OSINT_Strong

I agree, this and the Kharg island talk is just a psy-op. Say what you will about him but his team has been quite good with information discipline and trickery

@DrEliDavid I agree, this and the Kharg island talk is just a psy-op. Say what you will about him but his team has been quite good with information discipline and trickery

Trump: “We've already won this war” 👇 In chess, you can claim victory all you want, but you only win with a checkmate or a surrender. Same with war. The Iranian regime is emboldened by Trump's apparent rush to end the war, but this is an illusion, and they will find out soon.

تصاویر ماهواره ای نشان می دهد ناو آبی-خاکی تریپولی پایگاه دیه گو گارسیا را ترک کرده. اگر تغییری در برنامه ها پیش نیاید، در روزهای آتی باید به خاورمیانه برسد.

Do you understand that Ukraine has been jamming these same cheesy Chinese commercial grade drones with off the shelf electronics for years? They are so effective that Russia has all but abandoned 2.4 and 5.8 ghz. The U.S. Marine Corps (USMC) utilizes a layered suite of electronic warfare (EW) tools ranging from individual backpack units to vehicle-mounted systems to disrupt 2.4 GHz and 5.8 GHz frequencies. The USMC actively fielded "non-kinetic" capabilities to every squad. For infantry on the move, the USMC relies on compact, battery-powered devices to jam standard drone frequencies such as the MODI II Backpack - A lightweight backpack system that jams the specific frequencies used by modern consumer drones (2.4 GHz and 5.8 GHz). It is a versatile tool that can also be used for signals intelligence. The USMC has deployed handheld and rifle systems, such as the DroneGun Tactical and similar "rifle-style" jammers. These use directional antennas to "point and shoot" at a drone, forcing it to land or return to its home site. L-MADIS (Light Marine Air Defense Integrated System): Mounted on Polaris MRZR all-terrain vehicles, this system uses two vehicles: one for detection (radar and cameras) and one for "the brawn," utilizing the Modi II jammer to disrupt drone communications. MADIS (Marine Air Defense Integrated System): A more robust version mounted on Joint Light Tactical Vehicles (JLTVs). The Mk2 variant is specifically responsible for the Counter-UAS mission, using electronic countermeasures and an M134 Minigun for a layered defense. To counter swarm attacks, the USMC is deploying high-power microwave systems like the Epirus Leonidas, which can disable multiple drones simultaneously by overloading their electronics rather than just jamming their radio signals. twz.com/news-features/…

@Osint613 Answer me this: why in hell would we try to stop Iran's oil exports rather than pacify the shoreline along the Strait? Anything you do will experience continuous missile and drone bombardment which would have to be neutralized to reopen the Strait anyway.

Everyone is focused on Kharg Island. The one that very much matters right now is Larak Island. IRGC naval bases, port infrastructure, and control over ship screening. It functions as a choke point, effectively a toll booth and targeting hub inside the Strait.

@johnkonrad But the big collapse on early Monday was led by frontrunners at a few minutes before the news about negotiations came out.

There’s a simple explanation. Big price spikes usually come from one of two things: a severe supply-demand shock or heavy leverage. The supply-demand imbalance is moving through the system, but it is not yet at a true breaking point. Refineries still have some supply on hand, and some buyers are holding back orders in hopes that prices will ease and oil is still entering the market from other regions. That kind of imbalance usually takes time to fully hit the market. That is why WTI climbed early in the month, then paused and is now consolidating rather than move straight up in a panic. The other driver is leverage. Wealthy traders and large institutions can buy huge numbers of futures contracts and make outsized bets on where prices are headed. But smart money usually presses those bets only when it believes it has a real edge. Historically, major military operations often leak just enough for well-connected players on Wall Street or in London to position themselves early with leverage. This time, not much appears to be leaking from the Pentagon or the White House, and what little does emerge from the latter is being treated with skepticism. So the simplest explanation is this: the fat cats are just as much in the dark as the rest of us.

I'm sensing a common thread here. Can't quite put my finger on it...

@acteduweininger I'm sensing a common thread here. Can't quite put my finger on it...

New Zealand is on track to run out of fuel in about three weeks. First world country btw. No fuel reserves. Refineries closed down under Jacinda Ardern. Deep sea oil exploration banned under Jacinda Ardern. Jacinda Ardern and covid lockdowns. Jacinda and covid.

All the secret sites, caves, and underground storage facilities built by the Iranian regime over the years are now being exposed through satellite imagery. This desert site was part of their grand plan to flood the region with missiles. Today, it is being struck and destroyed in front of the entire world. The Iranian regime is paying the price for its arrogance and terrorism.

