CC LP ретвитнул
CC LP
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CC LP
@CCapLP
Generalist. Tweets are never investment advice nor represent views of anyone else, except CC LP
Присоединился Mart 2011
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CC LP ретвитнул

These two pipelines alleviate around half of the crude oil bottleneck for Hormuz.
They were built before fracking changed global oil equation.
The more I study it, the more I realize the world was well prepared for this blockade. I mean, we sure had a long time to prepare for a very known and obvious threat. And then we had the fracking revolution come on top of that.
Zoom out and really think on that big picture wise.

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CC LP ретвитнул

Chinese pig prices lowest in 16 years ft.com/content/4069c7… via @ft porcine overcapacity
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Interesting take on the potential SpaceX IPO…
This isn’t just about listing a space company.
It increasingly looks like Musk is packaging an entire ecosystem - SpaceX + X + xAI - into one macro trade.
A cash-flow engine funding capital-hungry AI… wrapped in a social platform.
Valuation? $1.25T → $1.5T doesn’t sound crazy if markets buy the narrative.
But the real question:
Are you buying space… or a venture-style conglomerate with very different risk profiles?
Indirect plays like Destiny Tech100 (DXYZ) and ARK Venture Fund (ARKVX) show how desperate capital is to front-run this.
Feels less like an IPO… and more like the next phase of financial engineering around narrative.
Worth watching closely 👀
Read the article here:
talkmarkets.com/article/new-in…
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CC LP ретвитнул

HORMUZ OPEN—BUT NOT FOR IRAN’S ENEMIES
Iran says ships can pass through the Strait of Hormuz only if they coordinate with Tehran and are not linked to its adversaries. Officials reiterated that the U.S., Israel, and their allies are excluded.
Traffic through the strait has dropped sharply—from about 100 weekly transits before the conflict to just seven now, mostly Iranian oil tankers.
Security risks remain high. A bulk carrier reported an explosion near the UAE coast, and Iran is reportedly charging some vessels a $2 million transit fee, though this claim is unverified.
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$SATS is stupidly undervalued then
Polymarket@Polymarket
BREAKING: The SpaceX IPO is now projected to close above $2 trillion after the announcement of TERAFAB. 55% chance.
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CC LP ретвитнул

@brad_patnaude @origoinvest What are good synergies estimates for a DTV / DBS merger? $SATS
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@origoinvest this potentially clears the way to get another $10ish billion of debt off the enterprise balance sheet tho.... The only reason to do this is for DTV deal IMO... I thought $SATS would have moved more on this news.
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Had a moment to briefly scan through the RSA on the EchoStar DISH DBS restructuring
Lots of moving parts but in short: (i) paydown of DBS SubscriberCo TL and preferred shares (ii) paydown of all the 2026 Notes (iii) funded via settlement of InterCo loans (through DNC) (iv) $125M Claims Settlement (v) further protections / cash sweep on residual notes
Per my initial note the clean-up paves the way for a combination with DirecTV (and only makes sense in that context given the non-recourse nature of the OpCo debt). The RSA/TS is also riddled with references to a potential transaction.
From a pure numbers perspective we know this is irrelevant to the core EchoStar $SATS thesis. Fwiw I estimate the deal to be cash neutral to the business on a >4.25x FY25 EBITDA sale to DirecTV.
The value here is in accelerating the transition towards a new narrative as a Space Investment HoldCo, shedding legacy luggage and repositioning the Company with a new shareholder base.

Origo@origoinvest
$SATS RSA (and parent support through push down of interco loan) only makes sense in the context of a sale to DirectTV which I assume will also be announced in due course Pretty neutral to our core thesis with SpaceX
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CC LP ретвитнул
CC LP ретвитнул

Iran's Foreign Minister: We seek to end the war permanently
#BIGBREAKING
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CC LP ретвитнул
CC LP ретвитнул

Today's CBB lesson: When you don't LOVE the board but you find just ONE game worth playing. Does it pay off?
Arkansas team total OVER 83.5
Top 6 offense + top 22 tempo vs. Ole Miss's 312th FTRate allowed. Arkansas will get to the line often & never turns it over = no wasted possessions.
Isolating the elite offense against the defense that gifts free throws. Darius Acuff Jr. is the best individual player I've analyzed all week.
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