Indianapolis Made🇺🇸
1.8K posts

Indianapolis Made🇺🇸
@IndplsMade
Pan Black Americanist
Присоединился Şubat 2026
111 Подписки38 Подписчики
Indianapolis Made🇺🇸 ретвитнул
Indianapolis Made🇺🇸 ретвитнул

Former Florida pastor Jonathan Edward Elwing sentenced to TRIPLE LIFE for R*ping a child and filming it
The 43-year-old ex-pastor at Palm View First Baptist Church was convicted on 12 counts including capital s*xual battery, production of CSAM, and possession of CSAM.
He filmed himself R*ping a child. Three consecutive life sentences.
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Indianapolis Made🇺🇸 ретвитнул
Indianapolis Made🇺🇸 ретвитнул

@mentnelson He’s into art heavy too, I would love to see his personal collection
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Indianapolis Made🇺🇸 ретвитнул

Your friendly reminder you don’t need to hear your name this draft weekend to achieve greatness … #purplefriday #skol


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@Eazy__3 @Markosonke1 See if they own native countries would provide for them, they wouldn’t need to look down on others and say they somehow outwork the natives in they own country they ancestors built. Maybe it’s not a them it’s a YOU problem but ones ego won’t allow them to see pass their arrogance
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@Markosonke1 It’s like that everywhere mate. Immigrants always outwork the locals and have different attitude towards work than someone who has no safety net in the country.
That does not mean immigrants should flood in illegally. Also SA law needs to be strict against employers contravening
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@GEmemameh @Markosonke1 I would probably steal and drink too on your job knowing you are there to take not help build. You can’t come as a colonizer and expect people in 2026 to do you right! They use YOU, like YOU use them
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@Markosonke1 I employed South Africans and each time they get paid, you will never see them for days and when they show up, you smell alcohol on them. They steal as well .
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@gnoble79 I call Elon musk the modern day Howard Hughes. Both in reality did nothing, but suck up government funding and money🤷🏾
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Last night was the biggest disaster in the history of Tesla.
Let me walk you through what actually happened on that earnings call, because the headlines are doing you a disservice:
Elon Musk got on the call and admitted (his words) that Hardware 3 "simply does not have the capability to achieve unsupervised FSD."
He said he wished it were otherwise. He said the memory bandwidth is one-eighth of what Hardware 4 has. And that's the end of the conversation.
Approximately 4 million Tesla vehicles on the road right now have Hardware 3. Many of those owners paid $8,000 to $15,000 for Full Self-Driving capability based on Musk's repeated promises (going back to 2016) that the hardware was sufficient for full autonomy. As recently as 2022, Musk was publicly assuring owners that HW3 had the processing power to get it done.
BUT IT DIDN'T
Those promises are now officially broken.
The solution is a "discounted trade-in" toward a new car with Hardware 4.
Not a refund or a free upgrade...
A discount on buying ANOTHER Tesla.
Investor Ross Gerber said it too - all HW3 owners got screwed, and with roughly 285,000 FSD purchasers affected, the potential liability runs into the BILLIONS.
But that's not even the worst part.
Musk was asked if the current FSD v14.3 was ready for unsupervised deployment. He said yes. Then immediately walked it back and admitted Tesla has "major architectural improvements" in the pipeline that would significantly improve safety.
What he really means: the software isn't SAFE ENOUGH to deploy without a human watching. Full unsupervised FSD for consumer cars is pushed to Q4 2026. At the earliest... Maybe.
How many times has this deadline been pushed? I've lost count. And trust me, I've seen a lot of broken promises. But this one takes the cake.
Now let's talk about the numbers everyone is celebrating:
Tesla reported $22.4 billion in revenue and $0.41 in non-GAAP earnings. A "double beat." The stock popped 4% after hours. Victory, right?
WRONG
Dig into the actual filing:
The number one driver of operating income improvement wasn't cost reductions, wasn't volume growth, wasn't FSD revenue. It was - and Tesla listed this FIRST in their own shareholder letter - "one-time benefits related to warranty and tariffs."
They released warranty reserves. They booked tariff refund windfalls. They stretched supplier payments by 10 days. They took on billions in new debt. Then they presented everything through non-GAAP metrics that strip out over $1 billion in stock-based compensation.
GAAP net income was $477 million on $22.4 billion in revenue. That's a 2.1% net margin. On a $1.4 trillion market cap.
Let me put that in perspective:
3.75 billion shares outstanding. Annualize the Q1 GAAP profit and you get roughly $1.9 billion. That's a trailing P/E ratio north of 700. Use the adjusted number - strip out stock comp, which is a REAL cost to shareholders through dilution - and you're still at around 250x earnings.
All of this is extremely bad, but I didn't even talk about the CAPEX BOMB yet...
3 months ago, Tesla guided to "over $20 billion" in 2026 capital expenditure. Last night they raised it to over $25 billion. A $5 billion increase in a single quarter. That's 3x their historical annual capex run rate - $8.5 billion in 2025, $11.3 billion in 2024. The CFO confirmed on the call that Tesla expects NEGATIVE free cash flow for the rest of the year.
So you have a company generating roughly $6 billion in annual free cash flow on a good year, and they're about to spend $25 billion.
The math doesn't work.
They will almost certainly need to issue equity. Which means dilution. Which means the $1.9 billion in annual earnings gets spread across even MORE shares.
The core auto business is literally deteriorating in real time:
Tesla delivered 358,000 vehicles in Q1 (missed estimates again).
They produced 408,000. That's 50,000 cars sitting on lots that nobody bought.
Inventory days jumped from 10 to 27 in just a few quarters. California (their most important US market) saw registrations crash 24% year over year.
Their market share in the state fell from 9.2% to 7.7%. That's on top of a Q1 2025 that was ALREADY weak from Model Y retooling. They're declining off a decline.
And here's what really kills the bull case...
The entire valuation rests on robotaxis, Optimus robots, and autonomy. So let's put numbers on it:
Waymo - the actual leader in autonomous driving with 15 million completed rides in 2025 alone, over 127 million autonomous miles driven, operating commercially across 6 US cities with plans to expand to 20 more - just raised $16 billion at a $126 billion valuation.
That's the market's verdict on what the LEADING robotaxi company is worth. $126 billion.
And Waymo is YEARS ahead of Tesla in actual deployment.
Tesla has 3.75 billion shares outstanding. So even if you assign $126 billion in robotaxi value (giving Tesla full credit for matching Waymo despite being nowhere close) that's $33 a share. Add the auto business at generous auto-industry multiples, maybe $20 a share. Throw in energy storage and services, $10-15.
Sum of the parts gets you to roughly $65-70 a share if you're feeling generous. Maybe $50 if you're not.
The stock is $387.
So what exactly are you paying for?
You're paying for a STORY. You're paying for PROMISES that keep getting pushed back, technology that keeps falling short, and a business plan that requires spending $25 billion a year while the core product sells fewer units at declining margins in a market where California sales just fell 24% and the federal EV tax credit is gone.
I managed the number one mutual fund in America. I founded two billion-dollar hedge funds. I've been doing this since 1981.
And I am telling you:
Tesla at $387 is one of the most egregious mispricings I have seen in my entire career.
THE CRASH WILL BE EPIC
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Indianapolis Made🇺🇸 ретвитнул
Indianapolis Made🇺🇸 ретвитнул
Indianapolis Made🇺🇸 ретвитнул

Simmons College of Kentucky @SCKY_1879 is a private HBCU named after Howard University Bison Dr. William J. Simmons

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@EraserSaints When she said trailer, no one should be surprised by her story any further
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