🛑🚨صور توضح ان النظام الإيراني على مدار ٤٧ لم يبني انفاق طويلة داخل الجبال بل بنى انفاق امتداد من الجبال التي يخزن فيها صواريخه ويطلق الصواريخ من فوهات فوق تلك الأنفاق التي يتم قصفها الان في عدة أنحاء من إيران كانت معظمها موجهة ضد دول الخليج العربية والأردن اكثر من إسرائيل كان مخططهم قبل السقوط هو مسح دول المنطقة بالكامل وفشلوا بسبب الضربة الإستباقية الأمريكية -الإسرائيلية #مرصاد_لهم_بالمرصاد #إيران

@AuthorHFerry There's going to be a non-used lamp post shortage soon

If you don't think the Islamic Regime has already fallen, riddle me this: If Trump leaves the Middle East today, how is this regime is supposed to run a country with: no government buildings, no leadership structure, 80 million people who are not just against the regime, but thirsty for its loyalists' blood, a population that won't go back to work, a collapsed economy, collapsing infrastructure (since even before the war), no water, no agriculture, no allies in the region except Pakistan, no legitimacy outside of the region, except by Emmanuel Macron, no proxies except NY mayor's office, no navy, no air force, no radars, no air defense. Just a few bullets left in their guns to try and stand in front of a very angry nation. This regime is dead. It just doesn't know it yet.

Ending the Iran war without regime change will lead to slaughter washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/beltwa…

@Gambi15680 @FurkanGozukara That's because it's a feint. Not sure why you would take this seriously.

@FurkanGozukara American are so smart. Even if they took Kharg, it's a terminal for the oil fields. Iran stop pumping, they'll get rat shít. And they go on tv and say this outloud for the whole world to see and mock their stupidity 😂

BOMBSHELL: Former Bush official accidentally says the quiet part out loud on Fox News. The goal isn't freedom. The plan is to send Marines to seize Kharg Island, steal 96 percent of Irans oil, and control their economy like Venezuela. Pure imperialism.

@FurkanGozukara This is a psy-op. Remember this reply, we won't take Kharg. If we do anything we'll either airdrop behind the SoH or somewhere that lacks strongpoints on the Gulf of Oman.

@FernandoJneiva @ukraine_map @WarMonitor3 They will destroy it before they let us have it. Have you noticed them destroying anything else lately?

@ukraine_map @WarMonitor3 Nope, US troops are needed to force Iran employees to do what US directs. The Few Iranian troops on the island are easily defeated or arrested since will be cut-off from main land. Plus iran can't risk bomb and destroy such important installations with missiles or drones...

US Kharg Island operation assessment-FT: -Kharg Island used as a bargaining chip to reopen strait of Hormuz Irans economic backbone. -Troops landed on island via helicopter either marines or paratroopers, hug coast and seize key oil infrastructure for cover and to prevent Iranian artillery fires. -Operation highly risky as within Iranian drone and artillery fires, likely all US air assets would be redirected to provide air cover for landed troops. -Still not enough troops, likely to be a raid rather than a long form operation.

@ukraine_map @WarMonitor3 Troops will experience continuous bombardment. This is a complete headfake

@WarMonitor3 It’s such an unnecessary and risky idea, anyone suggesting it has no value for the lives of American soldiers Imagine being faced with two options, both options lead to Iran not being able to export oil, and then picking the one that’s much more risky and puts US lives at risk

@ukraine_map @WarMonitor3 Troops will experience continuous bombardment. This is a complete headfake

@WarMonitor3 There is no point of landing on Kharg Island with troops, that only puts US lives at risk. Iran’s military assets on the island can be bombed, while the island can be under a full naval blockade, preventing any tankers from leaving or coming in, stopping 90% of Iran’s oil exports

This is what X is for: deep analysis shared with the world @gCaptain. I'm going to be like the DJ that locks himself in the studio and keeps playing the same song because it's so good. gcaptain.com/the-hormuz-hyp…

@citrinowicz Dude, we spend a trillion dollars a year on exactly understanding adversaries, they pay PhD's in military science to come and talk to them, they fund thinktanks. That's a ludicrous claim that they don't have access to economic and military data.

This is yet another piece of evidence that Washington still doesn’t understand the shift Iran has gone through during the war. The regime today is more radical, less centralized, and increasingly convinced that it is winning, which means it believes it can dictate the terms of how this conflict ends. That leaves Trump with two real options: Either de facto surrender a ceasefire without a deal, or an agreement shaped around Iran’s demands or a major escalation, with severe consequences for the global system and the international economy. This is the direct result of a campaign built on flawed assumptions — especially a fundamental misreading of Iran’s resilience. Iran is not Venezuela. There is no Delcy Rodríguez waiting in Tehran. And there is no silver bullet for the Iran problem. Period.