Cap_s
1.2K posts


@jakubtepper chyba sobie jedynie plynnosc finansowa buduja, bo to raczej nie poleci. nie polecalbym tego
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@_Investinq Because of one orange head idiot who wants to defend promised land people
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The man who manages $11 trillion just said two words that should terrify every person on the planet.
"Global recession."
Larry Fink, CEO of BlackRock, the largest asset manager in human history sat down with the BBC and laid out the scenarios.
Fink told the BBC there are only two possible outcomes for the global economy right now.
His exact words: "There's not going to be an outcome that's somewhere in the middle."
Outcome one is that Iran gets reintegrated into the global community, sanctions ease and Iranian oil and Venezuelan oil flood back into markets.
Then the oil drops below $40 a barrel, the world gets relief.
Outcome two is that Iran remains a threat, the Strait of Hormuz stays disrupted and the standoff stretches on for years.
Oil stays above $100 and pushes toward $150.
The result? A "stark and steep global recession."
Why does $150 oil collapse the world economy? Because oil is embedded in everything.
Food production, shipping, manufacturing, heating., fertilizer, chemicals and plastics.
When oil spikes, prices spike across every single category of human life.
Central banks raise rates to fight inflation, businesses freeze investment and consumers stop spending.
Also, jobs disappear, GDP craters and the cycle feeds itself.
There is no bailout for this and no rate cut fixes an energy shock.
Fink also made a point that high oil prices are a "very regressive tax."
The wealthy absorb higher energy costs while the poor cannot.
This hits grocery bills, rent, and transportation everything the bottom half of the global population depends on to survive.
The market is still pricing in hope, a resolution, a deal, a ceasefire.
Fink is pricing in reality, two extremes, and the clock is running.
Pay attention to this one.
StockMarket.News@_Investinq
Goldman Sachs just raised US recession odds to 30%, the third bump in 90 days. Growth is slipping below potential, oil is stuck around crisis levels, and credit is tightening into a weakening jobs market. This is what the start of a recession actually looks like in real time. open.substack.com/pub/stockmktne…
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@Gold_Cryptoz @HighStakesCap Iran sends rockets at Dubai … “fuck netanyahu” … make it make sense.
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Cap_s ретвитнул

🏎️ Buy and Sell Rankings for China 🏎️
Lots of movement this week as we react to the season opener.
💰 Bearman, Lindblad, and Bortoleto have the easiest targets to gain 0.6M (4 points or less!)
🟠 With so many great Tier A assets, McLaren slide down to Sell until we see better pace and value
👍 I really like Esteban Ocon this week. Decent overtakes in Australia and P5 in this race last season.
🛠️ This early in the season DNFs = Sell to avoid price drops so Hulkenberg, Bottas, and Hadjar all drop down
The big question of the week: should we run two Tier A constructors on a Sprint weekend, roll with the likes of Haas/Racing Bulls for cost gap gains, or use Limitless to get the best of both worlds?
What stands out to you this week?

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@SVVOBODAM W większości stanów dodajesz sales tax 6-8% ale przy obecnym kursie to i tak z 500-600 PLN różnicy między PL a USA
Polski
Cap_s ретвитнул

One of the most powerful trading firms on Wall Street just got caught in the crosshairs.
Jane Street.
They don't do interviews or don't make headlines.
They move billions in silence up until now.
Two days ago, a lawsuit dropped in Manhattan federal court.
Filed by the administrator unwinding Terraform Labs, the company behind the $40 billion crypto collapse of 2022.
Insider trading, market manipulation, front-running a financial catastrophe.
The complaint alleges Jane Street had a man on the inside.
A former Terraform intern turned Jane Street trader.
They shared secrets through a private group chat called "Bryce's Secret."
When Terraform quietly pulled $150 million in liquidity from its pools, Jane Street allegedly knew.
Minutes later, they dumped $85 million in UST.
Panic spread and Luna went to zero.
$40 billion vanished and many retail investors were destroyed.
And Jane Street? They allegedly avoided $200 million in losses and then profited from the wreckage.
But here's what traders noticed this week.
For months, Bitcoin has been getting slammed at exactly 10 AM Eastern.
Every single morning like clockwork.
Over 60% of sessions since November showed this exact pattern.
Traders called it "the 10 AM dump."
They blamed one firm.
Jane Street.
Jane Street is an authorized participant in BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF.
They can create and redeem shares directly.
They hold nearly $800 million in IBIT. They have the infrastructure to move markets.
Then the lawsuit dropped on February 23rd.
And something changed.
The 10 AM dump didn't happen Monday. It didn't happen Tuesday.
Bitcoin ripped 10% and dded $120 billion in market cap.
The weekly candle turned green after five straight red weeks.
Coincidence? Maybe.
But this isn't Jane Street's first rodeo.
Last July, India's market regulator barred Jane Street entirely.
Seized $567 million and accused them of manipulating the country's stock index through derivatives.
They allegedly made $4.3 billion doing it.
Now they're accused of helping blow up Terra.
Accused of running a daily suppression algorithm on Bitcoin. And the moment they get sued, the pattern breaks.
Jane Street says the lawsuit is "baseless."
The market says otherwise.
And now the world is watching.

Bull Theory@BullTheoryio
This is INSANE. Since Jane Street was sued two days ago, the 10 AM manipulation has stopped. Bitcoin is up 10%, adding $120 billion to its market cap, and the BTC weekly candle has turned green after 5 consecutive red candles. The total crypto market has added nearly $200 billion over the same period.
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TRUMP BLASTS SUPER BOWL HALFTIME SHOW
Donald Trump called the Super Bowl LX halftime show “absolutely terrible,” criticizing headliner Bad Bunny for performing entirely in Spanish. He said the show “makes no sense,” doesn’t reflect American values, and was a “slap in the face” to the country—despite about 45 million Americans speaking Spanish at home.
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The most amazing thing that can be bought with the freedom from trading crypto is the ability to focus wholeheartedly on your health and self improvement
Especially during these shit trading times. Get off your ass and work on building a better you
Learn new skills and work on physical exercise and longevity.
It’s so underrated…
Use this time to get into the best physical and mental shape of your life. This will also translate to your trading! Everything helps
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@GPW_Trader2022 Sępy co nie wspierają tylko jak będziecie mieli wypadek to nie używajcie defibrillatora z serduszkiem
Polski

@JacobKinge @elonmusk Freedom of hateful speech propaganda - that’s what X is all about nowadays
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BREAKING: The European Union is pouring €300–500 million into launching W, a social media platform designed to compete directly with X.
Experts say Europe views @elonmusk’s X as a growing threat, especially since the app enables freedom of speech, open discussion, and has proven it can outperform TV networks and legacy media.
On W, posts will be strictly moderated, all users will require ID verification, making it easy for authorities to track activity, and the platform will operate fully within EU regulations, rules that many argue restrict freedom of speech.

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Cap_s ретвитнул

Expert potwierdza że przyjdzie taki dzień że to Bitcoin będzie zjadał złoto a nie odwrotnie ;)
Bitcoin professor@Bitcoinprof0637
🇺🇸 ERIC TRUMP SAID PROFITS WILL FLOW OUT OF GOLD AND INTO #BITCOIN 🚀
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