason To Sell “MARA bouncing off the rising 10-day. I gotta admit, yesterday was not easy, but that's the days, days like that, you gotta grab your balls and say you know what? Pullback days happen. And there's no reason to sell just because we have a down day. There's no reason to sell if you have no reason to sell. Other than that, it's a down day. Pullbacks happen. You want a big winner? You gotta endure some pullbacks. That's just how it works. You can't have straight up action every day. One that tested me a little bit was FNGU. That one dipped below the 20 day, but then it bounced exactly where it should have bounced. So it was a little bit of relief into the close, but I really thought I was gonna get stopped out of this thing. But it wicked nicely into the close and closed about the 20. Because that's my biggest position. Having a 15% pullback in a few sessions, it kind of hurts. But you know, sometimes you gotta grab your balls and just follow your sell rules. Because if you don't follow your rules, you're gonna be a loser. And not loser in a good way. You're gonna be like working shifts at McDonald's. Because you blew up your account. That type of a way. Gotta follow your rules. Sometimes it hurts. Sometimes you have to endure volatility.”

Qullamaggie on Only The Home Runs Will Make you Rich “Look at this APPS. If you bought this 5-star setup. Okay, this is what I'm talking about. Big move, okay. Pullback sideways. It surfed 10 there, then 20 there for a while. But then it kind of went sideways a little bit further. But then it started building higher lows. And a tight range and break out of this range, right? This is a five-star setup. And now, you should have sold a third or half on day 3 or 4 or 5, and you would still be in half or two thirds of your shares and trail this thing with the 10-day moving average. This is why you always trail some, because now and then you're gonna catch these stocks that double or triple in a short amount of time. Those are the ones that are gonna make you rich, okay? Those are the trades that are gonna make you rich. Everything else is just a grind. You gotta find those home runs. The home runs are gonna make you rich, okay? Most of the time, trading is just a grind. Like 70, 80% of the time. But now and then, the market gods bless you with a home run. All you have to do is identify the setups and follow the rules. That's it.”

Qullamaggie on Situational Awareness “I guess it was an okay setup, but it failed in a big way. That was near the peak of the SPAC market. You can see why it failed, because NASDAQ pulled back. Nasdaq had a big run, multi-month run. You wanna buy breakouts when the market comes out of a multi-month sideways consolidation or a multi-month sell-off. Here, good time to buy breakouts. Here, not so much. And that's why it's failed. The setup itself was okay, but once the market is straight up for multiple months, you gotta be careful buying breakouts. The setups themselves were okay. But the market started pulling back mid-February and everything failed. When is the best time to buy breakouts? Chat, come on. Come on, chat. When is the best time to buy breakouts? What do we want to see in the moving averages? After correction? Yeah, but the moving averages. When the 10-day is above the 20-day, yeah, more. Rising 10-day, 20-day. We want to see the 10-day above the 20-day, and both the 10-day and 20-day need to be rising. Or one of them can be sideways, but at least one of them needs to be rising. That's when you have good conditions, generally, for breakouts. In late February, the 10-day had started sloping down, the 20-day was sideways. So that was a warning sign. That you shouldn't buy breakouts. NIO, big move, pulled back to the 10-day, started building a flag and it went straight up. Why did it go straight up? Well, because the market had just come out of a multi-month correction. And that was the start of a multi-month move. And NIO had shown strength all the way. That's a good time to buy breakouts, when the market comes out of a multi-month sideways or multi-month correction. Not when the market has already run for two, three months straight up, and it's starting to lose momentum. Not a good time to buy breakouts.”

Qullamaggie’s Episodic Pivot Concepts and Setups “Those are the best ones. The EPs that break a multi-month range or multi-quarter range. Focus on those. LCEP last earnings season. That was a five star. Came out of a four, five month consolidation on high volume. Start with earnings EPs. Those are easiest. Those are the brain dead ones. These biotech ones are very hard, especially micro nano caps. Forget about them. It's a waste of time. Yeah, exactly. Biotech and micro nano cap EPs are just excuses to dilute the company. They rarely work out. The fail rate is just so high. Yeah, guys, especially if you have a full-time job, the one thing you should be focusing on is EPs. You'll have probably half a dozen to a dozen perfect opportunities per earning season. 4 or 5 star opportunities. Not all of them are gonna work out, but the ones that will work out will go up hundreds and hundreds of percent. Yeah, well, EPs, yes. I mean, if it's a really good one, you can buy it, even if your stop is gonna be like, say, 1.5x the average true range, or ADR. Sometimes you kind of have to not chase it, but have a little bit of a wider stop, just because these things can make very big moves. You can still get, you know, 20, 30, 40, 50 times your risk reward out of them, out of the best ones. You don’t have to buy everything on the 1 minute opening range highs. You can buy stuff on the 5-minute breakout or a 60-minute breakout, as long as it hasn't gone up like enormous amounts since the first 1 and 5-minute breakouts. But most of the time you don't need to be the first one in. Let the stocks prove themselves.”