Probe International

The underwhelming performance of China-supplied arms and defense systems in Iran underscores the potential for a humiliating setback in Beijing’s military aspirations to take over Taiwan. ➡️probeopinion.substack.com/p/the-war-in-i… #China #Taiwan

9) Canada China Business Council’s 2022 Dentons report openly advises Indigenous groups on direct Chinese investment, amplifying the narrative of shared historical grievance. Carney’s “strategic partnership” makes this far riskier.

8) Now: Musqueam 2026 agreements secretly grant title over Metro Vancouver – including Port of Vancouver, YVR, UBC. Premier Eby admitted “no line of sight.” Critical minerals, LNG, timber now route through First Nations consent.

Op-ed exposes “Beijing’s ‘Two-State’ Strategy is targeting Indigenous land claims and Canada’s critical resources to bypass Ottawa: thebureau.news/p/beijings-two… #TwoStateStrategy #CanadianSovereignty

JUST IN: Chinese satellites guided an Iranian missile onto a residential street in Kfar Qasim in Israel this morning. Five Israeli civilians are in hospital. China has not fired a single shot in this war. China does not need to. The missile was Iranian. The BeiDou-3 military navigation system that guided it to its dispersal coordinates was Chinese. The sodium perchlorate fuel that propelled it was shipped from Gaolan Port in southern China. The interceptor that destroyed the parent warhead was American. The bomblets that survived the interception and flipped a white SUV on a residential street were designed to overwhelm defences built by Rafael, whose IPO valuation just doubled to $23 billion during the war. Four nations in one detonation. One street. One flipped car. Five people bleeding from blast waves produced by a weapon that was simultaneously destroyed and delivered. And the country that provided the fuel and the coordinates is not in the headlines. Iran completed its full military transition from American GPS to Chinese BeiDou-3 in June 2025 after GPS jamming during the 12-day war rendered its missiles inaccurate. The B3A encrypted signal provides sub-5-metre precision, frequency hopping against jamming, and mid-course corrections to 2,000 kilometres. Seventy percent of Iranian ballistic missiles now carry cluster warheads. Each disperses 20 to 24 submunitions at 7 to 10 kilometres altitude, above Iron Dome’s engagement ceiling. The parent missile is destroyed. The children scatter. The six-second gap between interception and ground impact is the window the bomblets exploit. Iron Dome was not designed to track 24 falling objects across an 8-kilometre radius. The cluster warhead does not need to penetrate the shield. It needs to outlive it by six seconds. China supplies the navigation. China supplies the fuel. Approximately 1,000 tons of sodium perchlorate from Gaolan Port in early 2025, enough for 260 to 500 missiles. And the bombs that America drops on Iran to destroy these launchers contain Chinese rare earth magnets. The interceptors that engage these missiles cannot be manufactured without Chinese minerals. The $200 billion supplemental that Congress is funding cannot replenish the munitions without Chinese supply chains. And the $650 billion that Big Tech is spending on AI infrastructure depends on semiconductors fabricated with helium from a Qatari facility that this same war shut down for three to five years. Every node in this conflict routes through Beijing. Every side depends on Beijing. Beijing profits from every side. The bomblets create de facto minefields in residential areas. EOD teams in Kfar Qasim clear them one by one. The next wave arrives before clearance is complete. Petah Tikva reported impacts in the same salvo. The satellites guiding the next missile to its dispersal coordinates are the same satellites guiding Pakistani cruise missiles and Belt and Road freight across Central Asia. The SUV on the street was flipped by a 3-kilogram bomblet that separated at 7 kilometres, fell for 40 seconds, and detonated on asphalt navigated to within 5 metres of its target by 40 satellites owned by a country that sells fuel to the nation that launched it, minerals to the nation that intercepted it, and helium infrastructure to the nation that fabricates the chips both sides need to fight. That is not a war. That is a supply chain with a body count. And the supply chain has one backbone. It is not in Tehran. It is not in Washington. It is not in Jerusalem. It is in Beijing. And Beijing has not fired a single shot. open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

Unfortunately, the government has passed Bill C-9, despite national outcry and efforts by the opposition and civil liberties groups like ours to see it scrapped or drastically amended. Some important amendments were made to the original draft—changes we proposed and supported—including keeping the requirement for Attorney General approval of hate crime charges and retaining the Supreme Court’s narrower definition of “hatred.” Still, the overall trend of this government is to exert increasing control over the feelings, beliefs and expression of Canadians. This is deeply concerning.

No disclosure of Canada-China agreement on law enforcement cooperation & intelligence. Public Safety Min says it is “imperative for Canada to ensure that we meet countries where they’re at, not where we want them to be.” Let China decide? theepochtimes.com/world/conserva… via @epochtimes

China’s deep-sea mining fleet may also track US submarines A joint investigation by CNN and Mongabay reveals that eight Chinese state-owned research ships ostensibly conducting deep-sea mining exploration are spending significant time in militarily strategic waters. Despite being allocated specific mining areas by the International Seabed Authority (ISA), these vessels spent relatively little time within those official exploration zones. Many of the ships tracked are tied to state-affiliated entities with direct links to the Chinese Navy and regularly visit military-connected ports. Investigators found that these vessels have also encroached on the coastal exclusive economic zones of other nations and frequently disabled their location-tracking beacons. Defense experts suggest these ships serve a dual-purpose mission, combining scientific research with strategic military objectives like mapping the seafloor to track U.S. and allied submarines. China has rapidly positioned itself as a global leader in the emerging deep-sea mining sector, holding five of the 31 exploration contracts issued by the ISA and serving as its largest financial contributor. This maritime dominance aligns with Chinese leader Xi Jinping's broader goal of establishing "maritime power" and treating the deep seabed as a vital new strategic frontier. In response to China's growing influence, the United States is accelerating its own push to mine the deep seabed in order to counter Beijing's dominance over critical mineral supply chains. Meanwhile, environmental critics warn that this escalating geopolitical rivalry over underwater resources could ultimately cause irreversible devastation to fragile marine ecosystems. edition.cnn.com/interactive/20…

