
Likely.Trade
6 posts

Likely.Trade
@LikelyTrade
Prediction Markets Terminal - Track whales. Spot insiders. Copy the winners. Turn news into trades. Run AI trading agents. https://t.co/CPgs1vV94H






The most people got burnt on a trade, the most undervalued it will be This is the case for capture markets in the Orikhiv direction. especially "Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by...?" 18c => fair value 30c "Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by...?" 14c => fair value 22c Everyone expected Russia to capture these villages in January following their strong December momentum But they made an operational pause in the direction. Focusing on tanking counter attacks from Ukraine Many mappers like Suriak maps already report russian presence in these villages but since traders got burned a few month in a row the odds are low. For me it a risky but firmly +ev trade + this area is under the responsibility of groups of army east, which always published the receipts on their @voin_dv page when they capture a new town, so we can expect them to publish geolocations as soon as they fall

