BeRealSoon
13.2K posts


@LindaCKBL @NBCSN I liked Brad's kid saying Further Ado would win with not even the slightest hesitation.
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@Pan_Zareta His record out of CA this year (including Saudi Arabia, VA, Ark, NY, LA) starts is 13-5-1-2 so about 40% win percentage before this week. 0 for 5 now at CD w/ a couple of trainer scratches, too.
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@BeReal2025 So often they just have nothing in the stretch after good early trip, positioning. No battle, no rebreak of yesteryear. Memory as the second choice in r2, sixth. I'm reacting to a few anecdotal instances, but curious to see win% for '26 outside CA.
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@Pan_Zareta I think he is 30% in CA and around 20% eleswhere past few years. I think a few of his (i.e. Memory) are overbet in tough spots because of Bob.
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@3coltshandicap Tell each one a different horse so you will be right once!
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@Pan_Zareta It's a Litmus Test🤣 Splendora was sick out of her last race and did miss a work. I thought Usha might roll at the top of the stretch. But all credit to the winner!
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@VincentColbert @NBCSports And insert horrid background music loop from hell
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@KentuckyDerby @NBCSports your production with that horrid music mixed in is a choice. Really. A choice. Having exclusive rights to broadcast and stream the undercard should not entitle you to the right to torture our ears as well.
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WTF is this horrid background music on @peacock FFS make it stop. It is distracting from interviews.
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@kaitlinebenson Would you say the most confident this week have been Mott and Brown?
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@BeReal2025 Makes sense. But also feel like it’s not fair to a horse and their connections on the AE’s. My opinion: they should wait an extra 24 hours before officially scratching a horse, and treating AE’s as a “late scratch” if they don’t get in.
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Good segway to this question: why wouldn’t scratch time for AE’s to draw into the race be at 9:30 AM today?
Why was it yesterday, when AE 24 had to scratch? He would have got in the race if scratch time was today.
(Vinny) Real Dynasty Picks@PicksByDynasty
With The Puma scratching and the last AE not drawing in, does everyone move over 1 post from the outside in? Or does everyone move 1 post over from the inside out?
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@BeReal2025 @3coltshandicap Betting has been open for the Derby since Tuesday and the whole card I think since Thursday. Matt is right, dumb that scratch time is more than 24 hours out
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@trifectabox I would love to see So Happy win, very much so, but wondering if the betting is his story and his name?
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Interesting early wagering notes:
So Happy at 5-1
Emerging Market at 9-1
#KyDerby
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@TheBadAgent @ChurchillDowns @claibornefarm They bought him last year before he ran in Pacific Classic, he ran then as leased from Coolmore partners by them. Seems some deal for him was completed. IF he can win a Gr. 1 will be a nice stud prospect.
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I couldn't help but notice that Hall of Fame is running today in 10th @ChurchillDowns for owner @claibornefarm. Did I miss anannouncement that they bought this horse from previous owners? Are there plans to stand him?
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@sullivanms @trifectabox @ChurchillDowns Racing is in a tough spot and they certainly as a collective industry earned every step of their way into that corner.
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Kenny McPeek after Right to Party's vet scratch: “I don’t know how to do this anymore. Under this climate, I don’t know how to do it. I can’t wait to retire. I would quit today and feel okay about it. It’s not any fun anymore.”
More:
drf.com/news/kentucky-…
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@sullivanms @trifectabox @ChurchillDowns Yeah. No. I will try again. (Aside from you noting they might be unethical and not have the horse's best interest at heart.) The state and regulatory vets in KY are abysmally incompetent because, wait for it. the good ones are in private practice with plenty of demand.
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@BeReal2025 @trifectabox @ChurchillDowns It could also be that they were too intimidated by the trainers to do their job properly and didn't scratch when they should have. So that metric gives them cover when they get all the shit from the trainers, as they are.
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