Cranjis McBasketball

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Cranjis McBasketball

Cranjis McBasketball

@Tim_NBA

🏀 Xs & Os • Team & Agent Consulting • @The_BBall_Index Founder • Lakers Exceptionalism Pod

Hanging with models (the math ones) Присоединился Mayıs 2012
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Cranjis McBasketball
Cranjis McBasketball@Tim_NBA·
If you want more Tim & Tom content, our Discord server is the place to be. Example: with 24 bonus pods since the start of the regular season, that's an extra pod every ~2 games. Join any premium tier to get into the Discord for good: tinyurl.com/supportlakerse…
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Hawks Film Room
Hawks Film Room@atlhawksfilm·
The Hawks T10 Most Efficient Half-Court Actions 1. 4-Out 1-In Inverted PNR: 1.42 PPP in 24 poss 2. Horns Angle PNR: 1.4 PPP in 35 poss 3. Stack Inverted Spain PNR: 1.38 PPP in 47 poss 4. Stack Curl: 1.33 PPP in 21 poss 5. 5-Out Flip: 1.3 PPP in 133 poss
David Lee@dlee4three

Hawks Organized Offense + PPP per my tracking through 54 games (February 7th): Organized: 1.02 PPP -> 62.4 freq% Non-Organized: 0.947 PPP -> 23.8% P&R: 1.104 PPP -> 14.6% CJ's arrival stabilized the offense and upped the P&R rate without lowering the set playcalls efficiency

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Joa 🇧🇷
Joa 🇧🇷@joaburner·
@Tim_NBA What are his averages on this type shot in Dallas tenure?
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I have Luka at 6/7 on heavily contested pull-up 3s in yesterday's game in my logging, his best on the season. He's shot 34% on those in LA in his 2 seasons, and his only better game was a 7/8 performance last season against Chicago on 3/22/25. He averages 1.7 makes per game.
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I think facing a lot of zone had something to do with it
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LA's ePPP in yesterday's game was a lot higher than you'd expect from their Scheme KPIs, as measured by my Scheme Score. It was the 3rd largest difference in the 2 years I've tracked it. The projected ePPP is 0.02 off from expected on average since I've tracked it.
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In terms of style of offense for LA lately: Ball Screens are up Off-Ball Screens are down Iso play is down Putbacks are way up
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I ignored blocks, which would drop the %s a tiny bit
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New largest playcalling on/off gap I've seen: Luka this month With him on-court: 50% Organized Offense Rate With him off-court: 66% OOR Prior to March Luka's on/off OOR was -1% (~no difference).
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The best route on a given possession for LA are running sets & targeting coverages. We want good process. But LA's offensive ceiling for games won't be reached, regardless of how good the sets are & how often they're run, if the freelance attack is as bad as it'd been for JAN & FEB.
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A critical development this month: The Lakers freelance offense is good again, for the first time in a LONG time. And it's not just a shot making bump. There's been a big rise in the expected PPP (& actual too). The freelance TO% dropping to season lows recently is the reason.
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Cranjis McBasketball@Tim_NBA

The Freelance offense is stinking it up so far from what I'd estimate watching live. At some point if LA wants to do anything with this season they need to be able to generate better offense when not running plays/motion concepts.

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From the stats they show each game it appears Invesco QQQ is Synergy in a trenchcoat
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That was the most OT game I've watched lol. I got the pick right but I feel more validated it went to OT. And good fight from the Zips but if you can't hit a layup or 3 you can't pull an upset. Bummer against a smaller Tech team than normal, especially w/the foul trouble.
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Kentucky vs Santa Clara was the game that took me the longest to make a pick among any round of 64 game And Akron over Tech is one of the largest upset picks I landed on. It should be a fun first window!
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17 *total* zone defensive possessions from the Lakers defense during this 8-game win streak is intriguing. LA's man defense is holding up.
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Fred Joel🗨
Fred Joel🗨@FredJoel99·
@Tim_NBA Team do you have stats comparing the efficiency on offense-defense of the team in normal time vs clutch time?... I think it will show a bad habit of our players: they can turn on and off that efficiency when they want (clutch time for example)
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Aggregate defensive and offensive impact this season from each of LA's current starting 5 of: Luka Reaves Smart LeBron Ayton Luka and Smart have SURGED recently on defense.
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Marcus Smart's 3PT% by month: OCT: 18% NOV: 27% DEC: 35% JAN: 38% FEB: 33% MAR: 38% 33% pre-ASB vs 37% post-ASB. His slow start was obviously underperformance vs what to expect. Hovering around 35-36% on really strong shot quality is more of where I'd expect him to be.
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I like this view of how player impact has trended over the course of the season! We can see how Cade Cunningham has steadily increased his offensive impact over time. Jokic's defense was trending up, but is now headed back down. SGA has recently taken a steep step down on D.
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Looking at the offensive component of WAR, Offensive Points Added, LA's been well represented each month: OCT: Reaves 1st NOV: Luka 2nd DEC: Luka 16th JAN: Luka 1st FEB: Luka 5th MAR: Luka 2nd And Smart is 2nd in Defensive Points Saved so far in March after 9th in February!
BBall Index@The_BBall_Index

Each month's WAR leaders: OCT: Gilgeous-Alexander | Reaves | Jokic | Wembanyama NOV: Cunningham | Jokic | White | Doncic DEC: Cunningham | Jokic | Leonard | White JAN: Maxey | Doncic | White | Leonard FEB: Wemby | Jokic | White | Leonard MAR: Leonard | Wemby | Jokic | Doncic

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