Hong Kong Bookstore Owner and Staff Arrested Over Jimmy Lai Biography Pong Yat-ming, the founder of the independent Hong Kong bookstore Book Punch, has been arrested along with three female employees for allegedly selling "seditious" materials. The arrests were carried out by National Security Department officers, who searched the Sham Shui Po shop and seized several publications. Among the confiscated books was a biography of jailed media tycoon Jimmy Lai, authored by Mark Clifford, a former director at Lai's now-shuttered Next Digital company. Authorities have accused the bookstore staff of violating the Safeguarding National Security Ordinance by distributing these materials. Jimmy Lai himself is currently serving a 20-year prison sentence—the longest handed down under the city's national security law—for charges that include conspiring to publish seditious materials and colluding with foreign forces. Following the arrests on Tuesday, Book Punch remained closed with a notice on its shutters citing an "emergency." The bookstore, which frequently hosts workshops on social issues, had previously faced scrutiny in July 2025 when the Beijing-friendly newspaper Wen Wei Po accused it of "soft resistance" for stocking Lai's biography. Pong is also currently awaiting an April 10 verdict in a separate case where he pleaded not guilty to managing an unregistered school by hosting a Spanish language class at the shop. scmp.com/news/hong-kong…

Japan to drop 'most important' tag for China ties Japan is set to downgrade its official description of relations with China from "one of its most important" in an upcoming annual diplomatic report as bilateral ties continue to worsen. The 2026 Diplomatic Bluebook, expected to be approved by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's government next month, will instead label China an "important neighbour" and call the relationship "strategic" and "mutually beneficial." The draft report cites a series of recent confrontations, including Chinese export controls on rare earths, radar lock-ons targeting Japanese military aircraft, and heightened military pressure around Taiwan. This shift in tone highlights a deep deterioration in relations that escalated in November, when Takaichi angered Beijing by suggesting Japan could deploy its military if a Chinese attack on Taiwan threatened Japanese territory. Beijing retaliated to those comments by reimposing restrictions on Japanese seafood imports, urging its citizens to avoid traveling to Japan, and restricting the export of critical minerals used in electronic components. While Takaichi maintains her remarks align with a decade-old security law, her government actively rejected a recent U.S. intelligence assessment that characterized her rhetoric as a sharp departure from previous Japanese leaders. Takaichi further emphasized these concerns in a recent parliamentary speech, warning of Chinese "coercion" and mounting economic and security threats from Beijing and its regional partners, Russia and North Korea. In response to these growing tensions, Takaichi and U.S. President Donald Trump recently met at the White House to unveil a joint action plan aimed at developing alternative supply chains for critical minerals away from China. reuters.com/world/china/ja…

Who gets to decide what counts as “hate” in Canada? Apparently, activist groups like the “Canadian Anti-Hate Network.” 😵‍💫 That should concern anyone who values free expression. Read the latest from Amy Hamm @preta_6 @nationalpost: nationalpost.com/opinion/oh-gre…

This is no surprise. I reported last year, UNDRIP is backed by China. The plan is to use indigenous people globally to transfer the land to China via purchases, loans, investments, and defaults. There's a reason lower mainland BC was the first Canadian target. Wake up people.

The wrong metrics are being used. Stripped of sentiment, the coalition is executing and winning. theepochtimes.com/opinion/what-m…

China Is About to Lose Its Cuban Military Bases The Havana regime’s decision to allow China free rein over the island has turned Cuba into a strategic threat to the United States, prompting decisive action from the Trump administration. Due to a strict U.S. naval and oil embargo, Cuban society is now teetering on the edge of collapse, with the national power grid failing multiple times this month alone. The American pressure campaign escalated after the U.S. captured Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro in January, seized control of Venezuela's state oil company PDVSA, and completely halted the flow of Venezuelan oil to Cuba. The Trump administration further tightened the squeeze by threatening tariffs on suppliers, leading the U.S. Navy to aggressively deter cargo vessels from unloading in Cuban ports. To bypass this American picket line, tankers have resorted to deceptive maritime tactics, such as the Hong Kong-flagged Sea Horse spoofing its location to secretly deliver 190,000 barrels of fuel. While critics argue the blockade is unjustified and that Cuba poses no threat to America, security experts warn that Beijing actively uses the island as a major platform for intelligence and security operations. A recent Center for Strategic and International Studies report identified at least four likely Chinese listening posts in Cuba, including the massive Soviet-era Lourdes facility and a newly constructed station called El Salao. Declassified U.S. intelligence confirms that Chinese signals-intelligence collection facilities have been operating on the island since at least 2019. Sitting less than 100 miles from Florida, Cuba provides China with an ideal vantage point to surveil sensitive U.S. military bases, combatant command headquarters, and space launch centers. Furthermore, reports indicate that Beijing and Havana have been negotiating to establish a new joint military training facility, sparking fears of Chinese troops actively operating just off the American coast. The Trump administration's aggressive embargo aims to neutralize this mounting threat and prevent China from potentially basing missiles on the island. Ultimately, while the U.S. blockade is undeniably exacerbating a severe humanitarian crisis in Cuba, the regime's willingness to host a hostile foreign military makes it a clear and present danger to American national security. gatestoneinstitute.org/22365/china-cu…